Hot Pick Of The Day

[Adman]

I went in on VTSS this AM at 3.12, but for significantly less shares than originally wanted. Took 1000, and still believe we will see 3.50 in the next month or less.
I am now looking at PLB. The reports say stay away, but my gut tells me this could be the turn around story of the year. I have watched this creep up to 4.38 from a low of 3 in January. I am ashamed to admit that I did not take a position then, but my feeling is we will see this break 5 by June.
Management has a concise plan of action that I believe will restore true value back to the firm. Problem here is that analyst coverage is thin, so you need to dig a little deeper on this one to see for yourself.

[Adman]

VLO retreating.

TTM I had this one on my watch list two months ago. I was a little weary to jump in. I guess you feel there is still strenght left. It's been pretty steady.

TTM opened up .37 today, hit a high of 18.47 on thin volume and is now hovering around 18.33. Even though it has a $6.5b market cap, TTM is the kind of stock that has the potential to pick up .10-.12 cents a day, and next thing you know, a weeks gone by, and you're up over a buck a share. On an 18 dollar stock, I'd take 5% like that, anytime I can get it.

[New-born baby]

Fdg

FDG: I have been recommending FDG to Hot Pick of the Day readers. I picked up some today at $40.00 even. Divy coming on Mar 28th. FDG should rise for the occasion.

[TFred]

Greetings NBB,

Your thoughts on the US and C$ rate?Seems the C$ has been rallling lately.I went heavy on HTE at 28.70,gonna hold this as long as possible,almost 14% US yield.I spoke with a guy on the Stockhouse board that claims today is the best day historically to buy energy trusts during the last 17 years.Also he has accumulated enough trust units to provide him with 8k a month in income.Thats not bad,and makes price swings easier on the stomach.

Also,do you know the symbol for Baytex US listing?

cordially Tom

[Adman]

FDG: I have been recommending FDG to Hot Pick of the Day readers. I picked up some today at $40.00 even. Divy coming on Mar 28th. FDG should rise for the occasion.

Concur 100%

[New-born baby]

Greetings NBB,

Your thoughts on the US and C$ rate?Seems the C$ has been rallling lately.I went heavy on HTE at 28.70,gonna hold this as long as possible,almost 14% US yield.I spoke with a guy on the Stockhouse board that claims today is the best day historically to buy energy trusts during the last 17 years.Also he has accumulated enough trust units to provide him with 8k a month in income.Thats not bad,and makes price swings easier on the stomach.

Also,do you know the symbol for Baytex US listing?

cordially Tom

Hi, Tom:
US and C$ exchange rate is tied directly to the oil price. If oil price escalates, so does the Canadian dollar vs. the USD. I believe that, long term, the USD/CD exchange rate will hit 1.00/1.00. Today the CD hit an all-time high vs. the USD at 88.04/1.00. This is not good news for the USA, but is excellent news if you have bought stocks on the TSX.

What happened 17 years in a row is not predictive of what will happen today

Baytex: no, I don't know. CNE is the former Acclaim Energy and Starpoint. I hold both in high regard.

Now Tom if you would have listened to me and went with IB you would be able to buy/sell directly on the TSX, and your money would be across the border for much more safety. The USD is going to take massive hits. They cannot keep printing dollars and not have massive inflation. Just my opinion.

[New-born baby]

Deficit spending, oil prices, and the welfare of the USA

All republics have died the same kind of death: the voting public has bankrupted the treasury by voting themselves welfare of some sort or another. The USA has run incredible deficits for years, and now that deficit is running 6% of GNP. The world has funded our debt by buying US debt instruments. That may very well change in March. Here's how:

Iran/USA - Release of global world crisis
The Laboratoire européen d’Anticipation Politique Europe 2020 (LEAP/E2020) now
estimates to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be
the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since
the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, together with an economic and financial
crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week of March 2006
will be the turning-point of a number of critical developments, resulting in an
acceleration of all the factors leading to a major crisis, disregard any
American or Israeli military intervention against Iran. In case such an
intervention is conducted, the probability of a major crisis to start rises up
to 100%, according to LEAP/E2020.

An Alarm based on 2 verifiable events
The announcement of this crisis results from the analysis of decisions taken by
the two key-actors of the main on-going international crisis, i.e. the United
States and Iran:

--> on the one hand there is the Iranian decision of opening the first oil
bourse priced in Euros on March 20th, 2006 in Teheran, available to all oil
producers of the region ;

--> on the other hand, there is the decision of the American Federal Reserve
to stop publishing M3 figures (the most reliable indicator on the amount of
dollars circulating in the world) from March 23, 2006 onward [1].

