Twenty Thirteen Two Baggers

[noshadyldy]

MIMO - Seeking Alpha

I do not know much about Seeking Alpha - Are they a dependable source of information?

Mimo, Today, Seeking Alpha is into full bash mode on GRPN. I'm not arguing whether it is or is not warranted. The interesting thing here though is that they just said how wonderful it was back in December. I think they must be short GRPN at present and that sucker is gonna fall. Just my thoughts but Seeking Alpha is not (I feel) a publication to trust for anything long term. Short term? I'll bet we see GRPN take a plunge now just like they are now saying it deserves.

Bottom line: Seeking Alpha is NOT an unbiased source of information. That much I stand by.

[noshadyldy]

Seeking Alpha

http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2012/04/25/seekingalpha-and-yahoo-facilitate-stock-manipulation-schemes/

I don't know who this guy is, just did a quick search on seeking alpha and market manipulation. But.... I'm not alone in my observations of Seeking Alpha and their very biased articles.

[noshadyldy]

and there are more. Just BEWARE.

http://www.timothysykes.com/2012/08/how-two-seeking-alpha-articles-manipulated-pzzi-higher-by-50/?welcome

[mimo_100]

Mimo, Today, Seeking Alpha is into full bash mode on GRPN. I'm not arguing whether it is or is not warranted. The interesting thing here though is that they just said how wonderful it was back in December. I think they must be short GRPN at present and that sucker is gonna fall. Just my thoughts but Seeking Alpha is not (I feel) a publication to trust for anything long term. Short term? I'll bet we see GRPN take a plunge now just like they are now saying it deserves.

Bottom line: Seeking Alpha is NOT an unbiased source of information. That much I stand by.

You get an intuition about some of these sites. For example, why do I "trust" Reuters.com and the Stock Gumshoe but I have the opposite feeling about Leeb's Market Forecast and The Sovereign Investor.

[Louetta]

Ah, the joy of stocks. One of my picks in this thread, ATRS, was panned by Jim Kramer in his lightning round (said their area was very competitive and people should stay away). I figured gosh, a small stock panned on national TV, look out below. Well, as I write, ATRS is up $.01 on the day. But my other pick, CORT, down 5% today.

[billyjoe]

You get an intuition about some of these sites. For example, why do I "trust" Reuters.com and the Stock Gumshoe but I have the opposite feeling about Leeb's Market Forecast and The Sovereign Investor.

Mimo, I think we trust sites that give us information that proves to be true. In the case of Cramer he gives his opinion on everything and often he is 100% wrong. There are many investing services that also have a real bad track record and every so often one that seems legit.

---------------billy

[riverbabe]

FWIW: There are both bashers and boosters on Seeking Alpha. It doesn't take long to distinguish between them and the true blue intelligencia who tell it like it is and are proven to be trustworthy. 'Ya just gotta read between the lines (and the bios) for the possible ulterior motives. I have a healthy skepticism of it all, but find it helpful anyway. Especially read the Comments on the articles and all becomes quite clear quite quickly.

[mimo_100]

More Seeking Alpha articles.

Identifying Stocks That May Double Within A Year
January 15, 2013

includes: ATADF.PK, AUY, AXU, BAC, JMBA, MNKD, MS

"Bottom line: With such strong tailwinds, the market looks good for now - very good, in fact. And it's possible that we could see a big rally at the beginning of the summer. You know, when the politicians go on vacation and out of the spotlight"

---Karim Rahemtulla, Investment Director at The Wall Street Daily Insider, after the close of the market on Friday January 11,2013

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1111621-identifying-stocks-that-may-double-within-a-year?source=yahoo

[mimo_100]

shadylady bolts ahead - almost half way there after the FIRST WEEK!

Here are the charts for the struggling last five.

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$COMPQ,$SPX,$INDU,GRPN,VRNG,CORT,ZIOP,SHLD|C|B14

 player       	stock	  long/	begin		gain/
 name	       symbol	  short	price	current	loss
noshadyldy	ONVO		3.25	4.70	1.45	44.62%
  Phoenix7	DDD		60.35	65.82	5.47	9.06%
     billy	ELLI		25.72	27.39	1.67	6.49%
      mimo	VG		2.42	2.49	0.07	2.89%
Lucavia123	NCT		9.76	10.00	0.24	2.46%
Lucavia123	STSA		20.74	21.15	0.41	1.98%
  mrmarket	MTLK**		0.99	1.00	0.01	1.01%
      mimo	SIRI		3.16	3.16	0.00	0.00%
  mrmarket	HOV		6.40	6.30	-0.10	-1.56%
     River	AMRN		8.62	8.47	-0.15	-1.74%
   Louetta	ATEC*		1.72	1.66	-0.06	-3.49%
  stocks54	P		11.02	10.56	-0.46	-4.17%
   Louetta	ATRS		4.25	4.05	-0.20	-4.71%
  Phoenix7	AEZS		2.74	2.59	-0.15	-5.47%
noshadyldy	GRPN		5.35	4.95	-0.40	-7.48%
     River	VRNG		3.44	3.18	-0.26	-7.56%
   Louetta	CORT		1.97	1.82	-0.15	-7.61%
  stocks54	ZIOP		4.49	4.03	-0.46	-10.24%
     billy	SHLD	SHORT	40.95	46.66	-5.71	-13.94%
						
