Jim's cycle trades

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  • I am ready for my labotomy cuz PSYS looks just too sweet.

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    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Originally posted by Jim Smith
      Spike....

      VPHM, calculate the % change from this day in 2005 to May 1 of 2005....It's like a 43% decline and apply that % decline to what I think will be the closing price of 19.50....look at a one year daily chart and tell me what you see.....Hint, chart gap at $11.15
      I'm not sure I follow. Is your logic because there is previous decline of 43% somewhere in price history that it's reasonable to assume the identical % decline will occur at some point in the future? If so, what's the trigger?

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      • yes spike that's exactly right....VPHM tested the broken trendline yesterday at $20.50, that's the stop loss.

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        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Originally posted by Jim Smith
          yes spike that's exactly right....VPHM tested the broken trendline yesterday at $20.50, that's the stop loss.
          Gotcha. Looks like you're strict with downside risk while targeting long; a great thing to do. And if it works dude what more does one need Does the pattern have to match or something for you to seriously consider it, or is it fib timebased or sumfin?

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          • The pattern has to match in terms of TIME.....time is the most important thing to me.

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            • When the Dow jones tries to snuggle up against it's old highs....It's going to be the drug stocks in the group that will do the heavy lifting, IMO...

              JNJ....long looking for $63

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              • Wild Oats (OATS) will intersect WFMI at what price?

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                • NVAX....breaking out of a symmetrical triangle.....also bouncing off the 200 week moving average.

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                  • NVAX looks nice, Smitty.

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                    • PWAV....long....I've got a feeling they're getting a ton of business from India and China

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                      • NTES...long

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                        • liking the drug stocks.....Long MRK, JNJ and TEVA

                          SHorting chip stocks and currently short BRCM

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                          • MRK wins federal Vioxx trial......I think a lot of smart money was bet on MRK Friday.....I expect MRK to make the move to $40 then $42.50, the 200 week moving average....Other drug stocks may move up in sympathy....long JNJ, MRK and TEVA.

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                            • mrmarket
                              Administrator
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 5971

                              I took 80 MG of Zocor for 2 years. It fried my brain and ruined my back...almost made me a cripple.
                              =============================

                              I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

                              - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

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                              • Ernie, stop eating so much meats and cheeses and you won't need Zocor!

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