I have 22 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Question: I recently got singed from this bear 3x gold holding of mine. What do you think? Time to go long on the precious metals or not?
Margie
I'm assuming that when you state "precious metals" you specifically mean gold or silver. Gold is the key here and although I love to own both, the gold ETF, GLD, is the chart I'm showing because I feel gold is more representative of precious metals in general and it's ETF is more representative of what gold is doing rather than any of the gold stocks. I wouldn't be a buyer here yet. Patience will pay off. I would wait a bit to see which way the wind is going to blow. So much is hinging on the upcoming presidential election and how it will effect our economy that indecision is what is holding everything in check. As you can see that rangebound area between the blue lines has been the constant of late and will be until the election has come and gone. This administration has done nothing for our economy and because of that it has effected the price of gold and made it rise. If this administrations chances of being re-elected strengthen then you will see the price of gold rise as we get closer to the election because everyone knows that our economy will become that much weaker if he does get re-elected and gold will be the place to be if our economy gets any weaker. If it looks like he isn't going to get re-elected you will see gold weaken because a new administration will strengthen the chances of our economy re-vitalizing itself under Romney. This is how I see it but the charts do not lie and here is the chart with some explanations of what has been going on and what to expect. PS, stay away from those 2x and 3x ETF's. They are sucker bets for the retail trader and certainly are not long term holds. The hedge fund guys manipulate them at their discretion and people like yourself get left holding the bag and relying on "hope" because you have no idea of what is going to take place. The difference being that they do!
Ski, I can screen for a great list of potential stock buys but don't quite know the proper steps to pick a buy from the list. I know you look closely at the 20DMA. Could you share a few of the other factors you check off to make a selection, volume, market trends etc. Thanks
---------------billy
It always helps to be able to determine a "market trend" whether it be up or down because 75% of tradable stocks will follow that trend. Accumulation / Distribution days are important in the overall picking and decision making process within any definable trend. These are two important factors but chart patterns are what I rely on. Specific types of chart patterns like cup bases with handles and Ascending Triangles in bullish market trends. Also like Inverted Head and Shoulder patterns. These three are tried and proven to perform in a distinct manner a high percentage of the time especially in bullish markets. Fibonacci lines always work well for me. And I rely very much on moving average crossovers. When a stocks 20 or 50 ema crosses back above or drops back below one another or it's 100 ema that is significant in respect to what to expect. When I see a stocks 20 ema cross back above it's 50 ema after having tracked below it for a period of time I certainly wouldn't be looking to short that stock at that time and visa versa. Moving average crossovers are purely plain and simple in showing how that stock is trending and what to expect from it over the immediate short term. And when a stock is making a move towards a moving average crossover, either up or down, it is definitely stronger to see it doing it on high volume as opposed to low volume.
Getting to know the chart patterns and what the percentages are for those patterns to perform as expected is what I rely on to increase my "edge" and to make the edge lean more in my favor. Everything is a game of percentages and making those percentage play in your favor is the key. If the percentages are always in your favor then you will outperform a higher number of times and that will guarantee that you will be successful and profitable. Study those chart patterns and build your base of knowledge off of your understanding of them. Then apply the secondary ingredients like volume, moving average crossovers, fibonacci lines, accumulation/distributation days, etc... into that understanding. When you apply all of that to the stocks in your screening results then you will be able to select the ones that fill all of the required components. Add emotional control to that mix and that will separate the wheat from the chaff.
And I should point out that sometimes it pays to rely on your plain old "gut feelings and some "racing luck" about an issue. The occasions are limited where a stock will fill all the explicit items you are looking for. The one thing that I have and I think that now you have going for you is that you will "honor your stops regardless" and exit a trade way before the loss becomes intolerable. This insures that you will last longer and increase the percentages for your being successful and profitable because you are no longer relying on "hope" and you are in control of everything regarding the trade.
As far as getting back into a gold position, my opinion is that now's probably a good time for it- we'll likely see some pretty serious inflation in the coming years. I like CEF for the exposure to both silver and gold.
