AIRT pop out, $17.00 strong buy
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ANTP lead the NGPS fall, not need to worry about NGPS, will up tomorrow. I already pr
ANTP lead the NGPS fall, not need to worry about NGPS, will up tomorrow. I already predicted it will fall this morning due to 5 straight days up. Typical profit taken with low volume.I full loaded at 21.4 level. Let's see how it jump tomorrow.
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Originally posted by WebsmanCashmaker never replys to anyone. Is he a human or a computer????
Eh, Cashmaker? Hello?
Interesting guy indeed.
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Folks: I just start my post here for several days and I am a serious trader
I do a lot of research and analyst during and after market close. I definitely read some threads on the board. If you are a good analyst, only the research will squeeze all your time. If you think my comment is useless, just ignore it. I believe someday you guys will agree with my work.
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Cash, I'm I'n your corner for now.If you are sincere about being confused on
this site I understand but If your not you should leave. As for your picks keep them up we get It all day on tv and the web sites. No one has to buy what you suggest. But I in tend to watch your picks for awhile. Why not pick on The portfolio of the week and see how you do.Ray Long
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Originally posted by cashmakerI do a lot of research and analyst during and after market close. I definitely read some threads on the board. If you are a good analyst, only the research will squeeze all your time. If you think my comment is useless, just ignore it. I believe someday you guys will agree with my work.
No body said that you aren't a good trader or that your comments are use less. Its just you pump stocks a bit too much, and making comments such as "Last chance to load NGPS below 21. It won't come back once it go up." is something done on the Yahoo boards and not here.
You can commend on stocks and post your analysis but pumping stocks is another thing.
Happy trading
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I'm on your side cashmaker
I think you have caught people off guard by your style of posting. I appreciate anyones stock picks as long as you arent just trying to pump and dump using this thread. Those that want to should ignore your thread. Those like me will follow your thread and decide for ourselves if your picks are worth following.
I ask that you continue as you have( keeping them all to this thread so lazy people like me can easily follow along)
You do strike me as having some knowledge and as you share more of it others may come along. I am sure ther are others on this site (beside me)that used to think spikefader's methods werent what we needed , but he has proven to be a great source of information and advice and would be sorely missed if he left. I hope I/we all feel the same about this thread in the future. If you dont mind, could you post buy ,target and sell prices when possible..
Thanks
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Complete NGPS analysis, FA, TA, News... Strong Buy
Complete NGPS analysis, FA, TA, News... Strong Buy
NGPS designs, markets and sells high-precision global positioning systems (GPS), a leading GPS devices and technology company in the world, has contracts with US, Canada, EURO, China, Indian, and more.
FA analysis:
Very solid company with PE ratio 16 and high growth margin and growth revenue. According to Quicken Stock evaluator, NGPS’s Growth trends, Financial Health, Management Performance, Market Multiples and Intrinsic value are all the highest ranking. Earnings Growth 249.50%, Revenue Growth 40.90%, ROE 39.01%. Very low debt with high Asset/Liability ratio which is 3.445. Low float, only 3.5 M float and 20% are holding by Institution.
TA analysis:
the bottom already established at $16 and have strong support at 50-Day Moving Average line. From last week, volume increased to almost 2M per day compared to its total floating 3.5M. From RSI and W%R ration implies the oversold in the last several months. From Lycos I-watch 1-week graphic http://thomson.finance.lycos.com/lyc...date=&x=12&y=5
Showing strong buy support. Moreover, Reuters April 1st updated the Analyst Recommendations and Revisions for NGPS to 2 which is outperform as well as Reuter gives low risk alert.
Reason why people pay attention to it:
1. NGPS was listed in Wall Street News Alert's U.S. Hot Stock Highlights, March 11, 2005
2. Also “Bellwether Report Is Keeping a Close Watch on NGPS, BKST, UFPT and ANTP” on Market Wire, 28 March.
3. NovAtel Inc. Awarded Contract for SBAS Equipment for Indian GAGAN Program on March 8th, 2005
4. NGPS undergoing NAVY big contract: http://www.eps.gov/spg/DON/NAVAIR/N0...SynopsisP.html
5.Mar 10 reported very strong earning as well as good guidance in 2005: http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/050310/105192_1.html
Reason why it fall from $53 to $17? This is due to one major holder CMC electronic sold their shares. However, CMC already finished their sell off. Why I imply the CMC almost finished their sell off:
From NGPS SEC filing
CMC Eletronic INC:
Holding 3/18/2005 875,000
Sold 3/18/2005 408,939
Sold 1/11/2005 3,170,161
Sold 1/07/2005 1,462,161
CMC purchased 12/30/2004 accumulative holding: 4,694,500 shares, sold 4,622,322
These simple number shows CMC has only 875K in hand and they are not planning to sell at current price level (if they want to sell, they must sell on Mar 18 together with those 400K. Keep these 875K shares will let CMC still be one of NGPS holder and partner). Actually CMC is also a GPS device producer partnered with NGPS for a long time, in CMC’s press release in 1998 (http://www.cmcelectronics.ca/En/Abou...s_main_en.html), they mentioned that the Novatel is the leader in this area and their products are sophisticated and compatable. Since CMC accumulate almost 5M NGPS shares at the average price around $17 per shares, they sold 2M shares at $53 and 3M shares at $42 and 400K at $24. This profit taken action brought CMC total more than 300 Million proceed compared to CMC’s enterprise value only 400 Million which means CMC increase its value with 6 month by 100%. What a big deal to CMC.
NGPS price dropped at the beginning of this year is purely due to CMC sell off, nothing to do with the company’s business, so this stock is definitely oversold. Today Apr 5, it went down a little bit due to the profit taken since it has up for 5 straight days. Safe entry level here at $21 with low downside risk, will see at least $25 in the next couple weeks together with 120K shares short covered. NGPS has same trend and pattern as ANTP, gradually goes back to its underlying value after heavily sold.
Short term target $25 and midterm target $30.
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