Pick Of The Year Contest

[billyjoe]

Pick of the Year Contest Celebrity Division 8/18/06

The celebs did ok this week with advancers outnumbering decliners 13 - 4. Gainers were led by #13 ESLR +7.06% , #6 STX +6.93% , #3 ATI +5.47, and #8 MSFT +5.18%. Decliners were #4 SU -7.52% and #1 FTO -14.03%. YTD the celebs are +4.18%.

Stock------Celebrity Picker--------1/03/06-----8/18/06--------% Gain/Loss

FTO--------Hesler------------------19.02-------33.99---------- +78.71%
FMCN-------Wyatt----------------- 34.58------57.70----------- +66.86
ATI---------Cramer---------------- 36.40------ 60.39----------- +65.91
SU---------Navellier----------------63.67-------79.30----------- +24.55

RSG--------Fisher-------------------37.40------39.79------------+6.39%
STX--------Unknown----------------20.07------21.34------------+6.33
XTO--------DMaille------------------44.56------45.60------------+2.33

MSFT-------Carlson-----------------26.25------25.79------------ -1.75%
ERTS--------Gardner----------------52.44------51.29------------ -2.19
FO----------Zellman----------------77.75-------72.97----------- -6.15
GOOG-------Kramer----------------422.52-----383.36------------ -9.27
CSSGX------O'Neil-------------------10.46------9.49------------- -9.27

ESLR--------Rothstein---------------10.77------9.25------------- -14.11%
SGR---------George-----------------29.09-----22.23------------- -23.58
ELOS--------Gillespie----------------32.07-----22.50------------- -29.84
IPAS--------Hutheesing--------------6.53------4.44-------------- -32.01
MWY--------Schaeffer--------------18.87------9.09-------------- -51.83

STX went green this week after one week red.

-----------billyjoe

[IIC]

Pick of the Year...An extremely difficult call...Heck, look at me...I'm down the tubes too...I lost 9%(real life) on my pick IDWK in January...I never went back...POTY is more for fun IMO...My crystal ball is only good for a day at a time anyway....Lorne Love...aka Mr Breakout...aka IIC...aka ICEMAN...aka Just Plain Doug

Because of the longer timeframe involved in a Pick of the Year, I can't at all use my typical stock picking techniques. Just before the beginning of 2006, I had traded DDD (sustained release technology for drugs) for a gain, but found out that the company's real future is probably tied to new announcements that will surface later in 2006. That's my hope for now. So for me, DDD's a 100% "story stock." I'm hoping DDD will be at 10.00/sh by end of 2006.

[IIC]

Doug,
CSSGX has to be an embarrassment for IBD. A truly miserable performance considering that it's diversified and backed with years of research and untold dollars. It's time for them to rethink their ways.

-----------billyjoe

Yeah...I thought it was "How To Make Money In Good Times And Bad"???

[billyjoe]

Doug,
CSSGX has to be an embarrassment for IBD. A truly miserable performance considering that it's diversified and backed with years of research and untold dollars. It's time for them to rethink their ways.

-----------billyjoe

[IIC]

Mr Market Stock Contest 2006

Close on 8/11/2006

Ray is $$$HUGE$$$...This week Anyway

Another cr*ppy week for the contest portfolio...The only bright spot was Ray's GHM +5.86%

Our A/D/U for the week was a miserable 5/21/0 but our YTD A/D/U remained at a 11/15/0 as nobody went red or green for the second consecutive week.

YTD our total portfolio is still red at -6.52% as we were down 2.32% for the week. The CSSGX had another lousy week and now stands at -9.85% YTD...Who wants to start a pool to guess how long this fund will be around?...I'll bet they don't last 2 years from the date of inception last September. You can see their top holdings as of 6/30/06 here:

http://www.duncan-hurst.com/SiteMap.htm

Wow...98% invested at that time...Maybe they should check my ribbon chart below???

I use the open on 1/3/06 for the indices and the close on 1/3/06 for the CSSGX because funds are only priced at eod.





IIC's Ribbon Chart of the CSSGX:



Here are little charts of all our pix:

http://trimurl.com/4PW

http://trimurl.com/4PX

http://trimurl.com/4PY

Here are little charts of the Indices and CSSGX:

http://trimurl.com/4PZ

[billyjoe]

Pick of the Year Contest Celebrity Division Week Ending 8/11/06

Not a good week for celebrity pickers with 7 advancing and 10 declining. Gainers were led by #1 FTO +7.09% and #15 ELOS +8.26%. Losers dominated with #16 IPAS -11.64%, #3 ATI -12.2% , #13 ESLR -10.40%, and #7 STX -9.02%. With the big loss, STX goes red for the first time leaving only 6 stocks in positive territory and dropping the YTD performance to +3.04%.

