Tweet
Billyjoe, nice job with these. Take all your winning trades and divide buy the losing and see what the number is..
-
-
Runner,
Don't you mean take winning trades and divide by total trades? It comes out to 37%. Of the 100 picks, 10 a week for 10 weeks, 37 were up by the end of the week and 63 were down. I'm sure some that were stopped did finish up for the week which would make the % larger but we probably avoided some monster losses also with the stops.
billyjoeLast edited by billyjoe; 01-19-2006, 11:11 AM.Comment
-
Cheap Stock Port Week 10 Thursday
SURG stopped today with a gain of 29.93%
We've got 1 stock left TLF and no shares are traded yet.
Although SURG has made us $29,929 the other 8 stopped positions have lost approx. $29,350 and our TLF at last price was up $4100 so we're about $4700 to the good.
billyjoeComment
-
Week 10 Cheap Stock Port
Sold TLF @7.21 +4.49% or $104,493
billyjoeComment
-
Should have not sold TLF. Port would have made a bundle if reinvested. Good news is I own it in real life and on IIC's Pick of the Year thread.
billyjoeComment
-
Final Results Cheap Stock Port Week 10
Nothing was reinvested this week. I chickened out with one stock left TLF and sold taking my gain. Had I reinvested into it, thousands more would have been made today.
NUAN stopped $95,949
TSCM stopped -96,000
AOB stopped---95,993
HOM stopped---96,071
EGY stopped---98,614
MOSS stopped-95,974
RWC stopped--96,039
PRFT stopped--95,980
SURG stopped-129,929
TLF sold------104,493
Grand total $1,005,042 minus transaction fees of $200 leaves $1,004,842 or a profit of .48% for the week
billyjoeComment
-
Final Summary of Hold and Fold Method vs. Reinvesting into Profitable Positions
WEEK # -----Reinvesting---- Hold and Fold When Positions Stopped
--1------------- +.306%------------ -1.73%
--2------------- -1.17%------------ -.08%
--3------------- +2.84%------------ +1.56%
--4------------- -3.13%------------ -2.7%
--5------------- -.57%------------- -.66%
--6------------- +3.3%------------ +3.4%
--7------------- -2.23%------------ -.458%
--8------------- +.6495%----------- -1.29%
--9------------- +1.05%------------ +2.1%
--10------------ +.48%------------- +.48%
Reinvesting seems to work better at least for this 10 week period with these stocks. I didn't reach the goal of +1% per week.
billyjoeComment
-
Short terming (1 week) these cheap stocks has proven to be the wrong way to play them. Here are the final performance figures of these cheap stocks from the day they were first put on my lists to today's close. These aren't doctored in any way. You can look it up on this thread.See number of weeks since first appearance on list . As you will see , 29 advanced and 7 declined , but look at some of the numbers ! These are all the different stocks that have appeared over the last 10 weeks.
Stock--Weeks Since Listed--Open---Close-- % gain/loss
1.BTJ-------9--------------8.13----17.86---+119.68%
2.GROW----10-------------7.40----15.13----+104.46
3.ENG------10-------------6.07----11.61-----+91.27
4.IFO------10--------------9.96----18.00-----+80.72
5.ERS------10--------------8.67----13.00-----+49.94
6.TLF-------9--------------5.12-----7.34------+43.36
7.RWC------9--------------6.74-----9.45------+40.21
8.SPIL------9--------------5.00-----6.75------+35.00
9.GEOI------2--------------9.45----12.65------+33.86
10.NUAN----6--------------6.18-----8.17------+32.20
11.SURG----3 days---------4.21-----5.37------+27.55
12.COGO---10wks.---------6.50-----7.74-------+19.08
13.EGY------3--------------4.25----4.99-------+17.41
14.LPSN----10--------------5.23----6.10-------+16.63
15.MESA----6---------------9.76---11.30-------+15.78
16.AEY----- 4--------------6.48-----7.39-------+14.04
17.MOSS----8--------------5.38-----6.11-------+13.57
18.NBG------9--------------8.28-----9.40-------+13.53
19.SLW-----5---------------5.13-----5.80-------+13.06
20.GW------9---------------7.62-----8.55-------+12.20
21.FPP------8---------------7.79-----8.71-------+11.81
22.PRFT-----6---------------9.45----10.51-------+11.22
23.ACTU----8---------------3.35------3.68-------+9.85
24.APLX-----8---------------6.76-----7.35-------+8.73
25.MED------7---------------5.65-----5.96--------+5.49
26.CMPX-----5---------------6.63-----6.98--------+5.28
27.CGFW*---3---------------9.35-----9.65--------+3.21 merged with SCUR
28.CYBS-----8---------------7.57-----7.78--------+2.77
29.MIG------10--------------6.08-----6.11--------+.49
30.CBIZ------10-------------6.20-----6.11--------- -1.5%
31.TSCM-----3 days---------8.50-----7.98--------- -6.12
32.PRZ-------5--------------3.68-----3.41--------- -7.34
33.CMT------3---------------7.95----7.09--------- -10.82
34.STAK------4--------------7.38-----6.31--------- -14.50
35.HOM------10--------------6.55-----5.25--------- -19.85
36.AOB-------10-------------7.50-----5.41---------- -27.90
Notice #31 TSCM (Cramer's Company) #35 HOM and #36 AOB were two of the most highly touted companies at IBD and their forums. Just a coincidence I suppose. With these results I'm going to begin actively trading some lower priced stocks until things change. Already own #6 #13 #17 #35. See you on a future thread. This one is finished.
