Stocks for the Long Term

[BlueWolf]

I stuck my neck out this week and went on a bit of a buying frenzy. I like the long term bullish look of the indices, but I admit to be a little nervous about day-to-day gyrations. Still, you can’t win if you don’t play the game, so I’m taking a shot here. Tech stocks took a mini beating last week and seem to be recovering a little now. Here’d where I stand:

Current Ownership:
AAPL, AYX, CRSP(.5), DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FSLY, HUBS, IPOB, MDB, MDLA(.5), NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), WIX, ZM, ZS

Tier 1 Interest:
APPN, CRNC, CRWD, EDIT, EPAM, ESTC, EXPI, FVRR, KNSL, LMND, MDB, MGNI, NVDA, RDFN, SHOP, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, VEEV, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: AAXN, ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, ASML, ATVI, BL, BRK/B, CGNX, COUP, CRM, CSGP, TDOC, EQIX, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, INSP, IPOB, IPOC, ISRG, LOB, MA, MASI, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NEE, NET, NOW, NVCR, OLED, PAYC, PYPL, QRVO, QTWO, RGEN, RH, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SIVB, SMAR, SNOW, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SRG, SSTK, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, UPWK, V, VCYT, WD, WDAY, ZUO

Tier 3 Interest: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CLDR, DAVA, EEFT, FLIR, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, IPHI, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NICE, NNOX, OLLI, PANW, PEGA, PI, PING, PINS, PODD, PTON,QDEL, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SPOT, WORK, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

I added a few more positions this week as two of the three indices made new all time highs and the third came close. Here are my current holdings and watchlists.

Current Ownership:
AAPL, AYX, CRSP(.5), DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FSLY, HUBS, IPOB, KNSL, LMND, MDB, MDLA(.5), NCNO, NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, PING, RDFN, TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), WIX, ZM, ZS, ZUO

Tier 1 Interest:
APPN, CRNC, CRWD, EDIT, EPAM, ESTC, EXPI, FVRR, MDB, MGNI, NVDA, SHOP, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, VEEV, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: AAXN, ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, ASML, ATVI, BL, BRK/B, CGNX, COUP, CRM, CSGP, TDOC, EQIX, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FTCH, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, INSP, IPOB, IPOC, ISRG, LOB, MA, MASI, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NEE, NET, NOW, NVCR, OLED, PAYC, PYPL, QRVO, QTWO, RGEN, RH, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SIVB, SMAR, SNOW, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SRG, SSTK, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, UPWK, V, VCYT, WD, WDAY

Tier 3 Interest: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CLDR, DAVA, EEFT, FLIR, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NICE, NNOX, OLLI, PANW, PEGA, PI, PINS, PODD, PTON, QDEL, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SPOT, WORK, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

I added a few more positions this week as the market continued its bullishness. Here are my current holdings and watchlists:

Current Ownership:
AAPL, APPN, AYX, CRSP(.5), CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FSLY, HUBS, IPOB, KNSL, LMND, MDB, MDLA(.5), NCNO, NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, PING, RDFN, SHOP, SPCE(.5), TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), WIX, ZM, ZS, ZUO

Tier 1 Interest:
CRNC, EDIT, EPAM, ESTC, EXPI, FVRR, MDB, MGNI, NVDA, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, VEEV, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: AAXN, ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, ASML, ATVI, BL, BRK/B, CGNX, COUP, CRM, CSGP, TDOC, EQIX, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FTCH, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, INSP, IPOB, IPOC, ISRG, LOB, MA, MASI, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NEE, NET, NOW, NVCR, OLED, PANW, PAYC, PINS, PYPL, QRVO, QTWO, RGEN, RH, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SIVB, SMAR, SNOW, SPLK, SQ, SRG, SSTK, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, UPWK, V, VCYT, WD, WDAY

Tier 3 Interest: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CLDR, DAVA, EEFT, FLIR, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NICE, NNOX, OLLI, PEGA, PI, PLTR, PODD, PTON, QDEL, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SPOT, WORK, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

I cautiously added a few more positions as I continue to ride the bullishness. Here are my current holdings and watchlists:

Current Ownership:
AAPL, AAXN, APPN, AYX, CRSP(.5), CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FSLY, FVRR, HUBS, IPOB, IPOC(.5), KNSL, LMND, MDB, MDLA(.5), NCNO, NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, PING, RDFN, SHOP, SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), VEEV, WIX, ZM, ZS, ZUO

Tier 1 Interest:
CRNC, EDIT, EPAM, MGNI, NVDA, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, ASML, ATVI, BL, BRK/B, CGNX, COUP, CRM, CSGP, EQIX, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FTCH, GH, GLOB, HCAT, INSP, IPOB, IPOC, ISRG, LOB, MA, MASI, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NEE, NET, NNOX, NOW, NVCR, OLED, PANW, PAYC, PINS, PYPL, QRVO, QTWO, RGEN, RH, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SIVB, SMAR, SNOW, SQ, SRG, SSTK, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, UPWK, V, VCYT, WD, WDAY

Tier 3 Interest: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CLDR, DAVA, EEFT, FLIR, FTNT, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, LAZR, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NICE, OLLI, PEGA, PI, PLTR, PODD, PTON, QDEL, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SPOT, WORK, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

I re-factored my watchlists this weekend. Rather than try to highlight the changes, I will just post the new baselines. I still need to spend some time digging into my tier 3 stocks. When I have refactored that I will post another update.

