Today's Stocks in an Uptrend

[em26jamie]

5/10

FOSL, the only 1 with volume.

---------billy

This was a $$$Mr Market$$$ pick, and I just cashed it out today for my 15% gain.

[billyjoe]

5/10

FOSL, the only 1 with volume.

---------billy

[billyjoe]

12/22

MERC, NVMI, and FSII 3X


FSII buy at 4.46, stop 4.24, target 5.17

---------billy

It has been a long time, 139 days, but FSII is shortly going to hit the target . At least that's what recent price action would indicate. FSII was 3X uptrender # 43 out of 68 to date. Of the 42 ahead of FSII, only 4 have failed to hit the target set at +16%. This chart shows the rocky road FSII has taken since Dec. 22nd.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=fsii&insttype=&freq=1&show=True

--------------billy

[billyjoe]

5/9

CRR, the only one is a 3Xer so it's a buy at 161.11 with a target of 186.89.

Total number of active uptrenders continues to drop. Now only 71, another new low.

-----------billy

[billyjoe]

5/6

LXU

-------billy

[billyjoe]

Wooish,
Thanks for the info.

-------------billy

[wooish]

I bought puts and losing my a$$ off so far. I'm still holding some puts but ready to chalk it up as a loss. If you plan to go long, you should be careful because they just announced some 10M shares offering at $71 tonight so it'll tank tomorrow. On top of that, a few analyst were suspicious of GMCR cooking the book, hence the high percentage of shorts. Lastly their PE is 139 which is unheard of with company like this and with I think over $1B in debt.

[billyjoe]

Despite all the bullish hype, my sentiments are in line with this guy on Seeking Alpha. (he's caught in the short squeeze). I've been in and out of GMCR for a couple of years and following it regularly. (It's my template chart on Scottrade, so I see it everyday). When I saw the AH on TV last night, I thought maybe SBUX had bot them out. But no. Price of coffee increasing also. I think the short is valid, regardless of gap filling. http://seekingalpha.com/article/2577...t?source=yahoo

"Caffeine High. Since our publication last Thursday, the S&P 500 has fallen 3%, and unfortunately, our Investor’s (H)Edge Portfolio has taken a hit as well. But virtually all the decline was caused by just three stocks, the worst of which was one of our short positions, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR).

GMCR shot up 41% today, increasing its market cap by more than $3 billion. The rise was triggered by an announcement that Starbucks (SBUX) will sell its coffee in K-cup pods for the GMCR single-serve brewers. Sounds great, right? Uh, maybe not.

I was flabbergasted at the market’s reaction to the news, as were a host of other analysts, since it appears that the main result of the SBUX-GMCR partnership will be a decrease in GMCR’s profit margins. Obviously, GMCR won’t make as much money on a cup of Starbucks’ coffee as they make on their own brand. Moreover, GMCR continues to be extremely cash-poor, with a cash-per-share of only $0.23. Plus, the company is under an informal investigation by the SEC and is involved in many class-action lawsuits that include questionable insider selling transactions.

One can only imagine that today’s announcement caused a terrific short squeeze since nearly 25% of the GMCR’s float is short. It would appear that the buying frenzy was further fueled by aggressive day traders and perhaps unsophisticated investors who look at GMCR’s partnership with Starbucks as exciting. It was exciting for Starbucks, as the company now has a new sales outlet for its coffee (SBUX gained only about 10% on the news), but I can’t see anything good about that for GMCR. Although it was dismaying to see the stock price skyrocket on one of our short positions, we remain extremely bearish on GMCR."

River,
You know I don't know anything about coffee except for what you learned me ie K-cups pods etc. This GMCR is going crazy and I'm getting interested. With their latest earnings report I think they've got more gas or should I say beans in the tank.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/9-stocks-up-over-900-since-sept-11-2001-2011-05-05?pagenumber=2

Do you still view GMCR as a good short? Thanks, River, I highly value your opinion.

---------------billy

[billyjoe]

5/5

ANF

Total number of uptrenders in database not counting 3Xers drops to an all time low of 79.

----------billy

[billyjoe]

uptrenders

5/4

VSEA and GMCR 3X

GMCR is a buy at 75.98 or lower with a target of 88.14

This post disappeared from yesterday. Good thing if none of you bought GMCR

-----------billy


Hold the phone and stop the presses! We've got another one. GMCR hit the target today at 88.69, a 16.73% gain from buy point of 75.98 and a 23.49% gain from low of 71.82 on May 6th. It took 55 days. That gives the uptrenders a 52-16-1 record or 76.47% success rate.

-----------billy

[billyjoe]

5/3

HLF

-------billy

[billyjoe]

These 4 uptrenders are one good up day with volume away from becoming 3X uptrenders: in order DIOD, JAZZ, VHC, OIS

----------billy

Wouldn't you just know it. DIOD,JAZZ,and VHC are down 4-5% today with OIS down .75%. This may be an excellent buying opportunity or beginning of a big decline. I'll stay optimistic and take it as a chance to get a real bargain, especially with DIOD.

-----------billy

[riverbabe]

This is what I'm referring to with River. Hope you didn't sell.

---------billy

Billy, got the news on my cell phone while driving back from Chicago yesterday. Couldn't wait to find out the price. (14.60) At 14.43 currently, am up 46%. Yippee! P.S., does your son have anything to do with ATS out of Minnesota by any chance? If so, I followed a (small) white truck with a yellow light bar for a lot of miles in Indiana/Ohio yesterday thinking of him, that he might be on his way home. http://www.atsinc.com/solutions/windenergy.jsp

[billyjoe]

These 4 uptrenders are one good up day with volume away from becoming 3X uptrenders: in order DIOD, JAZZ, VHC, OIS

----------billy

[billyjoe]

Only 92 uptrenders on the master list, an all time low. Of those 73 are 1st timers and 19 are 2Xers.

------------billy