Portfolio of the Week

[Lyehopper]

Hey BJ or anyone else .... In preparing to set up this contest I have back tested some of the results from last week and I'm finding some inconsistancies. Could someone double check a few tickers and see what the % gain/loss last week was. A few I am questioning are MSTR, HTRN, FORD ....

On MSTR in particular my data shows a very different week opening price. I show it opened on 7-18-05 @ 66.84 and closed @ 67.80 on 7-22-05 resulting in a weekly gain of $0.96 or 1.44%.

On the others listed above the math just ain't working for me.

I thought I would set it up this way:

Stock Wk-open today's-close $gain/loss %gain/loss Balance

The $gain/loss (per share) and the %gain/loss would be interim figures and up to date as tallied, I see no need to list the previous day's data. Am I missing something?

Thoughts?

[Lyehopper]

Upon further review I think I know the problem. It is that there are some differences in the week opening figure that BJ used and the ones on data base shows. Example: I show FORD opening @ 18.51 not 18.50 .... I show MSTR opening @ 66.84 and not 67.00 (big difference) .... After checking HTRN again (and not rounding any decimals up or down) I came up (to the penny) with BJ's figures. I back tested several more and also came up with the exact figures as BJ.

OK fellas.... I'm confident that I can accurately keep score even though I'll configure the score card a little differently than BJ.

BJ where do you get your wk-open stock price from? I'll probably just use yahoo finance.

[IIC]

I thought we used Stockcharts.com for the official prices

[drutzen]

if it is not too late,
VPHM long
GEPT short
thanks

[dmk112]

Lye, where are thou? J/k...take your time...my pick is looking good though, tighter and tighter...

[Lyehopper]

Portfolio of the week contest .... Monday 7/25/05

Here are the results after one day. Dru takes the early lead with VPHM (L) and a super hot short pick in GEPT ... Webs (in 2nd) strikes gold with IPIX (L) ... The market down today but only one player is in negative territory (and only slightly). Might just be some real talent here after all. I feel like I'll learn something if I hang around here long enough.


contestant * interim rank (this week)
Stock * wk-open * 7/25 close * $ gain * % gain * balance * last wk ranked

Dru * #1
VPHM (L) 11.00 * 11.60 * 0.60 * 5.45% * 5,272.73 * #4
GEPT (S) 7.59 * 6.45 * 1.14 * 15.02% * 5,750.99
totals: 10.23% * 11,023.72

Websman * #2
IPIX (L) 3.62 * 4.13 * 0.51 * 14.09% * 5,704.42 * #10 (*DNP)
NGPS (S) 35.62 * 36.21 * -0.59 * -1.66% * 4,917.18
totals: 6.22% * 10,621.60

Jiesen * #3
GFCI.pk (L) 0.39 * 0.37 * -0.02 * -5.1% * 4,743.59 * #9
ABRX.q (S) 1.37 * 1.23 * 0.14 * 10.22% *5,510.95
totals: 2.5% * 10,254.54

IIC (Doug) * #4
SIRI (L) 7.00 * 7.00 * 0.0 * 0.0% * 2,500.00 * #1
PRLS (L) 3.85 * 3.74 * -0.11 * -2.86% * 2,428.57
AMHC (L) 42.61 * 42.45 * 0.16 * 0.03% * 2,509.39
ABRX (S) 1.37 * 1.23 * 0.14 * 10.22% * 2,755.47
totals: 1.93% * 10,193.43

DMK * #5
DCEL (L) 6.82 * 6.87 * 0.05 * 0.07% * 5,036.66 * #3
GOOG (S) 302.54 * 295.85 * 6.69 * 2.21% * 5,110.56
totals: 1.47% * 10,147.22

RL (Ray) * #6
SGDE (L) 23.02 * 21.76 * -1.26 * -5.47% * 4,726.33 * #2
ACEL (S) 2.37 * 2.18 * 0.19 * 8.02% * 5,400.84
totals: 1.27% * 10,127.17