********** THANK YOU Jiesen, Mr. Market and Skiracer for your recommends and guidance. Much appreciated. I'm still a dabbler but if I can say one thing about the little progress I've made over the years it is that my stomach is stronger and therefore I'm not so trigger happy. (Man, was that expensive!!)
Thanks again, buddies. Glad to be back and will be popping in from time to time. Please continue to have such goodnatured patience with me if ( WHEN) I ask dumb questions.
Margie
"Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe
********** THANK YOU Jiesen, Mr. Market and Skiracer for your recommends and guidance. Much appreciated. I'm still a dabbler but if I can say one thing about the little progress I've made over the years it is that my stomach is stronger and therefore I'm not so trigger happy. (Man, was that expensive!!)
Thanks again, buddies. Glad to be back and will be popping in from time to time. Please continue to have such goodnatured patience with me if ( WHEN) I ask dumb questions.
Margie
Margie,
you should pop in more often especially when you are contemplating making a buy or trade just to get some feedback. It might be helpful in getting some feedback and might even end up saving you some money. Good luck.
As far as getting back into a gold position, my opinion is that now's probably a good time for it- we'll likely see some pretty serious inflation in the coming years. I like CEF for the exposure to both silver and gold.
Oh Jiesen, have you ever played SLW? I made a really nice profit on that a while back when it went from my entry point of 16 to over 40. I'll likely invest in them again in the future as they can't be beat for their per ounce cost. (silver)
"Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe
Margie,
you should pop in more often especially when you are contemplating making a buy or trade just to get some feedback. It might be helpful in getting some feedback and might even end up saving you some money. Good luck.
Definitely! Thank you.
"Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe
Got this from cruising the internet for possible penny stocks. SKIRACER, would you take a lot at the 2 year chart for a dish formation?
Nanosphere, Inc. (NSPH) - NSPH is a penny stock I would buy today. The stock is sitting at $1.70 and has some real potential. Nanosphere, Inc. (NSPH) develops, manufactures, and markets molecular diagnostics platform, the Verigene System that enables genomic and protein testing on a single platform. This penny stock has been good all year long and all dips have been bought. The thing that would cause me to buy NSPH right now is the recent revenue spike. At the beginning of 2012, quarterly revenue was $828,000. Recently, the company reported $1,300,000 in revenue. This trend is expected to continue but the company loses money so they may need to sell some stock to raise capital. NSPH has good potential.
*********
Also, I was looking at BWMG that was mentioned here on your thread. What on earth would cause a stock to be decimated like that? Do you still think its a worth a gambling shot?
Plus, ONVO is into the 3d printing technology but they are working towards replicating human tissue. It looks likes it's already been pumped and dumped, not to say it can't happen again. But what do you think of it? It's bigger cousins of DDD and SSYS have been doing well.
Thanks much,
Margie
"Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe
Got this from cruising the internet for possible penny stocks. SKIRACER, would you take a lot at the 2 year chart for a dish formation?
Nanosphere, Inc. (NSPH) - NSPH is a penny stock I would buy today. The stock is sitting at $1.70 and has some real potential. Nanosphere, Inc. (NSPH) develops, manufactures, and markets molecular diagnostics platform, the Verigene System that enables genomic and protein testing on a single platform. This penny stock has been good all year long and all dips have been bought. The thing that would cause me to buy NSPH right now is the recent revenue spike. At the beginning of 2012, quarterly revenue was $828,000. Recently, the company reported $1,300,000 in revenue. This trend is expected to continue but the company loses money so they may need to sell some stock to raise capital. NSPH has good potential.
*********
Also, I was looking at BWMG that was mentioned here on your thread. What on earth would cause a stock to be decimated like that? Do you still think its a worth a gambling shot?
Plus, ONVO is into the 3d printing technology but they are working towards replicating human tissue. It looks likes it's already been pumped and dumped, not to say it can't happen again. But what do you think of it? It's bigger cousins of DDD and SSYS have been doing well.
Thanks much,
Margie
going to be out of town for the day but will take a look at it later tonight Margie.
Marge,
Thanks for posting on Nanoshpere. Nice stock and I would be a buyer at this level. Here is the weekly chart and my thoughts on it. Do you own it? If not I think placing a few bucks on it would be a good trade at this point in time. Thx.
Comment