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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Out of COIN at $12.90. (+29.0%)
    Out of SDTH at $11.22. (-20.9%)

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Originally posted by stenzrob View Post
    Bought some COIN at $10.
    More news from COIN today, regarding trading emissions credits.
    So, their business model is:
    - get paid to accept organic waste,
    - use it to create fertilizer,
    - get paid for the fertilizer, and
    - get paid for preventing the waste from sitting in landfills.
    Welcome to the 21st century.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Bought some SDTH at 14.19.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Originally posted by stenzrob on 2/1 View Post
    I don't understand why QMAR continue to sell at a discount to the deal price, discount varies from 17 to 20%.
    With QMAR holding up better than EXM over the last several days, the QMAR discount to deal closing price relative to EXM's current share price is now down to 14%.
    ($13 + 0.4084 x 32.90 = $26.44)

    I plan to hold QMAR until the discount is less than 5%, unless EXM falls enough to drive the deal closing price below my QMAR buy price.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    I'm out of QID and long a few other things right now, none of which are doing very well, I have to admit.

    Longer-term I'm bearish and QID is a great way to play that trend.

    Shorter term, though, I expect that "bargain hunting" will hold or drive up the indexes to either the 50 day or 200 day moving averages, which they are currently well below. The kind of action I expect is similar to market behavior in early 2001.

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  • Clarkstondude
    replied
    QID is going crazy in after hours! Glad I didn't cash out today

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Bought some WATG today at 9.43.
    Tried to get some for 9.20, but "they" started playing games with me.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    The last time that the S&P500 50 day ema crossed below the 400 day ema was December 2000. It might be an interesting year or so ahead.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Clarkstondude, I plan to hold my remaining QMAR until the acquisition is completed or the price gets within 5% of the deal formula. There is always the risk that it will fall through, but this seems like less of a risk than the risk associated with any other stock.

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  • Clarkstondude
    replied
    I was in QMAR for a few days but cashed out and didn't go back in. Everything was pointing up but the markets make all rules, charting, tech analysis and just plain luck obsolete. Wasn't even near its resistance levels yet... Hoping my STP opens on a gap up to recoup some late afternoon loss but I wouldn't be surprised to see slippage either.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Originally posted by stenzrob on 2/1 View Post
    I don't understand why QMAR continue to sell at a discount to the deal price, discount varies from 17 to 20%. Yesterday, QMAR rose by less than 0.4084 off EXM's rise, and today QMAR is down by more than EXM's pullback. Since I am not understanding this, I decided to lighten up.

    I sold 1/3 of the position that I took at 21.75, for 23.15 (+6.4%).
    Sold another 1/3 at $23.45. That leaves me with a "normal sized" position in QMAR (20% of self-directed portion of IRA), rather than triple my usual position.

    Holding QMAR, COIN, NTWK and 40% cash in the IRA.
    Also LUNA in the other account.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Bought some NTWK at $2.66.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Bought some COIN at $10.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    I don't understand why QMAR continue to sell at a discount to the deal price, discount varies from 17 to 20%. Yesterday, QMAR rose by less than 0.4084 off EXM's rise, and today QMAR is down by more than EXM's pullback. Since I am not understanding this, I decided to lighten up.

    I sold 1/3 of the position that I took at 21.75, for 23.15 (+6.4%).

    This, along with untimely sales of ZRAN and SIGM, also serves to raise cash for an expected re-entry into QID (or some other ultrashort ETF) in a day or two. If I sit on the cash for a few days, it gives me the flexibility to exit a position if it goes wrong without triggering trading restrictions in the account.

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  • stenzrob
    Guest replied
    Due probably partially to being pissed about the option repricing, I dumped SIGM this morning at $42.40 for a 7.8% loss from my buy point at $46. At the time, it looked like the market was just bouncing from the low open, and for all I could tell, everything including SIGM would fizzle and run down. This didn't turn out to be the case, and SIGM is now back up nicely to around $45.50. You know what, though? I'm still glad to be out of it, because I now do not trust the execs to act in the best interests of the shareholders.

    QMAR has continued up. My position from $21.75, even having bought well after the acquisition announcment, is now up over 10.5%. But most of it seems to be because all the dry shippers are up strong (QMAR, EXM, DRYS, DSX). QMAR is still selling at a 17% discount to the value of the acquisition if it closed today.

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