Rules for Pick of The Year (PoTY) 2020

[BlueWolf]

Thanks for the fix, Jiesen.

[BlueWolf]

NY Times article today says Trump administration has identified five companies as most likely to produce COVID-19 vaccine: MRNA, AZN, JNJ, MRK, and PFE. Apparently MRNA and AZN are farthest along with each about to enter final round of clinical trials. INO and NVAX both took a little hit today for not being on the list.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/03/us/politics/coronavirus-vaccine-trump-moderna.html

[BlueWolf]

It was an interesting week as we had a fair amount of activity within the standings. Most notably, Riverbabe moved into 2nd place with CRWD, nosing out Jiesen and CERS. Both are still performing extremely well with 47+% gains, and there will undoubtedly be a lot more jockeying for position before this one is over. The big question, however, is whether or not anyone will catch Paco. Jiesen has come close, but REGN continues to be a juggernaut. Stay tuned. The fun is just beginning.

	POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 5, 2020
	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Open	Current	Gain/Loss
1	Paco	REGN	Long	$337.94	$ 597.00	76.66%
2	Riverbabe	CRWD	Long	$61.09	$ 93.93	53.76%
3	Jiesen	CERS	Long	$4.01	$ 5.90	47.13%
4	BlueWolf	TTD	Long	$269.18	$ 354.29	31.62%
5	Billy Joe	AMZN	Long	$2,008.72	$ 2,483.00	23.61%
6	John Henry	AMD	Long	$47.00	$ 53.10	12.98%
7	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	$219.07	$ 239.69	9.41%
8	S&P	SPY	Long	$321.73	$ 319.40	-0.72%
9	Dow	DIA	Long	$282.42	$ 271.54	-3.85%
10	Mr. Market	INTZ	Long	$5.97	$ 5.20	-12.90%
11	Tiedyed	CODA	Long	$6.29	$ 5.42	-13.83%
12	Wifwif	NVCR	Long	$81.46	$ 68.15	-16.34%
13	Mimo	NEXCF	Long	$2.25	$ 1.830	-18.67%
14	Minni17	OMF	Long	$42.37	$ 30.10	-28.96%
15	Phoenix7	SEAC	Long	$4.44	$ 1.99	-55.18%
16	Louetta	BDGY	Long	$0.14	$ 0.050	-64.29%

[jiesen]

While everything else I have is taking a dump today, CERS popped nearly 15%. Not sure why that is but it certainly is making me happy. Maybe due to the fact that COVID is going to be around with us a lot longer that anyone thought before, CERS will find their plasma treatment business to be much more lucrative?

[jiesen]

While everything else I have is taking a dump today, CERS popped nearly 15%. Not sure why that is but it certainly is making me happy. Maybe due to the fact that COVID is going to be around with us a lot longer that anyone thought before, CERS will find their plasma treatment business to be much more lucrative?

Well, crap. You're up 15% one day, then down 15% the next... figures. I guess everything just sucks right now, without exception.

[jiesen]

Well, crap. You're up 15% one day, then down 15% the next... figures. I guess everything just sucks right now, without exception.

No, I take that back. Everything just really, really sucks right now.

[BlueWolf]

Another week and more moves. In particular, Mr. Market has moved into positive territory with some momentum behind his pick, INTZ. It’ll be interesting to see what awaits us in the coming weeks as the market, for the first time since the initial COVID-19 selloff, is showing some bearish signs. Buckle up, everybody.

	POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 12, 2020
	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Open	Current	Gain/Loss
1	Paco	REGN	Long	$337.94	$ 588.39	74.11%
2	Riverbabe	CRWD	Long	$61.09	$ 93.12	52.43%
3	Jiesen	CERS	Long	$4.01	$ 6.04	50.62%
4	BlueWolf	TTD	Long	$269.18	$ 354.51	31.70%
5	Billy Joe	AMZN	Long	$2,008.72	$ 2,545.02	26.70%
6	John Henry	AMD	Long	$47.00	$ 53.50	13.83%
7	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	$219.07	$ 235.88	7.67%
8	Mr. Market	INTZ	Long	$5.97	$ 6.15	3.02%
9	S&P	SPY	Long	$321.73	$ 304.38	-5.39%
10	Dow	DIA	Long	$282.42	$ 256.76	-9.09%
11	Tiedyed	CODA	Long	$6.29	$ 5.69	-9.54%
12	Wifwif	NVCR	Long	$81.46	$ 63.76	-21.73%
13	Mimo	NEXCF	Long	$2.25	$ 1.690	-24.89%
14	Minni17	OMF	Long	$42.37	$ 26.51	-37.43%
15	Phoenix7	SEAC	Long	$4.44	$ 1.78	-59.91%
16	Louetta	BDGY	Long	$0.14	$ 0.045	-67.64%

[BlueWolf]

POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 19, 2020

Things started to really bunch up at the top this week until REGN made a mega-move today to pull out to a substantial lead. The thing is, if Regeneron is one of the first to produce a C0VID-19 vaccine, as a lot of people seem to be betting, there will be a lot more upside to come. What an excellent pick, Paco. Also keep an eye on Mr. Market’s pick INTZ. There’s a lot of heat in that stock right now. It may be trying to be number one ... with a bullet! There are certainly some excellent picks this year. If you’re still below water, however, don’t despair. There’s still a lot of year ahead of us and who knows what surprises the market has up its sleeve.

	POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 19, 2020
	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Open	Current	Gain/Loss
1	Paco	REGN	Long	$337.94	$ 642.93	90.25%
2	Riverbabe	CRWD	Long	$61.09	$ 101.08	65.46%
3	Jiesen	CERS	Long	$4.01	$ 6.32	57.61%
4	BlueWolf	TTD	Long	$269.18	$ 394.78	46.66%
5	Billy Joe	AMZN	Long	$2,008.72	$ 2,675.01	33.17%
6	Mr. Market	INTZ	Long	$5.97	$ 7.18	20.27%
7	John Henry	AMD	Long	$47.00	$ 54.23	15.38%
8	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	$219.07	$ 244.24	11.49%
9	S&P	SPY	Long	$321.73	$ 308.64	-4.07%
10	Dow	DIA	Long	$282.42	$ 258.80	-8.36%
11	Tiedyed	CODA	Long	$6.29	$ 5.07	-19.40%
12	Wifwif	NVCR	Long	$81.46	$ 63.37	-22.21%
13	Mimo	NEXCF	Long	$2.25	$ 1.73	-23.11%
14	Minni17	OMF	Long	$42.37	$ 25.96	-38.73%
15	Phoenix7	SEAC	Long	$4.44	$ 1.69	-61.94%
16	Louetta	BDGY	Long	$0.14	$ 0.034	-75.57%

[BlueWolf]

POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 26, 2020

Well, Paco’s REGN reined in a little after making made a moon shot last week. This has put Jiesen’s CERS within striking distance for the lead, as Jiesen reclaimed the number two spot. Not far behind is Riverbabe’s CRWD with yours truly’s TTD hanging on to 4th place. The big story this week, however, is probably Mimo’s NEXCF, which enjoyed a banner week that sent it from a 23% loser to being a 32% winner. I told you things could change fast, so for those of you still below water, do not despair. We’re not even half way through the contest timeline yet!

	POY Contest Standings, As of Market Close June 26, 2020
	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Open	Current	Gain/Loss
1	Paco	REGN	Long	$337.94	$ 611.36	80.91%
2	Jiesen	CERS	Long	$4.01	$ 6.86	71.07%
3	Riverbabe	CRWD	Long	$61.09	$ 98.79	61.71%
4	BlueWolf	TTD	Long	$269.18	$ 407.03	51.21%
5	Billy Joe	AMZN	Long	$2,008.72	$ 2,692.87	34.06%
6	Mimo	NEXCF	Long	$2.25	$ 2.98	32.44%
7	Mr. Market	INTZ	Long	$5.97	$ 6.75	13.07%
8	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	$219.07	$ 240.22	9.65%
9	John Henry	AMD	Long	$47.00	$ 50.10	6.60%
10	S&P	SPY	Long	$321.73	$ 300.05	-6.74%
11	Dow	DIA	Long	$282.42	$ 250.38	-11.34%
12	Tiedyed	CODA	Long	$6.29	$ 5.12	-18.60%
13	Wifwif	NVCR	Long	$81.46	$ 58.96	-27.62%
14	Minni17	OMF	Long	$42.37	$ 23.69	-44.09%
15	Phoenix7	SEAC	Long	$4.44	$ 1.42	-68.02%
16	Louetta	BDGY	Long	$0.14	$ 0.042	-70.00%

[mimo_100]

I love taking a shot at a low priced stock in this contest!

[mimo_100]

I did a rough calculation on the POTY 2020 stocks. I estimated if you purchased (or shorted) 1 share of each of the stocks on 1/31/2020, the current market price would be approximately $4048 for an increase of $1177 or 41% in 5 months.

[BlueWolf]

I love taking a shot at a low priced stock in this contest!

You picked a winner, Mimo. NEXCF took off like a moon shot this week. You were briefly in first place, but it pulled in a little. Getting interesting.

[antioch6]

Can you put me and my dad in with the 20% penalty? He wants MSFT as his pick. I want EA. Thanks, if possible.

[BlueWolf]

Can you put me and my dad in with the 20% penalty? He wants MSFT as his pick. I want EA. Thanks, if possible.

John Henry, can we do that? If so would it be as of today or tomorrow? I can integrate it into my spreadsheet, if it’s OK.

[jiesen]

Happy New Year!

You have until February 1, 2020 up to 11:59 PM PST to make a pick – Starting price will be January 31, 2020 closing price (per Google, unless it's shown that the Google price is incorrect). Any stocks trading on the NASDAQ, AMEX, NYSE or, OTC – Long or short.

We welcome IPOs if picked by the end of February 1, 2020 – Starting price will be the closing price of the IPO.

Picks submitted after February 1, 2020 are welcome – A 20% penalty of the closing price.

Short share price – Price when delisted plus a 20% penalty of the closing price.

A reverse split, split, or, symbol change – OK if you let us know prior to or on February 1, 2020 (For example, Louetta informed us with her pick of LOGG) otherwise a 20% penalty for the extra research.

I will post on February 2, 2020 before I leave. I will be hiking for several months. I will update the monthly results if I get internet connection or when I come back home.

Discussions and concerns are welcome. Good Luck!

I think that the rules are pretty clear in this case... late picks are allowed and welcome, with the 20% penalty. There's no second deadline, so I would assume any time before the end of the year, you could enter with the penalty. (of course the longer you wait, the less hope you'd have of actually winning) Unless there are any objections, I would just go by what the rules say.

Also, to your other question, the price would probably best be taken as the closing price on the day it was picked here. But if you're tracking it, I would say it's probably best left to you to interpret the rules and decide which price to use. If you do pick the wrong price, you can always correct it later, but I have a feeling there won't be much objection if you are off by a day or a dime on this one.