Spike * #7
ZICA (L) 2.65 * 2.57 * -0.08 * -3.02% * 2,424.53 * #8
ENG (L) 6.00 * 6.41 * 0.41 * 6.83% * 2,670.83
SNDA (S) 34.55 * 34.66 * -0.11 * 0.03% * 2,492.04
ELN (S) 7.92 * 7.85 * 0.07 * 0.09% * 2,522.10
totals: 1.1% 10,109.50

Big-N * #8
RADS (L) 12.17 * 12.20 * 0.03 * 0.02% * 2,506.16 * #6
OFC (L) 32.75 * 32.62 * -0.12 * -0.04 * 2,490.84
VRSO (S) 0.44 * 0.43 * 0.01 * 2.3% * 2,556.82
GOOG (S) 302.45 * 295.85 * 6.69 * 2.21% * 2,555.28
totals: 1.10% * 10,109.10

Lyehopper * #9
PARL (L) 31.37 * 31.10 * -0.27 * -0.09% * 2,478.48 * #7
IIIN (L) 14.41 * 13.79 * -0.62 * -4.30% * 2,392.44
ECOL (L) 17.99 * 17.69 * 0.30 * -1.67% * 2,458.31
DSTI (S) 15.56 * 14.14 * 1.42 * 9.13% * 2,728.15
totals: 0.06% * 10,057.38

Diogenes * #10
EZPW (L) 14.82 * 15.31 * 0.49 * 3.30% * 5,172.54 * #5
FMDAY (S) 0.57 * 0.59 * -0.02 * -3.51% * 4,824.56
totals: -0.003% * 9,997.10

Note: I used yahoo finance for the wk-open and day-close data. If you feel I have made a mistake please post your complaint and I'll address it. If you have comments about the way I have kept score please post that too. Positive or negative feedback welcome. This is more time consuming than I realized, I have a new found respect for BJ now.lol

*DNP= did not play last week

[jiesen]

can someone crunch the numbers on Dru's average weekly returns on this contest? This guy is a phenomenon!

[spikefader]

Yep, Dru, you be on a hot streak dude.

[IIC]

Well...I let BJ off the hook until he posted the final standings last week...But Lye...you are not so lucky...I didn't pick ABRX short...although it would have been a good one...I picked ARBX short...it was down pretty good too...but not as much as the other one...Also, I think we should limt short pix to stocks $5.00+...I have a hard time believing anyone could actually get the shs to short ABRX...it should be down about "Halted" soon...IIC

[IIC]

BTW...I'm in another weekly contest...we use a Motley Fool Portfolio...it automatically keeps score...IIC

[jiesen]

Well...I let BJ off the hook until he posted the final standings last week...But Lye...you are not so lucky...I didn't pick ABRX short...although it would have been a good one...I picked ARBX short...it was down pretty good too...but not as much as the other one...Also, I think we should limt short pix to stocks $5.00+...I have a hard time believing anyone could actually get the shs to short ABRX...it should be down about "Halted" soon...IIC

I disagree. Where there's a will, there's a way! The big boys short these disasters all the way down to 0 all the time. And even when all the shares have been borrowed, naked shorting continues to drive down the price. The fact that we need Reg SHO (even though it doesn't work- in fact it practically legitamizes naked shorting) is proof that it's indeed going on. Anway, there's no way for the contest holder to verify availability of shares, so why bother trying to determine which could/couldn't be shorted in the "real world". Maybe a lower $ limit is worthwhile, just to keep me from shorting GBMS again, but $5 is a bit high. Lots of good short candidates can be found in the $1-5 range. ABRX is a great example.

[Lyehopper]

Portfolio of the week contest .... Monday 7/25/05

Here are the results after one day. Dru takes the early lead with VPHM (L) and a super hot short pick in GEPT ... Webs (in 2nd) strikes gold with IPIX (L) ... The market down today but only one player is in negative territory (and only slightly). Might just be some real talent here after all. I feel like I'll learn something if I hang around here long enough.


contestant * interim rank (this week)
Stock * wk-open * 7/25 close * $ gain * % gain * balance * last wk ranked

Dru * #1
VPHM (L) 11.00 * 11.60 * 0.60 * 5.45% * 5,272.73 * #4
GEPT (S) 7.59 * 6.45 * 1.14 * 15.02% * 5,750.99
totals: 10.23% * 11,023.72