STOCK------PICKER-------------1/03/06----------8/11/06----Gain/Loss

FTO--------Pro Timing NL--------19.02-------------36.66----- +92.74%
FMCN-------Growth Invest.------34.58-------------58.87----- +70.24
ATI---------Mad Money----------36.40------------58.40------+60.44
SU----------Blue Chip------------63.67------------84.09-------+32.07

RSG---------Raymond James------37.40------------39.27-------+5.00%
XTO---------MD Wholesale-------44.56-------------46.30-------+3.90

STX---------Consumer Elect.-----20.07-------------19.95------- -.6%
ERTS-------- Motley Fool---------52.44-------------49.88------ -4.88
MSFT--------Drip Invest----------26.25-------------24.43----- -6.93
FO-----------Credit Suisse-------77.75--------------72.27----- -7.05
CSSGX-------IBD Fund-----------10.46---------------9.43----- -9.85
GOOG--------AOL Financial------422.52-------------368.50---- -12.79

ESLR---------Follow the Ram------10.77-------------8.49------ -21.17%
SGR----------Personal investing---29.09-------------21.72----- -25.33
ELOS---------Supernova Stocks---32.07-------------21.16----- -34.02
IPAS----------Forbes Wireless-----6.53---------------4.27----- -34.61
MWY---------Power Stocks-------18.87--------------8.40------ -55.48

---------billyjoe

[billyjoe]

Doug,
Nobody but me would pick TLF. When the newly designed leather whips hit the market watch out. eeeeeeeeeaaaahhh !!!

----------billyjoe

[IIC]

I think the winner will be someone who nobody suspects...But whoever it is ...you are gonna get a nice prize...Doug(IIC)

[skiracer]

ski,
What would be your top candidates to overtake Micky ? I can't see the gold stocks going up that much more before year's end and Lye's ECOL may have a hard time making a big move also. Just curious as to your thoughts.

------------billyjoe

Billyjoe,
I like ECOL, VLO, and GLD. ECOL is in a great business. They will do business in that field regardless of the economic climate. VLO is in the refining business. With oil an energy going up the producers of the products, refineries, stand to benefit the most in my opinion. They aren't building any new refineries and it looks like we are going to have to get by with what refining capacities we have. They actually have everyone over a barrel. Gold is being used in much more than just jewelry. In the increasingly volitaile world that we live in gold and silver are becoming the safe haven of choice. I bought the ETF at $46 thinking that $52/55 would be nice. It's been over $70 and seems to have settled in at this $60/65 range for the time being. I'm not hoping for any escalation of war in the mid-east but there are alot of crazies on both sides. It's not beyond my thinking that someone on the Arab side get's their hands on a nuclear device and detonates it somewhere. That would change the whole complexion of things. Especially regarding currencies and precious metals. BWNG's product line is not an esscential must have product. It is more sensitive to economic swings than the other two in my opinion.

If the cost of oil continues to go up then VLO is in the drivers seat. GLD would also benefit in that scenario. Both of them going up means a worsening economic situation for everything else price wise. ECOL will do business regardless. If oil stabilizes or goes down substantially then GLD and VLO will follow suit and ECOL would end up the stronger of the three. Nothing is written in stone an it is going to take some time to see how it plays out over the remainder of the year. Amazing that we are in the 8th month of the contest already. Anyway just how I see things possibly materializing.
Any other takes on how this could play out from here.

[Lyehopper]

ski,
What would be your top candidates to overtake Micky ? I can't see the gold stocks going up that much more before year's end and Lye's ECOL may have a hard time making a big move also. Just curious as to your thoughts. I predict a greater move for electric than oil in the final 5 months of the year so ABB would be my pick.

------------billyjoe

I think Mickey's BWNG will take the gold this year.... At this point I sure hope it does. This stock is a real winner imo.

[billyjoe]

ski,
What would be your top candidates to overtake Micky ? I can't see the gold stocks going up that much more before year's end and Lye's ECOL may have a hard time making a big move also. Just curious as to your thoughts. I predict a greater move for electric than oil in the final 5 months of the year so ABB would be my pick.

------------billyjoe

[skiracer]

Does anyone realize that Mickey was a heartbeat away from being the first one to win the POTW and be #1 in the POTY in the same week. As long as BWNG stays in the POTY top spot he has a chance. Personally I think BWNG falls from the top spot before the year is out.

[Lyehopper]

I played BWNG (short) a few weeks ago for a nice 20%+ gain.... But I really like the stock and I'm stalking a long entry right now.

Sooooo.... Keep an eye on Mickey's BWNG fellas.... As soon as it sells off one more time.... it'll be ripe to buy it and ride it out for another 100% gain.... IMRNO.

I own a nice position of BWNG below $9.... Thanks Mickey!

[IIC]

Mr Market Stock Contest 2006

Close on 8/4/2006

Mickey is $$$HUGE$$$

Mickey is trying to run away from the pack again...His BWNG was the top gainer for the week at +12.73% followed by Karel's CELL at +10.69%.

Our A/D/U for the week was 13/13/0 and our YTD A/D/U remained at a miserable 11/15/0 as nobody went red or green.

YTD our total portfolio is still red at -4.30% although collectively we were up almost 1.0% for the week. The CSSGX had another lousy week and now stands at -7.46% YTD...Wonder how much they are managing now?...My crystal ball says it will go the way of the old New USA Fund...or whatever it was called.

I use the open on 1/3/06 for the indices and the close on 1/3/06 for the CSSGX because funds are only priced at eod.





EDIT...I screwed up...should read 8/4/06



Here are little charts of all our pix:

http://trimurl.com/4PW

http://trimurl.com/4PX

http://trimurl.com/4PY

Here are little charts of the Indices and CSSGX:

http://trimurl.com/4PZ