Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • dmk112
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2004
    • 1759

    SNHY: Sure did take a nice bounce off 26.50!!
    http://twitter.com/DMK112

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    • dmk112
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2004
      • 1759

      I guess shorting FORD & SHNY last week would of paid off! Darn!
      http://twitter.com/DMK112

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by dmk112
        I think the channel long was hit on FORD yesterday, and it failed. What low are you looking at?

        SHYNY: Where did you get in?
        On FORD, I'm talking about the 50% retrace system in my other thread 'swing trading Mr. Market's Top 5', have you seen it yet? That's the long from 12.20.

        As far as channels failing, I don't use the term 'failed'; but rather the channel expanded, which is a caution for longs, but doesn't qualify as a break yet. If price clearly breaks it and continues, then it's clearly a failure. An expansion is just a heads up that your entry (had you got a good one) may be taken out. I've gone long on plenty of expanding channels that worked out OK.
        And for FORD, I just drew this one; not marked with a price, but still a low point. The one from 7.51 is the expanding channel. Either way, there may be a db in today now, with a channel long, which makes me feel better about the 50% system long anyway.

        SNHY: I got in at 28.50 near the db at 28.35 this morning.


        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Originally posted by dmk112
          SNHY: Sure did take a nice bounce off 26.50!!
          Yep. Now forming a 12345abc c entry. I'll move stop to b/e and won't take a loss on it now. It's up or out for me.
          Originally posted by dmk112
          I guess shorting FORD & SHNY last week would of paid off! Darn!
          Them's the breaks. FORD just didn't give me the perfect entry I needed, move on to greener pastures, ya know. There's always going to be setups like those ones.

          Comment

          • dmk112
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2004
            • 1759

            C entry at 29?? (SNHY)
            http://twitter.com/DMK112

            Comment

            • dmk112
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2004
              • 1759

              Took NGPS triangle breakout here at 20.30...not looking good so far.

              EDIT: Actually a strong close... are you bullish on this one spike? Ima head over to the Cashmaker thread and see if he's still chasing this one.
              Last edited by dmk112; 04-12-2005, 04:01 PM.
              http://twitter.com/DMK112

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by dmk112
                C entry at 29?? (SNHY)
                You got it dude!

                Comment

                • dmk112
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2004
                  • 1759

                  oh oh...double top on ARO...do you see it spike??

                  This intraday pattern thing just makes it more complicated!! ahh... We got weekly, daily, not intraday...jeez...whiche one do you trust??
                  http://twitter.com/DMK112

                  Comment

                  • dmk112
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2004
                    • 1759

                    Yea the FORD 50% fib retrace looks nice...may just take it here..
                    http://twitter.com/DMK112

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      Originally posted by dmk112
                      Took NGPS triangle breakout here at 20.30...not looking good so far.
                      Chasing entry that one lol
                      Looks like you entered at the wave 3 completion up, which ain't the best entry, but hey, the channel from yesterday is actually turned up, which is bullish. But I would have passed on it myself. Needs to do some work first, but Good Luck with it!!!!

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by dmk112
                        oh oh...double top on ARO...do you see it spike??

                        This intraday pattern thing just makes it more complicated!! ahh... We got weekly, daily, not intraday...jeez...whiche one do you trust??
                        not a perfect one, but potentially could prove to be one. This is the test for the channel long now. Is it just a truncated 5th (overlapping 4 on 1) and now an abc correction. Maybe. In any case, if you were long from the triangle break down the bottom, you'd be holding tight onto your great entry and not fuss with double tops lol Let the knuckas that missed the perfect entry worry about it ya know.

                        lol - look at weekly as taking precedence; then daily, then intraday pattern.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Originally posted by dmk112
                          Yea the FORD 50% fib retrace looks nice...may just take it here..
                          Don't sweat it if you missed the entry. If you go and take a trade now and get stopped or suffer some red it's nuts. It really is worth the wait and worth lying in ambush. If you chase it'll catch you out more times than you will want. Be the ambusher, not the ambushee.

                          Comment

                          • dmk112
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2004
                            • 1759

                            Originally posted by spikefader
                            Don't sweat it if you missed the entry. If you go and take a trade now and get stopped or suffer some red it's nuts. It really is worth the wait and worth lying in ambush. If you chase it'll catch you out more times than you will want. Be the ambusher, not the ambushee.
                            Yes indeed...but most of the time I'm not at my computer therefore getting the perfect entry is almost impossible.

                            What do you suggest doing instead?
                            http://twitter.com/DMK112

                            Comment

                            • dmk112
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2004
                              • 1759

                              RE FORD:

                              I can't get over this one..LOL...I just discovered that two different FIBs coincided but at different retracements AND a channel long!

                              I'll see how tomorrow goes, but I may have to chase this one.

                              http://twitter.com/DMK112

                              Comment

                              • Websman
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 5545

                                From reading your posts, you guys look like you're having a lot of fun.
                                I'll join you when I retire in 13 years or when I strike a big real estate deal, whichever comes first. lol
                                Last edited by Websman; 04-12-2005, 05:47 PM.

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