These two decisions constitute altogether the indicators, the causes and the
consequences of the historical transition in progress between the order created
after World War II and the new international equilibrium in gestation since the
collapse of the USSR. Their magnitude as much as their simultaneity will
catalyse all the tensions, weaknesses and imbalances accumulated since more than
a decade throughout the international system.

world crisis declined in 7 sector-based crises
LEAP/E2020's researchers and analysts thus identified 7 convergent crises that
the American and Iranian decisions coming into effect during the last week of
March 2006, will catalyse and turn into a total crisis, affecting the whole
planet in the political, economic and financial fields, as well as in the
military field most probably too:

1. Crisis of confidence in the Dollar
2. Crisis of US financial imbalances
3. Oil crisis
4. Crisis of the American leadership
5. Crisis of the Arabo-Muslim world
6. Global governance crisis
7. European governance crisis
..
The entire process of anticipation of this crisis will be described in detail in
the coming issues of LEAP/E2020’s confidential letter – the GlobalEurope
Anticipation Bulletin, and in particular in the 2nd issue to be released on
February 16, 2006. These coming issues will present the detailed analysis of
each of the 7 crises, together with a large set of recommendations intended for
various categories of players (governments and companies, namely), as well as
with a number of operational and strategic advices for the European Union.


Decoding of the event “Creation of the Iranian Oil Bourse priced in Euros”
However, and in order not to limit this information to decision makers solely,
LEAP/E2020 has decided to circulate widely this official statement together with
the following series of arguments resulting from work conducted.
Iran's opening of an Oil Bourse priced in Euros at the end of March 2006 will be
the end of the monopoly of the Dollar on the global oil market. The immediate
result is likely to upset the international currency market as producing
countries will be able to charge their production in Euros also. In parallel,
European countries in particular will be able to buy oil directly in their own
currency without going though the Dollar. Concretely speaking, in both cases
this means that a lesser number of economic actors will need a lesser number of
Dollars [2]. This double development will thus head to the same direction, i.e.
a very significant reduction of the importance of the Dollar as the
international reserve currency, and therefore a significant and sustainable
weakening of the American currency, in particular compared to the Euro. The most
conservative evaluations give €1 to $1,30 US Dollar by the end of 2006. But if
the crisis reaches the scope anticipated by LEAP/E2020, estimates of €1 for
$1,70 in 2007 are no longer unrealistic.

Decoding of the event “End of publication of the M3 macro-economic indicator”
The end of the publication by the American Federal Reserve of the M3 monetary
aggregate (and that of other components) [3] , a decision vehemently criticized
by the community of economists and financial analysts, will have as a
consequence to lose transparency on the evolution of the amount of Dollars in
circulation worldwide. For some months already, M3 has significantly increased
(indicating that « money printing » has already speeded up in Washington),
knowing that the new President of the US Federal Reserve, Ben S. Bernanke, is a
self-acknowledged fan of « money printing » [4]. Considering that a strong fall
of the Dollar would probably result in a massive sale of the US Treasury Bonds
held in Asia, in Europe and in the oil-producing countries, LEAP/E2020 estimates
that the American decision to stop publishing M3 aims at hiding as long as
possible two US decisions, partly imposed by the political and economic choices
made these last years [5]:

. the ‘monetarisation’ of the US debt
. the launch of a monetary policy to support US economic activity.
… two policies to be implemented until at least the October 2006 « mid-term »
elections, in order to prevent the Republican Party from being sent in reeling.
This M3-related decision also illustrates the incapacity of the US and
international monetary and financial authorities put in a situation where they
will in the end prefer to remove the indicator rather than try to act on the
reality...more...

http://www.europe2020.org/en/section_global/150206.htm

[TFred]

Hi, Tom:
US and C$ exchange rate is tied directly to the oil price. If oil price escalates, so does the Canadian dollar vs. the USD. I believe that, long term, the USD/CD exchange rate will hit 1.00/1.00. Today the CD hit an all-time high vs. the USD at 88.04/1.00. This is not good news for the USA, but is excellent news if you have bought stocks on the TSX.

What happened 17 years in a row is not predictive of what will happen today

Baytex: no, I don't know. CNE is the former Acclaim Energy and Starpoint. I hold both in high regard.

