A correction. The housing data does not look good. Demand has dropped to 2008 levels which is not good.
I can be Huge too
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Stocks for 2019?
It's the weekend so I thought I'd run my screener. Here are the preliminary stocks with their estimated yields:
FONR(13.69%) AGX (9.03%) BMO(10.56%) HBCP(13.165%) RY(10.13%) CHL(?) BBL(18.25%) GNTX(21.90%) LUV(7.38%) CALM(6.25%) TOT(13.98%) TRV(11.62%) KT(15.01%) SIMO(4.74%) ETH(10.00%) ALG(6.56%) ETN(11.62%) TPR(8.50%) UFPI(7.89%) DIS(7.51%) EGOV(8.97%) CNXN(5.78%) NVS(7.71%) TARO(5.91%) BIIB(6.47%) NHC(10.66%) CRNT(4.66%) FANH(volatile) TSM(5.42%) FL(5.72%) GSH(11.06%)
As a Top Five I like FONR, BMO, HBCP, GNTX, NHC. They all have at least 10% yields and are in businesses I can understand. FONR makes a medical MRI machine that lets the patient sit upright vs laying down. BMO is a major bank in Canada. HBCP is a smaller bank in Louisiana. GNTX makes windows and electronic parts for cars and aircrafts. NHC manages nursing and assisted living facilities. So I feel safe and diversified spreading buys among these top five over the next couple months. I am looking for 10% gains per year! My position sizes will be 1-5% of my portfolio. I'll be diversified and can review each company on a monthly and quarterly basis to assess it's price and earnings performance.
Finally, here are seventeen larger companies I like with the yields I calculated:
ALL(11.96%) SNE(3%) DDS(20%) EXPR(6-9%) INTC(6%) LUV(6%) VLO(13.19%) DIS(7.02%) LZB(7.04%) STMP(2.82%) RL(6.31%) RGR(10.12%) CCF(5.67%) AMTD(2.57%) CERN(2.5%) GOOGL(1-2%) JBLU(10.25%)
If the major bull market did end for us stocks last year, then we should have plenty of chances to buy quality during overall market selloffs in the following years!
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So i am tracking the sentiment and things seem not too bearish, not too bullish. I think we are in the stockpickers market, so I will stockpick. Today I bought:
BMO 72.1114
DBA 17.1661
EEM 41.494
EWH 23.9755
EWJ 53.2199
EWS 23.31
FONR 21.1562
FXI 41.2925
GDX 20.5464
GNTX 22.5556
IWM 144.9925
INFY 10.4662
VIV 12.4984
AIA 58.10
0.375% position in each. I also got a 22.5% separate position in IWM and a separate 3.125% in EEM. This leaves me at 30.875% invested.
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Here is the dump for this week:
AAPL, WLK, MS, SBRA, HMLP, CM, ANAT, PLBC, PKBK, KEY, CNXM, EQM, AX, BNS, CNI, AGX, HBCP, BMO, ADS, HOLI, CIO, CBM, MMP, SWKS, CACC, ITRN, WVVI, BAK, KLAC, INVA, NCLH, ADM, RY, TD, LTC, PLNT, LFC, USDP, WBA, PMD, GRVY, ALG, SNA, SBS, HCA, CZZ, UHS, SCI, DIS, CNXN, ST, PLAY, GENC, TSM, DECK, TWTR, STMP, WGP, SFM, DLTR, PTN, SCHW, YELP, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX,
I included some companies with higher P/E's and higher debt. Apple is first on the list though out of order. I like the Brand Names in AAPL, DIS, PLAY, TSM, STMP, WBA, SFM, DLTR, SCHW, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX. After lunch I'll narrow mine down somehow to a top 20 or 33.
Okay, so first I can narrow them down to the most reliable and stable earnings:
AAPL, SBRA, HMLP, CM, ANAT, PLBC, PKBK, CNXM, AX, BNS, CNI, BMO, ADS, CIO, CBM, SWKS, ITRN, NCLH, ADM, RY, TD, LTC, PLNT, LFC, WBA, PMD, SNA, SBS, HCA, UHS, SCI, DIS, PLAY, STMP, SFM, DLTR, SCHW, CTSH, FB, SBUX, DG, TJX,
Next I can start hand picking some out based on whatever intelligent reasons:
So this time around I am going with AAPL and SWKS. We already have Apple in my dad's account so we will buy SWKS at the open; P/E of 10, no debt, 2.10% dividend, and conservative cash yield of 8.18%(with dividend included)Last edited by antioch6; 01-27-2019, 02:20 PM.