Websman * #2
IPIX (L) 3.62 * 4.13 * 0.51 * 14.09% * 5,704.42 * #10 (*DNP)
NGPS (S) 35.62 * 36.21 * -0.59 * -1.66% * 4,917.18
totals: 6.22% * 10,621.60

Jiesen * #3
GFCI.pk (L) 0.39 * 0.37 * -0.02 * -5.1% * 4,743.59 * #9
ABRX.q (S) 1.37 * 1.23 * 0.14 * 10.22% *5,510.95
totals: 2.5% * 10,254.54

DMK * #4
DCEL (L) 6.82 * 6.87 * 0.05 * 0.07% * 5,036.66 * #3
GOOG (S) 302.54 * 295.85 * 6.69 * 2.21% * 5,110.56
totals: 1.47% * 10,147.22

RL (Ray) * #5
SGDE (L) 23.02 * 21.76 * -1.26 * -5.47% * 4,726.33 * #2
ACEL (S) 2.37 * 2.18 * 0.19 * 8.02% * 5,400.84
totals: 1.27% * 10,127.17

Spike * #6
ZICA (L) 2.65 * 2.57 * -0.08 * -3.02% * 2,424.53 * #8
ENG (L) 6.00 * 6.41 * 0.41 * 6.83% * 2,670.83
SNDA (S) 34.55 * 34.66 * -0.11 * 0.03% * 2,492.04
ELN (S) 7.92 * 7.85 * 0.07 * 0.09% * 2,522.10
totals: 1.1% 10,109.50

Big-N * #7
RADS (L) 12.17 * 12.20 * 0.03 * 0.02% * 2,506.16 * #6
OFC (L) 32.75 * 32.62 * -0.12 * -0.04 * 2,490.84
VRSO (S) 0.44 * 0.43 * 0.01 * 2.3% * 2,556.82
GOOG (S) 302.45 * 295.85 * 6.69 * 2.21% * 2,555.28
totals: 1.10% * 10,109.10

Lyehopper * #8
PARL (L) 31.37 * 31.10 * -0.27 * -0.09% * 2,478.48 * #7
IIIN (L) 14.41 * 13.79 * -0.62 * -4.30% * 2,392.44
ECOL (L) 17.99 * 17.69 * 0.30 * -1.67% * 2,458.31
DSTI (S) 15.56 * 14.14 * 1.42 * 9.13% * 2,728.15
totals: 0.06% * 10,057.38

IIC (Doug) * #9
SIRI (L) 7.00 * 7.00 * 0.0 * 0.0% * 2,500.00 * #1
PRLS (L) 3.85 * 3.74 * -0.11 * -2.86% * 2,428.57
AMHC (L) 42.61 * 42.45 * 0.16 * 0.03% * 2,509.39
ARBX (S) 7.00 * 6.76 * 0.24 * 3.43% * 2,585.71
totals: 0.024% * 10,023.67

Diogenes * #10
EZPW (L) 14.82 * 15.31 * 0.49 * 3.30% * 5,172.54 * #5
FMDAY (S) 0.57 * 0.59 * -0.02 * -3.51% * 4,824.56
totals: -0.003% * 9,997.10

Note: I used yahoo finance for the wk-open and day-close data. If you feel I have made a mistake please post your complaint and I'll address it. If you have comments about the way I have kept score please post that too. Positive or negative feedback welcome. This is more time consuming than I realized, I have a new found respect for BJ now.lol

*DNP= did not play last week

[Lyehopper]

Above are the revised results .... Dougs "honesty" has put him in 9th place. Thanks Doug for the correction.

Short selling is a great way to build your earnings, Just look at some of the short picks here that are performing GEPT 15.02% * DSTI 9.13% * ACEL 8.02%. Ray didn't want to play short and just look at his pick from yesterday, sure is beating his long pick.lol .... About limiting what stocks we can short .... I do tend to agree with Doug's opinion, I doubt you or I could short ABRX this morning if we wanted to. If I run the contest next week I'll look into changes.

Please post your ideas for changes and tell me if you spot any more errors in my results.

