Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

[DSteckler]

My understanding is that if the 10 yr note falls to 102 from the current level of 108, then interest rates that one would pay for borrowing money would be around 8% from the current level of about 4.75 prime.

If the 10-Year fell to 102 the yield would be 4.25%. The 10-year is currently 98 7/8. Where are you getting 108 from?

[mimo_100]

Greetings,

Can you explain to an idiot,my understanding is that interest rates are ready to take off?

To a fixed income investor,short term notes are the play?

cordially Tom

Tom,

Here is a table containing the lowest and highest government yields since 2/8/2005. The current yields are those in the "large 3/2/06" column, meaning that we are experiencing the highest yields right now.The 3 month bill is up over 2% which translates into an 80% increase in the interest rate. This is already a pretty good take-off, wouldn't you agree?

Do you have some short term notes maturing soon?

[TFred]

Tom,

Here is a table containing the lowest and highest government yields since 2/8/2005. The current yields are those in the "large 3/2/06" column, meaning that we are experiencing the highest yields right now.The 3 month bill is up over 2% which translates into an 80% increase in the interest rate. This is already a pretty good take-off, wouldn't you agree?

Do you have some short term notes maturing soon?

Greetings,

No I dont,but my Mother and Grandmother do,I advised to take the shortest term available through the banks that they deal with.

Why would anyone tie up money for 10 years when you can do better short term?Im sure theres a good reason,escapes me though.Thats all Rick Santelli talks about on CNBC every morning.

Too bad someone didnt tell MIke Tyson to put some of his 400mil. in these,at least he wouldnt be broke.

cordially Tom

[TFred]

Greetings,

Concerning my past bottom call on ZICA,Im willing to put my money with it now.
In at 1.65,stop at 1.55,target way up.



thoughts by anyone?

cordially Tom

[TFred]

Greetings once again Spike,

Since Im still with Scottrade for the time being,and they dont allow short trades below $5,Im considering SIRI here on the short side at 5.08,downtrend looks fairly strong.

cordially Tom

[spikefader]

Greetings,

Concerning my past bottom call on ZICA,Im willing to put my money with it now.
In at 1.65,stop at 1.55,target way up.



thoughts by anyone?

cordially Tom

I'd rather risk 6% elsewhere. But good luck dude! Hope I am way wrong...

[spikefader]

Greetings once again Spike,

Since Im still with Scottrade for the time being,and they dont allow short trades below $5,Im considering SIRI here on the short side at 5.08,downtrend looks fairly strong.

cordially Tom

I like SIRI short. Could be coming off a 'c' short back there on Feb 15, and with that volume gap down, this little 4 up by the looks today...so 5 down coming? Also I like the weekly long-term broadening triangle it just recently broke down. SIRI at risk of getting hammered.

Good luck!

[spikefader]

[spikefader]

Creme of the Crop #5 is in development

It's that time again folks! Creme of the Crop that is!

MM's The Exelauno Day Data Dump has been done today, and therefore, Creme of the Crop #5 will be on the table tomorrow for entries. I've got the short list done and this one is gonna be tricky getting this list of 45 down to 10.....I'll post the final 10 tonight and buy them at intraday levels of support tomorrow. Stay tuned folks!

My short list:
lkqx luk mdr mek mtxx oats oxps pcu pets pozn rsti sbac scss spil talx ts wfr abax acli airm alks asf baby bits blkb bmrn celg ceo cib clg cmc cme diod dmx fto ggb hans hbx iiin ilf ips ise jlg joyg knot

[spikefader]

Creme of the Crop update:

Crop 4 is still open with +5% system average at the close. (new rules)
Crop 3 stopped out -4% (new rules)
Crop 2 closed +8% (previous leveraging rules) and +15% (new rules)
Crop 1 closed +6.5% (previous leveraging rules) and open +13% (new rules)

Note: Rules for Crops 1 and 2 involved elimination of weak stocks and leveraging into the strong ones. Rules from Crop 3 onward keeps the original picks open and there is no elimination and leveraging. I will keep these rules for the Crop Series from this point onward.

I will also be originating the Crop series from a personal blog at some time in the future, so stayed tuned.

[mystiky]

Goog

Hi Spike,

With all the goings on with GOOG, what are you thoughts on the chart for the next 2 weeks? I am thinking of selling some March calls, and to my eye, it looks like there is quite a bit of resistance in the $395-$405 area. In addition, the 50-day moving avg is at $410 and heading lower every day.

Do you have any thoughts? The March options expire on March 17...

Thanks!

P.S. I expect all of the analysts to come out and give their blessing following the analyst day today, so there is really a good chance that it may gapup and open over $390 tommorow.

[spikefader]

Creme of the Crop #5



Crop 5 is ready for trading!

The 10 Cremey stocks are GGB, CIB, CELG, JLG, ASF, LUK, AIRM, PETS, OATS, JOYG.

I'll open positions with these 10 stocks at areas of intraday support in a few hours

[spikefader]

Spike can you post your rules for the Creme of The Crop I can not locate them as always thanks much

RL,

Crop rules for this fresh Crop remain unchanged.

• Buy the 10 picks tomorrow at intraday support levels.
• Max -20% risk on any 1 position
• Close the entire port as soon as the average percentage loss hits -4% and take that minimal and still respectable loss.
• Target 15% for the port average.
• Breakeven stop on all positions once it gets to good profit.

If anyone is interested, I've started recording the Crop series at a blog now for anyone wanting to post questions to clarify what it is, rules, etc. The beauty of blogging is the option to link posts to a category when I post them...so so it'll make searching for Crop-related posts (and anything else for that matter) very simple. It may also perhaps attract a wider audience of readers that I can link back here to Ernie's website.

[alice4321us]

Cool Blog

RL,

Crop rules for this fresh Crop remain unchanged.

• Buy the 10 picks tomorrow at intraday support levels.
• Max -20% risk on any 1 position
• Close the entire port as soon as the average percentage loss hits -4% and take that minimal and still respectable loss.
• Target 15% for the port average.
• Breakeven stop on all positions once it gets to good profit.

If anyone is interested, I've started recording the Crop series at a blog now for anyone wanting to post questions to clarify what it is, rules, etc. The beauty of blogging is the option to link posts to a category when I post them...so so it'll make searching for Crop-related posts (and anything else for that matter) very simple. It may also perhaps attract a wider audience of readers that I can link back here to Ernie's website.

Spike

Thanks for the blog site. It will make it much easier to go thru your posts subject related. I use SharpReader to subscribe to RSS feeds of the blogs and this would be one of the top reads there.

Looking forward to it dude.

Alice

[New-born baby]

I love the Creme

$pike:
I love the Creme! Thank you !