						
*Conditional pick - I kept it around just for fun						
**Rule Violation - I kept it around just for fun

[mimo_100]

shadylady's lead is narrowing

 player       	stock	  long/	begin		gain/
 name	       symbol	  short	price	current	loss
noshadyldy	ONVO		3.25	4.69	 1.44	44.31%
  Phoenix7	DDD		60.35	69.07	 8.72	14.45%
   Louetta	CORT		1.97	2.08	 0.11	5.58%
stocks54	P		11.02	11.54	 0.52	4.72%
  mrmarket	MTLK**		0.99	1.03	 0.04	4.04%
Lucavia123	NCT		9.76	10.11	 0.35	3.59%
      mimo	VG		2.42	2.47	 0.05	2.07%
Lucavia123	STSA		20.74	21.02	 0.28	1.35%
      mimo	SIRI		3.16	3.15	-0.01	-0.32%
noshadyldy	GRPN		5.35	5.27	-0.08	-1.50%
     River	AMRN		8.62	8.39	-0.23	-2.67%
   Louetta	ATEC*		1.72	1.67	-0.05	-2.91%
  mrmarket	HOV		6.40	6.21	-0.19	-2.97%
     River	VRNG		3.44	3.29	-0.15	-4.36%
  Phoenix7	AEZS		2.74	2.59	-0.15	-5.47%
  stocks54	ZIOP		4.49	4.19	-0.30	-6.68%
   Louetta	ATRS		4.25	3.85	-0.40	-9.41%
     billy	SHLD	SHORT	40.95	45.12	-4.17	-10.18%
     billy	ELLI		25.72	22.21	-3.51	-13.65%

*Conditional pick - I kept it around just for fun
**Rule Violation - I kept it around just for fun

[billyjoe]

Mimo, I'm glad we can'tget stopped out. Am confident good things will happen this year for ELLI and bad things for SHLD.

-------------------billy

[mimo_100]

Mimo, I'm glad we can'tget stopped out. Am confident good things will happen this year for ELLI and bad things for SHLD.

-------------------billy

We could put a 15% stop loss in - what do you think?

[billyjoe]

We could put a 15% stop loss in - what do you think?

Mimo, No, I could be eliminated in a week !

------------------billy

[noshadyldy]

ONVO Warrants hit next week!!!!

In Seeking Alpha article by D. Mero end of October, 2012.

On its balance sheet, ONVO includes a "warrant liability" that is valued at $80.5 million. This non-cash liability is from the 24.11 million warrants the company issued as part of a capital raise earlier on. Not to be confused, the liability is similar to an IOU only if the issued warrants are exercised. However, these warrants are callable if the company's stock trades over $2.50/share for 20 consecutive days. In this case, investors have the option to exercise their warrant and convert it to a common share of the company at a price of $1.00. If presented with the opportunity, exercising the option would prove to be beneficial for both Organovo and warrant holders. The company would receive $24.11 million in gross proceeds ($1/warrant * 24.11M warrants), while also erasing its warrant liability, which would be converted into equity.

This next piece was taken from an article by same author TODAY. Now that these warrants are due to be cashed in any day now, he makes it sound a bit different. He glazes right over the fact that the price is going to tank when those warrants holders cash out at 80 cents a share.

As the stock price continues to trade over $2.50, investors should keep an eye out for the announcement of remaining outstanding warrants (effects of exercised warrants explained here). Assuming the stock does not see a rapid decline, management should be able to file the warrant call by early February, falling within the next week. Such a scenario would allow management to inquire about up-listing without any evident issues and reward investors with a possible appearance on the NASDAQ CM exchange by Q3 2013.

[mimo_100]

In Seeking Alpha article by D. Mero end of October, 2012.

On its balance sheet, ONVO includes a "warrant liability" that is valued at $80.5 million. This non-cash liability is from the 24.11 million warrants the company issued as part of a capital raise earlier on. Not to be confused, the liability is similar to an IOU only if the issued warrants are exercised. However, these warrants are callable if the company's stock trades over $2.50/share for 20 consecutive days. In this case, investors have the option to exercise their warrant and convert it to a common share of the company at a price of $1.00. If presented with the opportunity, exercising the option would prove to be beneficial for both Organovo and warrant holders. The company would receive $24.11 million in gross proceeds ($1/warrant * 24.11M warrants), while also erasing its warrant liability, which would be converted into equity.



This next piece was taken from an article by same author TODAY. Now that these warrants are due to be cashed in any day now, he makes it sound a bit different. He glazes right over the fact that the price is going to tank when those warrants holders cash out at 80 cents a share.

As the stock price continues to trade over $2.50, investors should keep an eye out for the announcement of remaining outstanding warrants (effects of exercised warrants explained here). Assuming the stock does not see a rapid decline, management should be able to file the warrant call by early February, falling within the next week. Such a scenario would allow management to inquire about up-listing without any evident issues and reward investors with a possible appearance on the NASDAQ CM exchange by Q3 2013.

I tried to find a price on these warrants. At this price, the warrants act like a option, having a certain intrinsic value. I am not sure how to analyse this. If the warrants were exercised, the company would use existing treasury stock to meet the exercise, and would also receive, as noted, $24 million.

I am not sure what effect this would have on the price of the stock, do you?