Originally posted by stenzrob on 10/8
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Originally posted by stenzrob View PostBack into AOB again at $12.68 and WFR at $63.95.
It was a mistake to set myself up to get stopped out of these two.
Still also holding BLUD.
AOB's PEG is 0.4, ROE is over 20%, virtually no debt, trending up, highly rated by that daily newsthingy, and ... still about 11M shares short. Also worth noting large insider stake. The most volatile of the 3, but with the best chance of a short term (3 to 6 month) double.
BLUD PEG is 1.72, ROE is over 33%, no debt, trending up, also highly rated by IDK (I Don't Know), and ... about 4M shares short as of 9/11. Actually, this may have been reduced somewhat after the last report, when price popped on 4M shares traded. Blood testing; it's not trendy china something or alt energy, but it's moving in the right direction. According to some of the metrics I usually look at (PEG, P/S), it's not undervalued, but that won't matter as long as they keep growing. This will take longer to double.
WFR PEG is 0.62, ROE is over 43%, no debt, not trending anywhere, highly rated, but no significant short position. This should be moving better with solar stocks, but just isn't. Despite being undervalued IMHO, this would be the one that I am most likely to get annoyed eventually at the lack of price movement. Then, of course, it would jump.
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Bought some AVAV today at $23.85.
Saw this when it spiked to a new high on 10/9 on news of a fast charge for electric vehicle demonstration. They have a steady revenue stream from unmanned aerial reconnaisance vehicles, and developed the fast charge technology for that application. ALTI also spiked on that news, but it's much more speculative. I'm thinking about trying to trade that one.
PEG is only 1.1, ROE is over 25%, no debt, and high insider ownership at about 45%. Motley Fool likes it, too: http://www.fool.com/investing/small-...-a-winner.aspx
I'm expecting this to show up on the MM screens in about a year for having doubled but still reasonably valued.
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Originally posted by stenzrob View PostBought some ALTI for $4.03.
Just entered a trailing stop for 15 cents below.
With the stock at $4.50, the stop is currently at $4.35, which would still be an 8% gain.
If it spikes up and falls back, or just falls back, I'll be out of it.
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Originally posted by stenzrob View PostNice luck here.
Just entered a trailing stop for 15 cents below.
With the stock at $4.50, the stop is currently at $4.35, which would still be an 8% gain.
If it spikes up and falls back, or just falls back, I'll be out of it.
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Sold AOB and BLUD today, both for small profits.
Neither one seems to be doing much of anything, maybe the medical sector is not currently in favor.
So, I am left with positions in AVAV and WFR.
AVAV position is up about 4% from my buy at $23.85.
WFR position is down a few percent from my buy at $63.95.
Will be looking for some new short term positions.
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Originally posted by stenzrob View Post... I am left with positions in AVAV and WFR.
AVAV position is up about 4% from my buy at $23.85.
My guess is that the market will get whacked today and it will be hard for anything to stay up, so I am playing it safe and completing my shuffle to the sidelines and see what opportunities arise. I really like AVAV, though, and will be looking to get back in again.
Still holding WFR for now.
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Originally posted by stenzrob View PostBought VOCS for $33.60.
Noticed it as a new high, waited for brief intraday pullback.
Stop currently at $34.10, should be good for a minimum of a few percent gain, more if it keeps running. Just want to hit&run in this nasty market.
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Originally posted by stenzrob View PostThis caught an updraft after I bought, so I set a 25 cent trailing stop.
Stop currently at $34.10, should be good for a minimum of a few percent gain, more if it keeps running. Just want to hit&run in this nasty market.
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My small single position cash account is actually up 37.8%, including commissions, in the 2+ weeks since October 8 when I started trying this new daytrading thing where I just look at new highs moving on volume in the first hour, buy one of them and then set a trailing stop. This is a dangerous game, and possibly I need to work a bit on setting the trailing stop not so tight. Using this as my blog and review, what has happened?
10/8 buy EXAS $4.06
10/8 sell EXAS $4.46 (+9.85%)
This one eventually went to $6 on 10/16 before opening the next morning at $3.50 on some nasty news. Any reasonable trailing stop would have taken me out at a loss. It's now back at $4.25. A good reason not to ever hold overnight?
10/9 buy WATG $8.17
10/11 sell WATG $8.48 (+3.79%)
10/11 buy WATG $7.82
10/18 sell WATG $8.23 (+5.24%)
The trailing stop worked just right on the first exit, allowed the much lower second buy price. Got lucky to get the second exit, this was not a trailing stop, and took a week. This stock now appears to be dead again.
10/19 buy ALTI $4.03
10/23 sell ALTI 4.78 (+18.6%)
Half of my gains of the last few weeks came on this one. The new high (over $5) was actually back on 10/9, so the entrance was a bit delayed, but the trailing stop worked perfectly.
10/24 buy VOCS $33.60
10/24 sell VOCS $34.19 (+1.76%)
Missed a lot of the advance on this one. With a couple of glitchy intraday swings, almost any trailing stop designed to prevent a sudden big loss would have taken me out somewhere along the way. The only solution would have been to manually adjust a static stop, but that's not what I'm trying to accomplish.
If anyone is reading this, good luck trying to find a method that can actually be followed in any routine fashion, and thanks for stopping by!
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