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Here is the dump for this week:
AMCX, UVE, AGM, DFS, PATK, WLK, GMLP, ELP, SBRA, PLBC, NWLI, HMLP, OZK, CM, CUBI, HOFT, THO, IBA, DKS, BMA, HURC, XIN, BXG, CNI, BDL, BMCH, COHR, GBX, BMO, ADS, SLM, WVVI, SWKS, CIO, AX, CIX, HCI,
SNX, EXC, SLCA, ADM, CHL, JKS, PLNT, LTC, MTZ, NCLH, HGV, SUPV, MTX, AAPL, STZ, CBPX, CMCSA, DIS, CNXN, DTE, KHC, TSM, GEO, PRIM, PLAY, SFM
Next I can calculate yields for each. Typically I want something 9% or higher (I'll disqualify any below 9). On top of that I will remove those with the highest debt:
CM is the only one that passes these metrics. P/E of 10. Low debt. 4% Dividend. Steadily increasing sales and income. I'll buy a position when the market opens; will add if it goes lower.
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Haven't made a post or looked at the market in a while. I think it's time to relook this thread and make a list. After glancing at my old lists, CM and FONR still look good. Be back in a few as I look deeper
Here is the list I found with minimal effort:
AX, CTRN, ESCA, JOUT, SIMO, FONR,
I want a list of 30-90, so there isn't much out there that looks perfect. It's still a start and I can begin building my portfolio up to 25% for the nth time.
Most of the Global Stocks have P/e ratios in the mid-teens, so I closed any P/e above 25. This locked out most US stocks.
Being more thorough with my screener. It's taking some but the list is starting to appear again. Last year there were too many stocks with high debt. This year looking like there are some opportunities after the mixed 12 month performance trailing.
More list:
FONR, RHI, LZB, FL, GNTX, PRDO,
Back to my old style list:
ACN, ALGN, ANET, AX, BIO, BSTC, CAMT, CHKP, CIX, CLCT, CNXN, CORT, CRUS, CSWI, CVCO, CWCO, DECK, DIOD, DLB, EBF, EGOV, ELMD, EXEL, EXPD, FB, FIVE, FIZZ, FONR, GOOGL, GRMN, GRVY, HCKT, HEAR, HRL, HURC, INFY, IOSP, IRMD, JOUT, LANC, LAWS, LOGI, LOPE, LZB, MANT, MED, MEDP, MGIC, MMI, MNST, MPX, MRTN, NATI, NVMI, NVO, ODC, ODFL, PCOM, PCYO, PETS, PLAB, POWI, REGN, RHI, ROCK, ROLL, SIMO, SMCI, SMSI, SWKS, SYKE, TAYD, TPL, UFPT, UNF, USLM, USNA, UTMD, VLGEA, VRS, WILC, WIRE, WMK, ZUMZ
so that gives me 84 stocks with me liking around 75 of them and feeling good about the brand names in maybe 20 of them. Not sure how I will move into these this year. My market timing service is on a buy signal so I will start buying next time the market opens.
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Bought ten stocks today with two etfs. There were several biotechnology stocks in my scan, so that's why I went with XBI and BBH. This brings me to 1.5% invested in stocks. I plan on using 25-50% of my account for my mechanical strategy. I'll dollar cost average into this on a monthly basis. I want to be at least at 25% invested after 18 months.
ANET 232.67
CNXN 47.03
DLB 66.21
EXPD 78.61
FB 240.97
FONR 24.46
GRVY 60.72
LOGI 60.49
REGN 612.50
SIMO 46.49
SWKS 135.07
XBI 105.40
BBH 159.68Last edited by antioch6; 06-10-2020, 05:52 PM.
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Originally posted by antioch6 View Postthanks bluewolf it feels good to be back.
it doesn't feel good being wrong. I am selling all of my stocks today on a stop loss. most are down between 3-5%. the only one up was REGN. I'll write the prices down later
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Never wrote the prices down for my sells. Most of the losses were between 1-3%.
I decided to create a virtual portfolio to keep track of my stock screener. The portfolio aims to stay 100% invested while outperforming the major indices on a 6-9 year timeline. I'll try to keep track of it on a daily basis.
Name Value(weekly performance,year to date performance)
a6 9.97
QQQ 10.27
SPY 10.23
DIA 10.23
IWM 10.16
Since this is the starting week, and it's not over yet, I have not included weekly and year-to-date performance. Updates whenever
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