Any comments on FORD (Nasdaq)?

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  • IIC
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2003
    • 14938

    #76
    I guess it really depends on your definition of a base. OK...using the IBD definition which is that it corrects no more than 8-12% (at least that's what it says in 24 Essential Lessons For Investment Success)...although in that case they were talking about a flat base.

    So I go to their website and it says preferably 30%...but then it mentions 20 to 30%...Now I'm confused...What the heck is a base anyway?

    But, no matter what it is I guess they corrected so much off the 4/6 high and the 6/7 high that I guess you start counting over.

    So I stand corrected...But looking at the weekly chart in IBD w/o checking the numbers it sure looked like 4 or 5 bases to me. However, if you are following the IBD way you wouldn't buy it now because it is too extended and it is in a crummy group.

    Thanks...Doug(IIC)
    "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

    Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

    Follow Me On Twitter

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    • dmk112
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2004
      • 1759

      #77
      my thoughts...

      http://twitter.com/DMK112

      Comment

      • dmk112
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2004
        • 1759

        #78
        Originally posted by IIC
        I guess it really depends on your definition of a base. OK...using the IBD definition which is that it corrects no more than 8-12% (at least that's what it says in 24 Essential Lessons For Investment Success)...although in that case they were talking about a flat base.

        So I go to their website and it says preferably 30%...but then it mentions 20 to 30%...Now I'm confused...What the heck is a base anyway?

        But, no matter what it is I guess they corrected so much off the 4/6 high and the 6/7 high that I guess you start counting over.

        So I stand corrected...But looking at the weekly chart in IBD w/o checking the numbers it sure looked like 4 or 5 bases to me. However, if you are following the IBD way you wouldn't buy it now because it is too extended and it is in a crummy group.

        Thanks...Doug(IIC)
        Which chart should you be following for the base count, daily or weekly? It will be different for every stock depending on which chart you look at...
        http://twitter.com/DMK112

        Comment

        • dmk112
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2004
          • 1759

          #79
          And this week it had the highest volume ever, so it hardly looks "exhausted" - but it is #1 on IBD so it probably will get sold off - LOL
          http://twitter.com/DMK112

          Comment

          • IIC
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2003
            • 14938

            #80
            Geez...I can't win on this one ...Can I?

            Maybe "exhausted" is a bit extreme...but even IBD agrees with me that it's extended...I read that in 2 different places in the paper.

            As far as reading bases on weekly or daily charts???...I hate to answer that because I'll probably be wrong about that too...LOL
            "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

            Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

            Follow Me On Twitter

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            • mooddude
              No Posting allowed; invalid email
              • Dec 2004
              • 187

              #81
              When you count bases you should count only major ones. That's why all these different 20-30% criteria. The stock is extended probably because it jumped up too fast out of the recent pivot point.

              Comment

              • IIC
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2003
                • 14938

                #82
                Originally posted by mooddude
                When you count bases you should count only major ones. That's why all these different 20-30% criteria. The stock is extended probably because it jumped up too fast out of the recent pivot point.
                I know...after I actually looked at the numbers rather than glancing at the weekly chart...I realized you were right...Was just givin' 'ya a hard time...BUT...What is your opinion on their new take that Breakouts don't have to have volume...Now that one disturbs me. I posted a link to that article today at Mr. B in the Site Watch Section...IIC
                "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                Follow Me On Twitter

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                • dmk112
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2004
                  • 1759

                  #83
                  I sometimes wonder about IBD... I'm starting to not to pay attention too much of what they have to say.
                  http://twitter.com/DMK112

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    #84
                    FORD it's a potential monster. Anyone wanting to hop on board with great r/r will have to wait until this one pulls back to the channel, or for the next channel turn up.



                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Originally posted by IIC
                      What is your opinion on their new take that Breakouts don't have to have volume...Now that one disturbs me. I posted a link to that article today at Mr. B in the Site Watch Section...IIC
                      Sounds to me like the classic backpedal Maybe a reader complained because he/she didn't buy a stock because of poor volume, that eventually took off.

                      Sometimes they do take off on low volume, but I had always thought it was about PROBABILITY, with the buying on conviction being one essential piece to the puzzle that enhances a stock's chances.

                      Articles like that one do nothing but confuse the readers.

                      Comment

                      • IIC
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2003
                        • 14938

                        #86
                        I have been posting things about Canslim deficiencies since 2000...Make changes...Get with the times...But I didn't mean that...I was mostly referring to buy/sell points and the EPS ratings...Are they GRASPING???

                        I have no problem w/ much of the CS theory...but low volume breakouts...Give me a BREAK(out)!!!
                        "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                        Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                        Follow Me On Twitter

                        Comment

                        • dmk112
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2004
                          • 1759

                          #87
                          Well FORD gapped up on the IBD #1 listing...it is going to be very interesting if it continues this uptrend...
                          http://twitter.com/DMK112

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                          • #88
                            Depending on what it does tomorrow, it looks like the beginning of an abandoned baby or evening doji pattern. If it starts down tomorrow, I don't want to be in it.

                            Comment

                            • mystiky
                              Senior Member
                              • Dec 2004
                              • 333

                              #89
                              Any update on FORD chart?

                              Calling in all experts, all experts for opionion(s)...

                              Thanks as always!

                              Comment

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