Portfolio of the Week
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I see a couple of "kindred spirit" (trading for breakouts to an all-time high pps) picks this week. That is, for ANST, PAY, and BTU, I see picks where the chart indicates a recent move (or imminent move) to a new all-time high that surpasses a recent recognizable peak or range of resistance.
After working through an ascending triangle formation, ANST is sitting right at previously established resistance of about a month's duration and indicates an imminent breakout above 35.50. In my experience, what gives this kind of setup an even higher probability of success is to find that the RSI plot is already in an uptrend of about 1 month's duration and has a present measure >60 to 65. We almost have this for ANST so it is a close call. Buying in anticipation of the breakout is one way to play it, or buying just after the breakout (but within about 5% to 8% of the resistance point, to allow for an 8% or so stop loss after the buy) is another. Sometimes the breakout can take the pps way beyond 8% of the pivot; the stock's previous history might give you a tell on that. Or you can use other technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Band width plot available at stockcharts.com, that might give a tell for pent-up bullish energy.
PAY made its breakout last Friday (beyond a previous peak established in early Nov 2005) but has retraced in the next two sessions including today. Again, before buying this breakout I would be looking for a rising RSI going into the breakout day, which wasn't quite the case for PAY. This one may still give very good appreciation in the next week or two (perhaps longer).
BTU is also working its way back (via an ascending triangle formation) to a previous all-time high pps peak established in early October 2005. At today's close it is about 4.5% from that high. The RSI is in a slight uptrend since mid November 2005, a positive tell. However, the ADX plot has not yet turned northward, which would indicate the presence of a new trending behavior. Use the stock's recent pps volatility to determine whether a buy in anticipation of an imminent breakout is premature.
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Originally posted by WebsmanI want to sell CDV and go short on GRMN, thurs morning.
How about Poorman's MFLX? up HUGE today!!!! I used to own that stock @ around $16.... didn't think it had that much gas in it.... BOY was I WRONG!!!!
Who wanted to play it in the TA vs FA contest?.... Was that DMK or Runner? Really Hope someone here owned it. Haven't heard any talk about it though.BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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Thursday's Scorecard....
GARY!!!! DUDE! you've taken the lead! nice pick.... Spike's in second.... Greb has 3rd....
hmmmmm.... Will $$$Mr. Market$$$ end the week green? Tomorrow's the last trading day of 2005!!!! Who will win this last 2005 POTW?.... STAY TUNED FELLAS and see.... This could be HUUUUUGE!!!!
BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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Sorry Jiesen!
Originally posted by jiesenI'm going to go long AMLN again for next week (not that I'm complaining, but why wasn't my AMLN pick for this week entered?).BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!
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Lye, here's the reminder: CMCO long. This week wasn't bad: up 3.2% (calculated from the close of the previous week).
Regards,
KarelMy Investopedia portfolio
(You need to have a (free) Investopedia or Facebook login, sorry!)
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