Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    YM: swing long 11074. 30 pt stop.

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Originally posted by New-born baby
      $pike:
      AAPL may start to rotting. I know I am getting my head handed to me on the POTW. Its not real money, so I let AAPL ride. But if you take a look at the chart for AAPL, what you'll see is that AAPL head and shoulders broke the neck. Then, today we are having a retest of the broken neck. Setting up for a short, imho. Friday is options expiration, so that also plays a part, I think. In any case, what do you think?

      http://img308.imageshack.us/img308/4465/chart15vc.gif
      Well what you're lookin' at is a valid setup resistance play. But a 'c' long is until it ain't, and I'm lookin' for a bit more impulse up before the 2 correction....
      Intraday 70.00 should support well, and if it doesn't then maybe the 2's starting....
      The weekly for AAPL still looks OK, and the drop was impulse corrective....and it looks like it's owed one more up to new highs......but daily chart looks sick, save for the 'c'. I still like it long while the 'c' holds.

      Comment

      • New-born baby
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 6095

        Originally posted by spikefader
        Well what you're lookin' at is a valid setup resistance play. But a 'c' long is until it ain't, and I'm lookin' for a bit more impulse up before the 2 correction....
        Intraday 70.00 should support well, and if it doesn't then maybe the 2's starting....
        The weekly for AAPL still looks OK, and the drop was impulse corrective....and it looks like it's owed one more up to new highs......but daily chart looks sick, save for the 'c'. I still like it long while the 'c' holds.
        I think Monday I am going to be looking to short AAPL after the first impulse up near the open. In other words, I think AAPL will probably move up .35 cents or so, and I am going to be looking short at the first resistance I sense. We'll see how things work out the rest of today and tomorrow. That plan can change. But I do notice AAPL has pulled back to the $70 mark right now, and I am thinking that the sellers are going to come back in after expiration.
        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Originally posted by spikefader
          YM: swing long 11074. 30 pt stop.
          Caught a good entry today


          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Crop 4

            of the Crop #4.

            Outperforming the market by 1.28% since inception (4 days).


            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Creme of the Crop 1 to 4 totals.



              I just reflected back over past Creme systems and got some interesting numbers to show. The Creme series produces cumulative total of +23.2% (+5.8% average) versus a mere +2% for the $NDX Naz! lol

              So in effect, MM's model (with a little yours-truly filtering) discovers gems that outperform the broader market by a very impressive margin!

              Here's the scoop on the original ports if left open, as of today's close.

              Crop #1: +10.8%
              Crop #2: +14.6%
              Crop #3: -5.5%
              Crop #4: +3.3%
              ________________
              Total +23.2 cumulative
              +5.8% average.

              In the same time frame:
              NDX +2%
              DOW +4%
              SPX +4.5%

              Is Creme any good? I think it's a no-brainer myself. The numbers only get better if you keep Crop #3 limited to -4% system stop out I posted (6.1% average per system, and total of 24.3% cumulative).

              Original Creme of the Crop post here: http://tinyurl.com/cv2ms
              from 11-12-05

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                YM added at 11115. 15pt stop on this one.

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Originally posted by spikefader
                  YM added at 11115. 15pt stop on this one.
                  Push, not what I'm lookin fer.

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    YM add 11106. 15pt stop.

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      Originally posted by spikefader
                      YM add 11106. 15pt stop.
                      Nother push; stalkin' perfection.

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by spikefader
                        PTF count:


                        ...long here 18.28, with 2.6% risk stop under lod, to target 17% recent highs, which is only r/r of 6.6.....
                        Taking the 10% profit here on the gap up to R1 is the wisest move I think. I like the island reversal back there, but the original r/r was only 6.6, and I'm not liking daily volume much.


                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          YM try another add 11116. 20 pt stop.

                          Comment

                          • New-born baby
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 6095

                            That's right!

                            Originally posted by spikefader
                            Taking the 10% profit here on the gap up to R1 is the wisest move I think. I like the island reversal back there, but the original r/r was only 6.6, and I'm not liking daily volume much.
                            Smart move. It'll be down Monday . . . .
                            pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              Originally posted by spikefader
                              YM try another add 11116. 20 pt stop.
                              Another push doh, thought I had that one!

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                YM: Closed the swing long for +45 points. I'll stalk next week for another.

                                Comment

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