billyjoeComment
-
BillyJoe, you got this thing going on. Great job you have put things in an interesting perspective.. Keep it up!Comment
-
Runner,
Thanks for the encouragement. I think I'm going to continue the top 10 for my own use and buy every new stock that appears. Will put a 15% stop on each. From the past 10 weeks it looks as if I've got a 64% chance of getting at least 10% and an 81% chance of getting a gainer and an 11% chance of losing 10%. In a 1 week period only 37% were gainers, but in 10 weeks or less, 81% gained.
billyjoeComment
-
Billyjoe's Cheap Stock Index vs.
For Time Period Nov.15--January19
BJCSX +21.23%
DJ US Low Cap Index +10.57%
DJ Wilshire US Micro Cap +8.00%
US Small Cap Growth +7.63%
I Shares Russell Micro Cap +6.44%
billyjoeComment
-
Nice job BillyJoe!!!! I like what you've done here.BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!Comment
-
Originally posted by billyjoe
Thought I'd revisit this port and see what happened to these stocks since Jan.20th . Here's a list of gain/loss % as of 1/20/06 and today 4/26/06
Stock------Gain as of 1/20/06----Gain as of 4/26/06
1.ERS-----------49.94%------------406.70%
2.GROW--------104.46%------------148.65%
3.MED----------- 5.49%------------108.85%
4.SLW---------- 13.06%------------107.80%
5.SURG----------27.55%------------105.70%
6.NUAN----------32.20%------------101.62%
7.BTJ-----------119.68%------------92.50%
8.COGO----------19.08%------------88.46%
9.ENG------------91.27%------------87.81%
10.EGY-----------17.41%------------76.00%
11.MOSS---------13.57%------------58.92%
12.RWC----------40.21%-------------49.85%
13.TLF-----------43.36%-------------46.09%
14.SPIL-----------35.00%------------40.00%
15.CBIZ----------- -1.50%------------39.84%
16.HOM----------- -19.85%-----------35.57%
17.LPSN-----------16.63%-------------33.27%
18.ACTU------------9.85%-------------31.64%
19.CYBS------------2.77%-------------30.65%
20.PRFT------------11.22%------------27.30%
21.CMPX*-----------5.28%-------------26.09% *last price before buy-out
22.IFO--------------80.72%------------23.29%
23.CGFW-------------3.21%------------20.53% *merged with SCUR
24.NBG--------------13.53%------------17.63%
25.MIG----------------.49%-------------17.60%
26.TSCM------------ -6.12%------------14.00%
27.GEOI--------------33.86%------------13.02%
28.APLX---------------8.73%------------11.54%
29.GW----------------12.20%-------------2.62%
30.AEY----------------14.04%------------ -1.23%
31.STAK-------------- -14.50%------------- -8.80%
32.FPP----------------11.81%-------------- -17.20%
33.CMT---------------- -10.82%------------ -32.96%
34.AOB---------------- -27.90%------------ -36.80%
35.PRZ---------------- -7.34%------------- -46.74%
In hindsight a person would have done well to buy them all and hold on. 29 winners, several of them huge and just 6 losers.25 advanced since the last report over 3 months ago. 3 went from a negative performance to a positive and only 2 went from a positive to a negative during that time period.
The bad news is I haven't made my fortune on these yet and never purchased any of the top 9 , however I own #10 EGY also have gains on TLF SPIL and HOM, which I luckily held from a 19.85% loss to a 35.57% gain hoping the hurricane effect would eventually show up. I mistakenly sold MOSS for a couple penny loss forgetting it was in this experimental portfolio.
billyjoeComment
-
Here are some low priced stocks that are rated highly by IBD, Barcharts, Stockscouter, and Vectorvest : WEX,SPIL,TBV,STTS,MIKR,NMSS.
Do further research , there's money to be made, maybe not short term, but in 3 months or so.
billyjoeComment
-
Almost one year later here are some more good cheap stocks. With today's opening prices.
GTI----10.03
MEA----5.82
NR------8.19
HIFN----6.67
CRY----9.89
CRNT---7.00
AMSWA-8.95
OTIV---8.20
ROY----6.97
BPHX---7.58
bonus pick CSCX--10.47
---------billyjoeComment
Comment