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  • VIX and VXN

    Hey guys.... How much consideration do you put on the VIX and VXN (volatility index)... The VIX has been falling for some time as the market has been rising... Wat do you think?
    I think there should be a correction, but good stocks will do well (that is the earnings winners)... I have over half my portfoliio in cash just waiting... But I did grab some wits and hska today. Also I own some HOTT and some ohi and ies and pdex.

    Comment


    • Presentation from HSKA

      The presentation attached below explains why HSKA is a hidden gem.


      The presentation is from a conference they did in November. There used to be audio that explained every slide not sure what happened to it.

      I found the presentation really showed how under valued this company is. HSKAs growth plan is breathtaking.

      To start:

      Heska Announces Q3 Results - 50% Product Revenue Growth

      Gross Margin on Product Sales Increase; 61% Bottom Line Improvement

      heres the link to the presentation:

      http://www.corporate-ir.net/ireye/ir_site.zhtml?ticker=hska&script=10959&lay out=-6&item_id='http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/NSD/hska/presentations/InvestorPres121103.pdf'

      Comment

      • jay_why_dee

        Tsevni98

        Posted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 2:51 am Post subject: Stenz what is your largest holding?

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        I was just wondering which "POSITION" you like the best



        "Doggie" style.......arf,arf

        Comment

        • drchrislee

          Re: CKCM

          Originally posted by stenzrob
          Congratulations, doc. CKCM was higher on the percentage gainers list today than my WITS, and I didn't even get into WITS quite at the bottom. Hope you were still holding CKCM for the gap up.

          *raises a glass to drchrislee*
          Thanks stenz. They had a very good earnings report, which pushed them through. I'm sitting on about 40% gain now...tempting to sell, as I'm eyeing WITS, but I may stick around with it.

          Comment

          • drchrislee

            HSKA

            Got into HSKA myself today at $2.88. Here we go!

            Comment

            • stocks54
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 178

              PDEX

              Guys,

              Any idea what's up with PDEX? Dropped quite a bit with close to twice the average volume.

              Comment

              • drchrislee

                Re: PDEX

                Originally posted by stocks54
                Guys,

                Any idea what's up with PDEX? Dropped quite a bit with close to twice the average volume.
                Well, PDEX normally has a pretty small volume, so one or several large holders could have swayed things pretty drastically by selling off I guess. I haven't heard any other news on it.

                Comment

                • thebign1
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2003
                  • 130

                  VLGC and Qvdx

                  Hello Stenz, I am still holding some VLGC because I got in way to late.
                  The stock jumped 7.89% near the end of the day & they announced their earnings call (Feb. 10) after the close. I think I should bail before earnings. This would give me just about a 15% gain w/out the cost of the trade. I don't think this stock has gotten a second wind. Any opinion would be helpfull. (I should be happy to make 15% on any stock)

                  As for QVDX, I think this horse needs to run. I was in at $4 & out @ $5.35
                  then back in at $5 (I bought more the second time) This stock should at least double from hear.

                  TIA...Regards, Norm

                  Comment

                  • stocks54
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 178

                    QVDX

                    QVDX took a blow today. Not sure if it's due to approaching earning date...

                    Comment

                    • thebign1
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 130

                      Re: VLGC & QVDX

                      Hello Stenz, Today I sold VLGC @ $4.35 & doubled my shares of QVDX @ $5.74 So that makes my average price for QVDX $5.37.

                      Regards, Norm

                      Comment


                      • VLGC

                        Stenz,

                        What are your thoughts on VLGC? I'm up 18% but still seems to be moving nicely. Not sure I want to hold through earnings (in two weeks) though, I have seen too many stocks get crushed for meeting or barely missing earnings targets.

                        I appreciate your comments.

                        T

                        Comment

                        • stocks54
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2003
                          • 178

                          Re: PDEX

                          Originally posted by drchrislee
                          Originally posted by stocks54
                          Guys,

                          Any idea what's up with PDEX? Dropped quite a bit with close to twice the average volume.
                          Well, PDEX normally has a pretty small volume, so one or several large holders could have swayed things pretty drastically by selling off I guess. I haven't heard any other news on it.
                          I am thinking of taking a loss on my position and get out of it. not sure what's going on with PDEX. Pric down close to 18% (including after hour drop.)

                          Comment


                          • Re: VIX and VXN

                            Originally posted by puffmoon
                            Hey guys.... How much consideration do you put on the VIX and VXN (volatility index)... The VIX has been falling for some time as the market has been rising... Wat do you think?


                            I got this excerpt from a Money.com article about the VIX:

                            Originally posted by Money.com
                            What implied volatility really measures is how much of a premium
                            investors are willing to put on options, which give them the ability
                            to buy (call options) or sell (put options) a stock or index at a set
                            price. The more options cost, the more investors expect prices to
                            move. Hence implied volatility -- which differs from actual (or
                            realized) volatility.

                            The favored way of measuring implied volatility is what used to be
                            the Chicago Board Options Exchange's volatility index, or VIX. (The
                            CBOE rejiggered it recently, so now we watch the old VIX while we
                            wait for the new one to get a bit more history behind it.) In recent
                            years, whenever the VIX fell below 20, Wall Streeters would start to
                            worry that investors weren't worrying nearly enough -- and that the
                            market was vulnerable as a result.

                            The VIX hasn't been above 20 since November. Friday, it closed at
                            14.87, the lowest it's been since April 1997.

                            But here's where it's important to remember that what the VIX really
                            measures is what options cost -- not fear and not even, when it comes
                            down to it, how volatile investors think the market is going to be.
                            Because it turns out that there is a big factor that could be pushing
                            options prices: A big jump in the issuance of convertible bonds.

                            Convertible bonds are bonds that give investors the option of
                            converting them into stocks at a predetermined price. Put the
                            emphasis on "option" -- they are, in essence, not all that different
                            from call options. Low interest rates have made them a favored method
                            of raising capital among companies in recent years and investors who
                            like their yield characteristics have been gobbling them up.

                            In 2003, according to Thomson Financial, convertible issuance skipped
                            up to $96 billion from $60 billion in 2002. There is, as a result, a
                            bigger supply of call options floating around the market. When supply
                            rises, prices fall. This pushes the VIX lower.

                            Comment

                            • stocks54
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 178

                              it my turn to be scared!!!

                              Originally posted by ChrisZXWJ
                              Stenz,

                              You scare me when you're quiet. What's up?

                              Chris
                              I don't know about you but now I am scared when I don't see Stenz's comment on this board or on yahoo board...

                              Comment


                              • I wasn't going to say anything this time...but I do wonder where he is.

                                Comment

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