Doctor Jack's Stock Medicine

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  • Jack Haddad

    Originally posted by New-born baby
    Jack
    INTL's ten yr chart shows a huge, six yr symmetrical triangle formation (or a three yr formation in red).
    It will soon bust it, up or down. The implications will be huge for the
    stock price.

    In your judgment, what price target are you expecting for INTL?
    And what time to achieve the target? Because the chart expects an $18 move off of the three yr. formation, and a whopping $38 move off of the ten yr. formation. Note that this chart is huge, so we are looking for a big move over perhaps a year plus.

    At the present time, the daily is one very ugly chart (second chart).


    One yr. Daily chart: note the gaps
    As I have noted in the past, technical analysis is an art and not 100% reliable. While INTC's technicals look horrible, the fundamentals have drastically improved.

    As to the price target that I'm looking at, I have sold several blocks at 19.30, after a pullback from the 19.36 recent high of last week. I plan on dumping some more tomorrow if the stock climbs above 18.60. The 18.60 mark is incredibly important if TA holds any truth. The stock has challenged that level and failed 3 times before finally succeeding the 4th. Last Friday, the stock failed and closed below for the 5th time. I would say the next stop for INTC now is the obvious 18.06 level. But, this is all TA stuff that may or may not hold.

    INTC is currenty being "event-driven". The anticipation of the upcoming July 19 earnings will play a significant role on how the stock trades in the next 11 days. I'm afraid that the rise from 17.35 to 19.36 was purely an earning-run-up. Were now decelerating, but we shall see a knee-jerk-pop 1 or 2 days before earnings.

    Second quarter earnings will not be good. The price war that INTC has declared against AMD will be reflected in their 3rd Quarter guidance. Basically, the company with the most cash is going to win this war... and thereafter, we'll have some truce.

    Comment

    • lemonjello
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2005
      • 447

      I need another drink

      Is it just me is is NBB posting charts of INTL (Inter-Tel) and JH is discussing INTC (Intel).


      Originally posted by Jack Haddad
      As I have noted in the past, technical analysis is an art and not 100% reliable. While INTC's technicals look horrible, the fundamentals have drastically improved.

      As to the price target that I'm looking at, I have sold several blocks at 19.30, after a pullback from the 19.36 recent high of last week. I plan on dumping some more tomorrow if the stock climbs above 18.60. The 18.60 mark is incredibly important if TA holds any truth. The stock has challenged that level and failed 3 times before finally succeeding the 4th. Last Friday, the stock failed and closed below for the 5th time. I would say the next stop for INTC now is the obvious 18.06 level. But, this is all TA stuff that may or may not hold.

      INTC is currenty being "event-driven". The anticipation of the upcoming July 19 earnings will play a significant role on how the stock trades in the next 11 days. I'm afraid that the rise from 17.35 to 19.36 was purely an earning-run-up. Were now decelerating, but we shall see a knee-jerk-pop 1 or 2 days before earnings.

      Second quarter earnings will not be good. The price war that INTC has declared against AMD will be reflected in their 3rd Quarter guidance. Basically, the company with the most cash is going to win this war... and thereafter, we'll have some truce.
      Donate: Salvation Army
      Help: Any Soldier
      Read: Fred on Everything

      Comment

      • jiesen
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 5320

        Originally posted by lemonjello
        Is it just me is is NBB posting charts of INTL (Inter-Tel) and JH is discussing INTC (Intel).
        hmm, excellent point. Though I suppose the TA should be still valid, only for INTL instead of INTC, for the chart purists, anyway.

        Comment

        • New-born baby
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 6095

          How did I goof like that?

          DUH!
          How did I goof like that?
          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

          Comment

          • Jack Haddad

            Tso

            Bought 1 block at 72.80 on a gap down.

            Comment

            • Jack Haddad

              Nem

              Bought 2 blocks at 53.77 and wrote 200 July 52.50 calls at 2.05

              Comment

              • Jack Haddad

                Originally posted by Jack Haddad
                Bought 1 block at 72.80 on a gap down.
                Sold 73.65

                Comment

                • peanuts
                  Senior Member
                  • Feb 2006
                  • 3365

                  Originally posted by Jack Haddad
                  Sold 73.65
                  nice sell... what are you going to do with that nice chunk of change?
                  Hide not your talents.
                  They for use were made.
                  What's a sundial in the shade?

                  - Benjamin Franklin

                  Comment

                  • New-born baby
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 6095

                    Originally posted by Jack Haddad
                    Sold 73.65
                    Doing a nice job, Jack. Keep it up!
                    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                    Comment

                    • peanuts
                      Senior Member
                      • Feb 2006
                      • 3365

                      Dr. Jack

                      Check out EOG today... looking strong to $75
                      Hide not your talents.
                      They for use were made.
                      What's a sundial in the shade?

                      - Benjamin Franklin

                      Comment

                      • Jack Haddad

                        Have a good day, everyone. We have absolutely no catalyst for this market. Upcoming earnings will not be strong enough to drive this market any higher. So, sell on any rally to lock profits. The Dow is overvalued by about 1200 points. Until we correct to new lows, were not going to attract new buyers.

                        Comment

                        • Jack Haddad

                          Orcl

                          Bought 5 blocks at 14.33

                          Comment

                          • Jack Haddad

                            Originally posted by Jack Haddad
                            Bought 5 blocks at 14.33
                            Sold at 14.51

                            Comment

                            • Jack Haddad

                              Sox

                              The SOX index, consisting of 19 chipmakers, hit an intraday low of 412.62 yesterday . The index has fallen about 146 points, or 26%, from its 52-week high reached in late January. This could be a buy ahead of next week's chip sector earnings report-- INTC, AMD, and BRCM.

                              Comment

                              • Rob
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2003
                                • 3194

                                Jack, are you familiar with the Yeda lawsuit against IMCL? (There's a link to the facts of the appeal in this post.) If you are, I'd be interested in your thoughts about it.
                                —Rob

                                Comment

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