Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • skiracer
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2004
    • 6314

    Originally posted by dmk112
    Whoa ho ho What happened today? Did the bull get scared??? Awwww....too bad, maybe next time

    Pretty funny stuff DMK112. I'm sure Spike appreciates that.
    THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

    Comment

    • Lyehopper
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 3678

      Send em both....

      Originally posted by spikefader
      LOL heh That's a good one!

      I like that so much I'm making it my Avatar!

      This bull needs to go out to Lye's place for training
      My cows would slap that sucker around the pasture.... make him cry.... He'd be begging me to make him a steer.

      Got a better idea Spike.... Send that bear down here.

      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

      Comment

      • tokyojoeskid
        No Posting allowed; invalid email
        • Oct 2003
        • 222

        sndk!

        Took profit on one of my calls before earnings and will hold on to other for the long term, well until at least Jan 06. Sndk up huge after blowing out results. Spike any opinion on the chart?

        Thanks

        Tjk


        Paid 2.55 for the Jan 06 calls, sold one at 7.20, one at 5 and will hold other probably until expiration.

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Originally posted by tokyojoeskid
          Took profit on one of my calls before earnings and will hold on to other for the long term, well until at least Jan 06. Sndk up huge after blowing out results. Spike any opinion on the chart?

          Thanks
          Tjk
          Paid 2.55 for the Jan 06 calls, sold one at 7.20, one at 5 and will hold other probably until expiration.
          Nice one dude. Grats. I'm seeing 63.00 as a very good price resistance area to exit on a push up. Hold it to 60.00 and then really start watching it closely for reversal patterns intraday to take your money and run. It should fall fast from there on profit-taking.



          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Took a dow futes swing long 10244 a minute ago. Stop under lod.

            Comment


            • Greetings Spike,

              look at this



              Is this a good example of a gap fill,and what might it portend?I impatiently bought yesterday at 26.34,should have waited a day.

              Also when you state taking a dow futes long at 10244,are you buying a small piece of the dow at a future contract,and how do you profit from it.I dont think you actually buying a share for $10244.00 are you?

              cordially Tom
              Last edited by Karel; 10-21-2005, 04:21 PM. Reason: edited imageshack URL

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by Thomrich
                Greetings Spike,
                look at this


                Is this a good example of a gap fill,and what might it portend?I impatiently bought yesterday at 26.34,should have waited a day.

                Also when you state taking a dow futes long at 10244,are you buying a small piece of the dow at a future contract,and how do you profit from it.I dont think you actually buying a share for $10244.00 are you?

                cordially Tom
                HTE: Looks like it didn't fill - still a 0.30 gap there. But it's a strong bounce anyway and it may well be that the gap won't fill for quite some time. There are no guarantees and all you can do is assume that it has the 'potential' to fill, but may not. With your entry, I'd put a stop under today's low or just the other side of the gap, which is about 4% now. If price fails at current levels and takes your stop out you don't want to be long, as the gap support has failed. But right now, there is an overnight inverted SHS with neckline break at say 26.85, so it's looking good for bulls. It's sitting on the intra pivot now, having broken and returned to it. It may fall to test the neckline, but look for the neckline to keep support. Good luck with it.

                For futures this link will likely help you. http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/cont_de...+26230,00.html

                "...when you buy a futures contract, you are not physically buying anything. This is simply a way to participate in the price movement of the market of your choice......For the CBOT mini-sized Dow a 1 point move is $5.00..."

                So, if you buy 3 mini Dow (symbol YM) and you get 10 points, that is $5 x 10 points x 3 contracts = $150.00. For the Nasdaq and S&P it is the same thing, except you would use $20 per point on the Nasdaq and $50.00 per point for emini S&P.



                DOW TUTORIAL (I've not done this one) but the link is http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/page1/1,3248,1057,00.html
                Last edited by Karel; 10-21-2005, 04:22 PM. Reason: see above

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Originally posted by spikefader
                  Took a dow futes swing long 10244 a minute ago. Stop under lod.
                  This bull is pitiful! Just closed this position for -5 points and am now a sleeping bull for Monday, as Vector closed bearish today. Inside days on the naz, Qs, SPX, and this sets up for a volatile market move whichever way it breaks Monday. Earnings season is upon us and that will be the fuel for the move.

                  Comment

                  • dmk112
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2004
                    • 1759

                    Originally posted by spikefader
                    This bull is pitiful! Just closed this position for -5 points and am now a sleeping bull for Monday, as Vector closed bearish today. Inside days on the naz, Qs, SPX, and this sets up for a volatile market move whichever way it breaks Monday. Earnings season is upon us and that will be the fuel for the move.

                    It sure is...the bear is not taking over like I would like it to either... It looks like it's a tug of war out there - next week will be another volatile one I suspect, especially with the hurricane & earnings.

                    I think that the main reason the market stayed up today was due to GOOG's killer earnings...man I rmember last year when this thing was $120 and I was like man that's too expensive - I would have been up over 200%
                    http://twitter.com/DMK112

                    Comment

                    • Websman
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 5545

                      If the market looks good tomorrow, my Vulcan analysis shows AOB as a buy around $5, unless of course it drops below that range.

                      What would your take be Spike? Vulcan minds are curious as to what the greatest chart reader on the planet has to say.

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by dmk112
                        ...the main reason the market stayed up today was due to GOOG's killer earnings...man I rmember last year when this thing was $120 and I was like man that's too expensive - I would have been up over 200%
                        I hear ya. It's shocking! heh But I remember how bullish I was for it last year and I thought it would only get to 153 by end of 04. Went to 201! And to think!! I actually made nice change shorting it (+118%) via puts in Nov 04

                        And then I turned bull on it again in June and saw the upper channel target of 335.00! http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpo...postcount=3682
                        the channel long setup in August http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpo...postcount=1015
                        then this: http://img334.imageshack.us/img334/899/googaug125gm.jpg
                        (it actually dropped only 2.8% after this call before it took off bullish again for another 70 points or 18%. GOOG has been a good TAer for me. I should trade it more often!

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Originally posted by Websman
                          If the market looks good tomorrow, my Vulcan analysis shows AOB as a buy around $5, unless of course it drops below that range.

                          What would your take be Spike? Vulcan minds are curious as to what the greatest chart reader on the planet has to say.
                          heh, Webs, hush now before my head gets too big for my own good. Watch me post lemons all week now.

                          But AOB looks good to me. Nice pick. Don't know why you ever sold it! haha kidding.

                          Comment

                          • RL
                            Senior Member
                            • Sep 2003
                            • 1215

                            Spike what do you think

                            about me getting Into APPB?
                            Ray Long

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              Originally posted by RL
                              about me getting Into APPB?
                              What price were you thinking?
                              It's in a tricky position now; generating a weekly channel short and at gap resistance now. This morning's spike up and drop is bearish. But it is also generating mixed signals. The daily it is booming the minor channel from the bottom, having busted the top channel from June. I just don't think there's enough reason for a long yet. It's got some heavy volume up at 25.00. I don't see the r/r is there for it.

                              Comment

                              • Lyehopper
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2004
                                • 3678

                                WOW! great call Webs!

                                Originally posted by Websman
                                If the market looks good tomorrow, my Vulcan analysis shows AOB as a buy around $5, unless of course it drops below that range.

                                What would your take be Spike? Vulcan minds are curious as to what the greatest chart reader on the planet has to say.


                                You-da-man....uhhh, no.... you-da-Vulcan!.... Your "VA" rules V-dude!

                                Question: Can a mere human ever learn VA?
                                BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                                Comment

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