What about the Weather?

[IIC]

Sure Doug, as I see it....

For each forecast period the percentage of Opaque, Transparent and Total (sum of opaque and transparent) cloud cover forecasted for that period is indicated. The cloud cover parameter values are based on the detection of cloud in both the Water Vapour (6.7µm) image and the Infra-red window (10.7µm) image. The usually observed transition from clear to cloudy conditions occurs with the passage of a cloud band. As the cloud band approaches, there is a gradual increase in the amount of transparent cirrus, then the relative amount of opaque cloud increases while the transparent cirrus decreases. The amount of opaque cloud will reach a peak and then start to decrease, gradually giving way to transparent cirrus and finally clear skies. This cycle can take from a few hours to a day or more, depending on the extent, thickness and movement of the cloud band.

Dear Mr. Weather:

Thanks for taking the time to answer my question publically from the thousands you probably receive everyday...Now...Could you answer me in English

Signed,

Confused On The Coast

[lemonjello]

Looks like Alaska and Canada are going to be the next real estate boom.

Legitimate scientists have been warning about this for many years and published in top peer reviewed journals. I remember mentioning it to some of my more dogmatic republican friends years back and they denied there was global warming even when confronted with the published data, all the while babbling on about peak oil. It's like they were hypnotized or something. (they've since changed their minds or woken up and forgotten they ever denied global warming ) It's amazing all the denial and spin that has gone on in the current administration. THE OIL MUST FLOW!

that corresponds to the chart that was presented in Convenient Truth, which is the only thing that really stuck in my memory from that movie. For those of you who haven't seen the movie, that chart was developed by scientist studying ice cores from the antartic going back 600,000 years. From those cores they were able to determine carbon dioxide levels and temperatures simultaneously, and the plot of those two variables was very highly correlated...they didn't say what the r-square was but just looking at the chart you could see almost a mirror image between CO2 levels and temperature. Anyway, fast forwarding to present time, they extrapolated off the end of that chart what they thought the CO2 levels would be in the next few decades. That extrapolated line looked like an internet stock from the late 90's, straight up. They didn't bother plotting the temperature line because what's the point...a third grade student could have done it.

Now you can argue that their extrapolated line was too "liberal" (that's not a political term but a scientific term which means the opposite of conservative estimate), but even if the line were half as steep the impacts will be dramatic. But I personally think we need to plan for that line to be as steep as the worse case scenario because we all know how Murphy's law works, esp. when it comes to Mother Nature....she's like the stock market, she cares not what your personal situation is.

[Runner]

Dear Mr. Weather:

Thanks for taking the time to answer my question publically from the thousands you probably receive everyday...Now...Could you answer me in English

Signed,

Confused On The Coast

Cloud cover percentages should be interpreted as the fraction of the sky expected to be covered by that cloud type, on average, during the forecast period. For example, a 50% opaque cloud forecast may mean that 50% of the sky will be clear and 50% overcast or it could mean that for 50% of the forecast period it will be clear and for the remainder of the period it will be overcast or any combination of these extremes.

For LA tomorrow you should move from 30% to 20% later in the day.
Sat La will move from 15% to 5%.

[Runner]

This is a cuurent WARNING box for the US. Updated at 19:59 EST

Storm Report:

[IIC]

Runner...it looks like there is a Gale Warning near my house...I only live a few miles from the beach in LA...But it is not windy at all here...Am I mis-reading the map?

[IIC]

Runner...it looks like there is a Gale Warning near my house...I only live a few miles from the beach in LA...But it is not windy at all here...Am I mis-reading the map?

I am not kidding...in the last 10 mins. the wind has REALLY kicked up around here. Forget Weather.com ...From now on I'll just check this thread for the weather report

[Runner]

My area is currently under a tornado warning. Doppler radar indicates rotation and my weather radio reported a tornado about 30 miles from my home. If you live in an area that gets Severe weather I think a weather radio is a wise investment. You can even program them for your county...

