Originally posted by scifos
Portfolio of the Week
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Week 19 (6), day 3
Diogenes' Allegheny Technologies Inc. (ATI), which happens to be not only a member of the S&P 500 but of the S&P 100, also happens to be a member this week of the POTW top 1. Super pick on what appears to be a fairly rotten week, Diogenes!!! Would you care to enlighten the rest of us on just what made you believe this specialty metals producer was going to prosper so handsomely this week?
Number two on the list this 3rd day of the week is Huge Pete HUGE!!! Ol' Pete has decided to show us all how it's done, this time playing Northern Orion Resources, Inc. (NTO) of Vancouver, B.C. Don't let that Kanuck address fool you though. These home boys make their bread down south ... WAYYYYY down south in Argentina!! That's where they mine gold and copper! Now where do you suppose companies like WIRE get all of that copper anyway? They have to get it from companies like NTO who actually dig that stuff out o' the ground! Didn't you pay attention to those grainy 16mm films they showed you in grade school? The ones with the scratchy sound tracks that would always be a fraction of a second out of sync with the picture unless they got the size of the loop just right? Come on, man! The thing that seems weird to me is: doesn't silver naturally occur in nature along side copper deposits? Are these dudes hiding something?
Number 3 so far this week is BJ!! No, not BillyJoe, just BJ! As some of you who were paying attention may have noticed, BJ cashed out of his position in Intevac Inc. (IVAC) yesterday, 14 minutes prior to the closing bell, with a mighty respectable 3.93% gain! Turns out that was quite an excellent move there, BJ, ol' buddy, as can be seen from this 5-day chart:
Way to go, BJ, dude! Ride 'em on up and let those other turkeys ride 'em back down! Wish I knew how to do that!
—Rob
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Originally posted by Rob[size=3][font=Arial]Diogenes' Allegheny Technologies Inc. (ATI), which happens to be not only a member of the S&P 500 but of the S&P 100, also happens to be a member this week of the POTW top 1. Super pick on what appears to be a fairly rotten week, Diogenes!!! Would you care to enlighten the rest of us on just what made you believe this specialty metals producer was going to prosper so handsomely this week?
Sure:
First, I have to mention that my first pick was HANS, but since it was reporting earnings I meddled with the method and did not pick it. Then I had BID down, but I picked that over ATI for other reasons- at first.
So, what is the method right?
Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price (i.e. increasing line). After looking for outstanding fundamentals.
Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation ( looking at change in prices in this case) ,
like a differential equation (same idea) but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,” but I got lucky as several members at Motley Fool had already “been there-done that.” So, they deserve all the credit, esp. BarryDTO and Loren Cobb (http://www.aetheling.com/MI/index.html).
I scanned the Time 1 and 2 stocks from Value Line to get some stocks to rank by the above range and usually scan the 5 MrMarket picks as well.
NEU has been very good with this method.
I hope that everyone turns green in the end!Last edited by Guest; 05-10-2006, 10:40 PM.
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[QUOTE=diogenes]
So, what is the method right?
Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.
Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”
[QUOTE]
Geez...Sounds complicated...I just look for stocks that are RANDOMLY gonna go up...Doug"Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"
Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com
Follow Me On Twitter
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[QUOTE=IIC][QUOTE=diogenes]
So, what is the method right?
Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.
Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”
Geez...Sounds complicated...I just look for stocks that are RANDOMLY gonna go up...Doug
I think you could also look at it like a simple regression line...
or a maybe I should just go with random posting? :P
Edit- Of course ATI will now tank.Last edited by Guest; 05-10-2006, 10:43 PM.
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Riding the dead cat....
Originally posted by RobCheck out ELOS today, dude. Man, when will that thing bottom?BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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[QUOTE=diogenes][QUOTE=IIC]Originally posted by diogenes
So, what is the method right?
Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price.
Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation,
like a differential equation but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,”
Hmmm... perhaps something like a real valued function that allows for randomness, would be a tad better?
I think you could also look at it like a simple regression line...
or a maybe I should just go with random posting? :P
Edit- Of course ATI will now tank."Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"
Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com
Follow Me On Twitter
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Originally posted by diogenesSure:
First, I have to mention that my first pick was HANS, but since it was reporting earnings I meddled with the method and did not pick it. Then I had BID down, but I picked that over ATI for other reasons- at first.
So, what is the method right?
Essentially I am using a mechanical investing strategy that looks for stocks that have an exponential trajectory for their price (i.e. increasing line). After looking for outstanding fundamentals.
Initially I wanted to model this by a stochastic differential equation ( looking at change in prices in this case) ,
like a differential equation (same idea) but instead of working with, say, real numbers, allows one to work with “randomness,” but I got lucky as several members at Motley Fool had already “been there-done that.” So, they deserve all the credit, esp. BarryDTO and Loren Cobb (http://www.aetheling.com/MI/index.html).
I scanned the Time 1 and 2 stocks from Value Line to get some stocks to rank by the above range and usually scan the 5 MrMarket picks as well.
NEU has been very good with this method.
I hope that everyone turns green in the end!BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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Originally posted by LyehopperSound very similar the the VTP....
From my experience it takes about 5 mins...This domain has been registered to some mysterious Vulcan since January 21st...???"Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"
Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com
Follow Me On Twitter
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Originally posted by IICI'd like to know what takes so long to throw up a website:
From my experience it takes about 5 mins...This domain has been registered to some mysterious Vulcan since January 21st...???BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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