[Lyehopper]

Portfolio of the week contest .... Tuesday 7/26/05

Dru maintains a strong lead and pulls further ahead with his short pick GEPT gaining him a whopping 19.1% in two days! WOW! Proof that it PAYS to know how to short sell .... Big-N moves up from 7th to capture the #2 spot! He is also making headway with two great short picks.

contestant * interim rank each day this week
Stock * wk-open * 7/26 close * $ gain * % gain * balance * last wk ranked

Dru * #1, #1
VPHM (L) 11.00 * 11.48 * 0.48 * 4.36% * 5,218.18 * #4
GEPT (S) 7.59 * 6.14 * 1.45 * 19.10% * 5,955.20
totals: 11.73% * 11,173.38

Big-N * #7, #2
RADS (L) 12.17 * 11.75 * -0.42 * 0.02% * 2,413.72 * #6
OFC (L) 32.75 * 33.20 * 0.45 * 1.37% * 2,534.35
VRSO (S) 0.44 * 0.37 * 0.07 * 15.9% * 2,897.73
GOOG (S) 302.45 * 296.09 * 6.45 * 2.13% * 2,553.31
totals: 3.99% * 10,399.11

Websman * #2, #3
IPIX (L) 3.62 * 3.79 * 0.17 * 4.7% * 5,234.81 * #10 (*DNP)
NGPS (S) 35.62 * 35.69 * 0.07 * 0.02% * 5,009.83
totals: 2.45% * 10,244.64

RL (Ray) * #5, #4
SGDE (L) 23.02 * 21.92 * -1.10 * -4.78% * 4,761.08 * #2
ACEL (S) 2.37 * 2.16 * 0.21 * 8.86% * 5,443.04
totals: 2.04% * 10,204.12

DMK * #4, #5
DCEL (L) 6.82 * 6.84 * 0.02 * 0.29% * 5,014.66 * #3
GOOG (S) 302.54 * 296.09 * 6.45 * 2.13% * 5,106.60
totals: 1.21% * 10,121.26

Spike * #6, #6
ZICA (L) 2.65 * 2.57 * -0.08 * -3.02% * 2,424.53 * #8
ENG (L) 6.00 * 6.41 * 0.41 * 6.83% * 2,670.83
SNDA (S) 34.55 * 34.16 * -0.39 * 1.13% * 2,528.22
ELN (S) 7.92 * 7.94 * -0.02 * -0.03% * 2,493.69
totals: 1.17% 10,117.27

Jiesen * #3, #7
GFCI.pk (L) 0.39 * 0.325 * -0.065 * -16.67% * 4,166.67 * #9
ABRX.q (S) 1.37 * 1.12 * 0.25 * 18.25% *5,912.41
totals: 0.08% * 10,079.08

Lyehopper * #8, #8
PARL (L) 31.37 * 31.17 * -0.20 * -0.06% * 2,484.06 * #7
IIIN (L) 14.41 * 13.78 * -0.63 * -4.37% * 2,390.70
ECOL (L) 17.99 * 17.68 * -0.31 * -1.72% * 2,456.92
DSTI (S) 15.56 * 14.10 * 1.46 * 9.38% * 2,734.58
totals: 0.07% * 10,066.26

IIC (Doug) * #9, #9
SIRI (L) 7.00 * 7.00 * 0.0 * 0.0% * 2,500.00 * #1
PRLS (L) 3.85 * 3.60 * -0.25 * -6.44% * 2,337.66
AMHC (L) 42.61 * 43.21 * 0.60 * 1.41% * 2,535.20
ARBX (S) 7.00 * 6.62 * 0.38 * 5.43% * 2,635.71
totals: 0.009% * 10,008.57

Diogenes * #10, #10
EZPW (L) 14.82 * 15.73 * 0.91 * 6.14% * 5,307.02 * #5
FMDAY (S) 0.57 * 0.61 * -0.04 * -7.02% * 4,649.12
totals: -0.044% * 9,956.14

[Websman]

Can you elaborate on your NGPS choice for a short, webs? If you'd like that is... thx

You dare question a Vulcan???


Seriously though, I hope you guys took your profit on NGPS before it dropped.