[dmk112]

I was just watching the tele and a bird watcher in Princeton has seen 62 of some type of bird this year that was never sighted in this region. The bird actually originates from the south and is now nesting here...

...can you say global warming?

[Runner]

Ok my weather question is for the Huge MM forum members. Should the WEATHERMAN continue his forecasting abilities or should I let this thread go and open some bandwidth for hot stock picks and pans?

[IIC]

Ok my weather question is for the Huge MM forum members. Should the WEATHERMAN continue his forecasting abilities or should I let this thread go and open some bandwidth for hot stock picks and pans?

Well, your Gale warning for LA was right on time...I woke up at least 5 times last night to the howling winds...not to mention that my front garden was a complete mess this morning...Doug

[Runner]

Doug, the tigher those Isobars are togther the more intense the winds. Notice the huge low pressure system to the NW... That storm is not playing games..

[Runner]

My weekly forecast for the LA area calls for a 30% chance of Rain Thursday night on into Friday. Clouds cover will be on the increase on Wednesday. Fresno CA stands a good chance of some thick fog in the late hours of the night. Winds for the most part will be out of the N to NW. Your temps will remain in the 60’s with the highest temp of around 74 next Monday…Oh if I’m wrong I still get to keep my job as I’m a weatherman.. One of the few professions that you can be wrong over 50% of the time and keep the job..hehe

“WeatherMan”

[Runner]

HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES UP TO 2 INCH/HR WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SWD
THROUGH WA CASCADES INTO THE NRN ORE CASCADES THROUGH 06Z. SNOW
LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE TO AROUND 3500 FT THROUGH THE
EVENING. STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES
IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

A VERY DYNAMIC SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE COAST
OF SRN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WA OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS
SHORTWAVE...STRONG WARM ADVECTION /PER THE 00Z SLE SOUNDING/ COUPLED
WITH STRONG SWLY /UPSLOPE/ LOW LEVEL FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
WILL SUPPORT A VERY STRONG VERTICAL MOTION PROFILE OVER WA AND NRN
ORE CASCADES DURING THE NEXT 6+ HRS. BASED ON PRESENT SYSTEM
MOTION...THE STRONGEST VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE
NRN WA CASCADES THROUGH 06Z...WHILE GRADUALLY DEVELOPING SWD INTO
THE SRN WA/NRN ORE CASCADES BETWEEN 03-06Z AS THE UPPER DIVERGENCE
MAXIMUM AND MID LEVEL COLD FRONT MOVE SEWD. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE MESOSCALE FORCING...SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCH/HR WILL BE
COMMONPLACE FOR MORE THAN A 6 HR PERIOD ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WRN
SLOPES. SNOWFALL LEVELS /PRESENTLY AROUND 2500 FT/ WILL CONTINUE TO
RISE TO AROUND 3500 FT /PER THE UIL 00Z SOUNDING/ OVER THE NEXT FEW
HRS UNDER THE PRESENCE OF CONTINUED STRONG WAA. A STRONG SFC
PRESSURE/HEIGHT GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM
20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH...LEADING TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AT TIMES IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN

[IIC]

Dear Mr. Weather:

We are going on a 7 day cruise from L.A. to Puerto Vallarta, Matzatlan and Cabo San Lucas Mexico...Leaving on 1/13 and returning on 1/20.

What should we take to wear? Should we pack umbrellas?

Signed,

Cruising The Coast

[Runner]

Cruising The Coast, at this time I cannot get my radar feed to pick up current weather activates in Mexico. I just got off my roof and tried to adjust my dish but have been unsuccessful. I will try to reach my buddy (in Mexico)on the ham radio and get a weather synopsis. I have not communicated with my buddy in some time and I’m not sure what radio frequency he monitors. In any event we will continue to research composite radar echo’s in CA to attempt to determine Marine conditions and possible weather fronts…I will also monitor the buoy #46025 that sits just west of LA. We also might consider historic weather conditions over the last 10 years and cross-reference this in our database. Please remember past performance is no guarantee of the future. Don’t forget to take some motion sickness pills…

“The Weatherman”