Swing trading Mr.Market's latest Top Five Picks

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  • Spike what ya think of FRD? Looking to see if it finds support around 11.30-11.60 area. If that does not hold looking @ 50dma around 10.81 or possible gap support. I think FRD reports earnings soon, might someone know something?

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    • FRD

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by Runner
        Spike what ya think of FRD? Looking to see if it finds support around 11.30-11.60 area. If that does not hold looking @ 50dma around 10.81 or possible gap support. I think FRD reports earnings soon, might someone know something?
        I like it long from current levels. Nice candle on Fri at good vol by price.

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Another great result for the thread. ACRG 3.50 target hit yesterday.
          Closed both positions for +14.4% and +6%.

          Thread summary - all trades.

          Current open trades:
          NGPS at 33.49 retarget 33.85
          CWTR at 28.18 target 32.05
          ARLP long 70.02 target 80.79
          FRD long 12.50, targeting 14.71

          All previous trades (closed):
          ARLP Long 63.74 out 73.05 for +14.6% profit
          CWTR Long 24.62 out 25.53 for +3.7% profit
          CME Long 197.40 out 198.05 for +0.3% profit
          MPX at 25.90 target 26.60 +2.7%
          MCRI at 35.30 retarget 34.16 -3.2%
          IIG +15%
          CMN +15%
          BSTE at 57.28 retarget 62.78 + 9.6%
          CME at 210.60 retarget 210.81 +.1%
          ACRG at 3.06 retarget 3.50 +14.4%
          ACRG at 3.30 target 3.50 +6%

          Total system profit 78.2% in 11 trades. Average is 7.1% per trade.

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            FRD almost got there, but for all those that missed the entry, it comes back for another bite at the cherry!

            Comment

            • billyjoe
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 9014

              Spike,
              Could you give us a refresher course on 50% retrace support to target MM's 15% gain. I lost you somewhere along the line. I can recognize the basic chart patterns, but overall am not good on technicals. Thanks.
              billyjoe

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Sure Billyjoe.

                I should mention up front that this thread started out as something other than the 50% entries, and it wasn't until post 7 here http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/...52&postcount=7 that I decided to trade the 50% system, after discussion in another thread. Since then this thread has virtually been dedicated to the 50% system. I think I'll keep it that way too.

                No rocket science here. Just a matter or finding a significant low anywhere on the chart and extend the FIB to the top. If price comes back to the 50% there's your entry. Target 15% from your entry. No stops. If price falls to a lower 50% entry point retarget 15% from wherever that point is. Hold for your 15% or til the company goes broke Obviously you want to diversify and not put all eggs in one basket. Take every signal regardless of market conditions. It's worked well so far and it's worth trading in my opinion. I like the retarget condition that forces you to lower your target if price action weakens.
                Last edited by spikefader; 02-16-2005, 08:41 PM.

                Comment

                • New-born baby
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 6095

                  I like it

                  Spike,

                  I really like your system, and I want to trade it. Thanks for posting.

                  I guess I'd have to say I think you may know a little something about the market . . . .

                  BPT: you said $59, or better. It hit $64 today.
                  FRO: nice call on the channel long day. $44 to $49 in four days is nice!

                  Thank you so much!
                  pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                  Comment

                  • billyjoe
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 9014

                    Thanks Spike,

                    Great quote "No rocket science here. Just a matter of finding a significant low anywhere on the chart and extend the FIB to the top. If price comes back to the 50%, there's your entry. Target 15% from your entry. No stops. If price falls to a lower 50% entry point, retarget 15% from wherever that point is.Hold for your 15% or til the company goes broke."


                    I like this strategy. If you'd post it on IBD forums, I think they'd have a meltdown. That wouldn't be a nice thing to do, would it?


                    billyjoe

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      Originally posted by New-born baby
                      Spike,

                      I really like your system, and I want to trade it. Thanks for posting.

                      I guess I'd have to say I think you may know a little something about the market . . . .

                      BPT: you said $59, or better. It hit $64 today.
                      FRO: nice call on the channel long day. $44 to $49 in four days is nice!

                      Thank you so much!
                      Hey, you're welcome And thanks. I must say Kudos to Mr.Market for his "Top 5" picks too! Every one of these 50%ers is with the Top 5 of the day, and so this system may well be an utter failure without his legendary model!

                      Ya, BPT continues to impress. What a lovely move the last 4 weeks!

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by billyjoe
                        Thanks Spike,

                        I like this strategy. If you'd post it on IBD forums, I think they'd have a meltdown. That wouldn't be a nice thing to do, would it?

                        billyjoe
                        Ya, we better keep it a secret then lol

                        Comment

                        • New-born baby
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 6095

                          Originally posted by spikefader
                          Ya, BPT continues to impress. What a lovely move the last 4 weeks!
                          Spike,

                          If you were a REAL friend you would have MADE me buy BPT. (lol)
                          I still don't see what the attraction is. Perhaps some insider is buying shares.
                          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            Originally posted by New-born baby
                            Spike,

                            If you were a REAL friend you would have MADE me buy BPT. (lol)
                            I still don't see what the attraction is. Perhaps some insider is buying shares.
                            hehe Ya, well you were pretty hesitant!

                            Comment


                            • Greetings Spike,
                              It would appear to me that FRD has touched 50% retrace from 6.00 today at 11.30.

                              Also is at 50sma according to stockcharts.

                              On top of that,looks to be at support by significant volume on a 6mo chart.

                              Im going all in on this in my IRA,looking for that target of 14.75 or better.

                              wish me luck,
                              cordially Tom

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Thomrich
                                Greetings Spike,
                                It would appear to me that FRD has touched 50% retrace from 6.00 today at 11.30.

                                Also is at 50sma according to stockcharts.

                                On top of that,looks to be at support by significant volume on a 6mo chart.

                                Im going all in on this in my IRA,looking for that target of 14.75 or better.

                                wish me luck,
                                cordially Tom
                                Also appears to be a 2.6% div coming next week.

                                Comment

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