Failure of the Dow to sustain several rally attempts is very negative. We could be witnessing a meltdown to the 10850 area. Had thought we would see a 3 day rally this week before heading down again. Not looking good right now for the bulls.
							
						
					The Bear Case
				
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Interesting tape action today with numerous buy and sell computer programs going off. It appears that someone is in trouble -- big trouble and more than likely it is a hedge fund. Just my opinion. That said, the fact that the Dow was able to rally back 60 points from its low for the day has to be a positive.
Normally, a rally back of such magnitude should bode well for the close, but there are too many cross currents in today's action to really know how we will close. If a large hedge fund is in trouble, all 3 major indices should close near their lows for the day. If not, we could see a nice reversal in the final hour of trading. There is a clear effort IMO to close the Dow over 11100.
Bottom line: Stocks will either close near their lows for the day or near their highs. Your guess is as good as mine --- maybe even better. <g>
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we could see a nice reversal in the final hour of trading. There is a clear effort IMO to close the Dow over 11100.
Bottom line: Stocks will either close near their lows for the day or near their highs. >>
Looking good for the close. Decline is over. Stocks should rally the remainder of the week.
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The decline is only over very short term. Expect Dow to test 10850 - 10875.Originally posted by Jim SmithThe rest of the week may very well be positive......But I will tell you straight up, this decline is NOT over....As I said, watch for the 10 year treasury to yield 4.8% over the next two weeks....This is likley to get the market moving up, not by much.
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