AOB ==> The CHRISMUKKAH Winner

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  • mannyp
    Junior Member
    • Nov 2005
    • 5

    #31
    Wait, then buy...

    I noticed this pattern quite some time ago that I usually buy several days after MM. Usually there is a fallback and I can pick the stock up cheaper than MM and many times several dollars less than MM. For example, I own BBD which I picked up at $35.62. My sell target is less than MM's purchase price. I have been following this pattern and has worked out for me pretty well.

    Also, I think AOB was a risky pick. I liked IAAC which was up 12% in one day.

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    • lemonjello
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2005
      • 447

      #32
      NB,

      if you bought it down at 9.1 would you still hold for MM's target? Or maybe just use a floating stop and hope it turns into AXR?


      Originally posted by New-born baby View Post
      MM,
      What he is saying is that $9.10 is an excellent place to buy the stock. Make 30% instead of 15%. That would be HUGE, ya know.
      Donate: Salvation Army
      Help: Any Soldier
      Read: Fred on Everything

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      • lemonjello
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2005
        • 447

        #33
        Congratulations. You've approximated the S&P on a non-risk adjusted basis.

        Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
        if I take my total position at the beginning of 2006 and compare it to what I have now, I am up over 15%..yes.
        Donate: Salvation Army
        Help: Any Soldier
        Read: Fred on Everything

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        • alice4321us
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2005
          • 184

          #34
          Support is at 10

          Originally posted by New-born baby View Post
          MM,
          What he is saying is that $9.10 is an excellent place to buy the stock. Make 30% instead of 15%. That would be HUGE, ya know.
          Looking at the chart it seems first major support is at 10 and then 50 MA which is 9.11 ??

          Comment

          • mrmarket
            Administrator
            • Sep 2003
            • 5971

            #35
            Originally posted by lemonjello View Post
            Congratulations. You've approximated the S&P on a non-risk adjusted basis.
            Actually you're wrong. The P/E of my portfolio is MUCH lower than that of the S&P 500...so my holdings are less risky.
            =============================

            I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

            - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

            Comment

            • New-born baby
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 6095

              #36
              Originally posted by lemonjello View Post
              NB,

              if you bought it down at 9.1 would you still hold for MM's target? Or maybe just use a floating stop and hope it turns into AXR?
              Actually I bought it much lower than $9.10 and I cut it loose at $10.04. Too soon, eh?

              I would not buy AOB right now. I would look for an entry at $9.10 or $9.00, but if $9 fails that means she moves back into the $7- range where I got it the first time. But I think she bounces at $9.10 and moves up again. She's just bearish right now. Look at the chart; wouldn't take too much to make a head and shoulders top.

              As to your question, I would consider a $9.10 entry, put a close stop under it at $8.97, and 1st target the left shoulder's top; 2nd target the head; and third target would be to sell half and let her run.
              pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

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              • mrmarket
                Administrator
                • Sep 2003
                • 5971

                #37
                entry schmentry...if the earnings are there, you can't keep a good stock down.
                =============================

                I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                Comment

                • blessed
                  No Posting allowed; invalid email
                  • Jul 2004
                  • 26

                  #38
                  Totally agree with MM ....AOB just on a pause

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Originally posted by mrmarket View Post
                    Actually you're wrong. The P/E of my portfolio is MUCH lower than that of the S&P 500...so my holdings are less risky.
                    Don't believe everything you read on the internet.... P/E ratio is a lousy measure of risk, probably one of the worst.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Bruce is correct. P/E has very little to do with the measurement of risk.

                      Comment

                      • mrmarket
                        Administrator
                        • Sep 2003
                        • 5971

                        #41
                        Originally posted by DSteckler View Post
                        Bruce is correct. P/E has very little to do with the measurement of risk.
                        It depends how you define "risk". If a company's PE is low, that means that, all things being equal, its stock price is less susceptible to negative changes in its earnings stream.
                        =============================

                        I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                        - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          The "Risk" in investments typically is measured by the Sharpe ratio, Ernie. Not P/E ratio.

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                          • skiracer
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2004
                            • 6314

                            #43
                            I like the play to the upside over the short term to intermediate term but I need to see some consolidation of recent gains first. If the pullback takes place as I think it will the entry at 9.50 level could provide some very intense gains with a decent r/r. Here's my take on the daily and weekly charts. The weekly has an interesting formation within a formation which you don't see to often.



                            THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

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                            • mrmarket
                              Administrator
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 5971

                              #44
                              Originally posted by DSteckler View Post
                              The "Risk" in investments typically is measured by the Sharpe ratio, Ernie. Not P/E ratio.
                              Are you talking systematic risk or non-systematic risk? I would advocate the Jensen or Trainer method if it were the latter.
                              =============================

                              I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                              - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

                              Comment

                              • IIC
                                Senior Member
                                • Nov 2003
                                • 14938

                                #45
                                P/E is meaningless...Just ask WON
                                "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                                Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

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