Now Tom if you would have listened to me and went with IB you would be able to buy/sell directly on the TSX, and your money would be across the border for much more safety. The USD is going to take massive hits. They cannot keep printing dollars and not have massive inflation. Just my opinion.

Greetings,

Dont rub it in on the IB thing,Im already kicking myself for the procrastination.Not only am I missing the direct trades on the TSX,but Ive missed short opps on sub $5 issues that Scottrade doesnt allow.Talk about a double whammy.

If the exchange rate does keep improving,it will be a windfall for US holders of Canroys,as HTE's US dist of .33 would approach the .38 paid to Canadian,am I correct in this?

The Iranian Oil bourse is very interesting,I wouldnt be suprised to see gold head to $800.

BTW COS has a 5 for 1 split coming up.

thanks as always,

cordially Tom

[Bean Stocks]

Both are nice. I got in to both Smith & Trident last spring at 3.50 and $7.40, respectively. I sold 50% off last Wednesday of the Smith, and 50% of Trident yesterday. I love them both and believe there is still room to run on them, but, bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get butchered.

Not a good day to be long! I like to ride the parabola and throw in the towel when need be. Good job on SMSI and TRID. It is good to see TRID making moves again.

[New-born baby]

IB, et al

Greetings,

Dont rub it in on the IB thing,Im already kicking myself for the procrastination.Not only am I missing the direct trades on the TSX,but Ive missed short opps on sub $5 issues that Scottrade doesnt allow.Talk about a double whammy.

If the exchange rate does keep improving,it will be a windfall for US holders of Canroys,as HTE's US dist of .33 would approach the .38 paid to Canadian,am I correct in this?

The Iranian Oil bourse is very interesting,I wouldnt be suprised to see gold head to $800.

BTW COS has a 5 for 1 split coming up.

Yes, COS has a 5:1 split coming. On the US side CNQ is trading about $55. I like this one as both a shorter term play and a longer term play. NXY is also one to consider.

The exchange rate jumped to all time highs again yesterday. Gold $800? I could show you a long term chart that says gold is head to $3000. Gold is up today about $15 in the premarket. My view: deficit spending ruins economies and national strength and morals. Our elected leaders--to keep their own jobs--lack the will to do what is best for the nation. It has been this way since the beginning. Washington hated them for their factionalism and partyism. But that is not going to change. What may change--people may not like to hear this--is that a dictator takes over when the system fails. By the way, the average republic has lasted 200 years before collapsing from the bankrupted treasury . . . .

thanks as always,

cordially Tom

[Peter Hansen]

New Born Hello There!

Two stox that have popped on my radar are ANSR and CREE ......both look like some quick gains possible......any thoughts .

Thanx Pete!

[Rob]

Good Short?

OSIP could be a good short today. Here's why. Be careful, and do your own DD.

[Adman]

TTM opened up .37 today, hit a high of 18.47 on thin volume and is now hovering around 18.33. Even though it has a $6.5b market cap, TTM is the kind of stock that has the potential to pick up .10-.12 cents a day, and next thing you know, a weeks gone by, and you're up over a buck a share. On an 18 dollar stock, I'd take 5% like that, anytime I can get it.

TTM up a dollar a share today, and I am still looking for 25 in the near future.

[New-born baby]

Hi PETE

Two stox that have popped on my radar are ANSR and CREE ......both look like some quick gains possible......any thoughts .

Thanx Pete!

Pete,
Great to hear from you.
CREE: cup breakout--no handle. Getting some pullback today. This one looks quite nice, Pete! May have another $1-2 in it . . . depending on the market.

ANSR:very, very bullish. I don't know about the target, though, as it is working on alltime highs: "The Twilight Zone." Yesterday's volume was marvelous! It is a penny stock, so the rule is that if you get a 15-20% pop, take profits and re-enter later. So I'd say realistically, I'd wait for a pullback on this one. I have a natural fear of pennystocks unless they sport an option chain.

SUF: this company has developed the technology to sonically make sour crude more useable. Saudi Arabian crude is "sour" and the preferred crude in the USA is "West Texas Intermediate," a sweet crude. Until now only VLO had the ability to process sour crude. SUF has now developed the tech to extract an extra 14-15 gallons of diesel per barrel of sour crude. They have their first plant in Nevada, and plan to build another one in UAE. Their $6.90 stock sports an option chain offering you .60 for the MAR 7.5 call, and $1.10 for the April $7.5 call. This penny stock has more safety than ANSR.

[DSteckler]

NB, you consider a $6.90 stock a penny stock?