Tier 1 Interest: ANET, EDIT, ETSY, HCAT, MELI, MGNI, NET, PINS, QDEL, SMAR, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, UPWK, VCYT, WD, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: ADSK, AMT, AMZN, BL, BRK/B, CRNC, EPAM, EQIX, FB, FIVN, FRPT, FTCH, GLOB, INSP, LOB, MA, MASI, MSFT, MTCH, NOW, NVCR, NVDA, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QRVO, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SNOW, SQ, SWAV

Tier 3 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, APPF, ASML, ATVI, AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CGNX, CLDR, COUP, CRM, CSGP, DAVA, DIS, EEFT, EVBG, FICO, FLIR, FTNT, GH, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, ISRG, LAZR, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NEE, NICE, NNOX, OLED, OLLI, PEGA, PI, PLTR, PODD, PTON, QS, QTWO, RGEN, RH, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SIVB, SPOT, SSTK, STAA, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, V, WDAY, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

[BlueWolf]

I added quite a few positions early in the week as I continue betting on market bullishness. Gains are good right now, so I have to watch carefully for any kind of sudden correction. It’s just a matter of time, as always, but the trick is to try and stay in the game as long as possible. Here are my current positions and watchlists.

Current Ownership:
AAPL, AAXN, ANET, APPN, AYX, CRSP(.5), CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT(.5), FSLY, FVRR, HCAT(.5), HUBS, IPOB, IPOC(.5), KNSL, LMND, MDB, MDLA(.5), MGNI(.5), NCNO, NET, NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, PING, PINS, QDEL, RDFN, SHOP, SMAR(.5), SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), VEEV, WIX, ZM(2), ZS, ZUO(.5)

Tier 1 Interest: EDIT, ETSY, MELI, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, UPWK, VCYT, WD, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: ADSK, AMT, AMZN, BL, BRK/B, CRNC, EPAM, EQIX, FB, FIVN, FTCH, FUBO, GLOB, INSP, LOB, MA, MASI, MSFT, MTCH, NOW, NVCR, NVDA, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QRVO, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SNOW, SQ, SWAV

Tier 3 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, APPF, ASML, ATVI, AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CGNX, CLDR, COUP, CRM, CSGP, DAVA, DIS, EEFT, EVBG, FICO, FLIR, FTNT, GH, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, ISRG, LAZR, LITE, LVGO, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NEE, NICE, NNOX, OLED, OLLI, PEGA, PI, PLTR, PODD, PTON, QS, QTWO, RGEN, RH, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SIVB, SPOT, SSTK, STAA, SWKS, TREX, TTWO, V, WDAY, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[billyjoe]

I've got a big stake in OKE. With an over 9% div. and $40 below the price a year ago, I'm already up 7 points.

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=oke&insttype=&freq=1&show=True

------------------billy

[BlueWolf]

I added a few more positions this week, but I am starting to feel as though the market may be losing a little of its steam. I will be keeping a careful eye on things. Here are my current positions and watchlists.

Current Ownership:
AAPL, AAXN, ANET, APPN, AYX, CRM, CRSP(.5), CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, ESTC, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT(.5), FSLY, FVRR, HCAT(.5), HUBS, IPOB, IPOC(.5), KNSL, LMND, MDB, MDLA(.5), MGNI(.5), NCNO, NET, NTNX(.5), NVTA, OKTA, PING, PINS, QDEL, RDFN, SHOP, SMAR(.5), SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC, TWLO, U(.5), VCYT(.5), VEEV, WIX, ZM(2), ZS, ZUO(.5)

Tier 1 Interest: EDIT, ETSY, MELI, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, UPWK, WD, ZEN

Tier 2 Interest: ADSK, AMT, AMZN, BL, BRK/B, CRNC, EQIX, FB, FIVN, FTCH, FUBO, GLOB, INSP, LOB, MA, MASI, MSFT, MTCH, NOW, NVCR, NVDA, OPEN, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QRVO, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SNOW, SQ, SWAV

Tier 3 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, APPF, ASML, ATVI, AVGO, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CGNX, CLDR, COUP, CSGP, DAVA, DIS, EEFT, EPAM, EVBG, FICO, FLIR, FTNT, GH, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, ISRG, LAZR, LITE, LYV, MNST, NEE, NICE, NNOX, OLED, OLLI, PI, PLTR, PTON, QS, QTWO, RGEN, RH, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SIVB, SPOT, SSTK, STAA, TREX, TTWO, V, WDAY, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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To all, a Merry Christmas!

[BlueWolf]

I closed a LOT of positions today, leaving me with only a handful left open. I will post details at the end of the week. Even though the market was up today, I saw a lot of high flyers selling off today, including quite a few that were in my portfolio sitting on nice profits. So I took those profits knowing I can reset when the time is right. Right now, my gut is still telling me to be wary. Can’t put my finger on it in the charts, but something feels off. At least a couple of my short watchers hit big today: LI (down 7.8%) and XPEV (down 9.2%). They both hit almost immediately and then headed down for the rest of the day. Maybe I’m wrong about the impending bearishness. If so, I will have to rebuild my portfolio at an opportune time, which, given the elevated valuations, won’t be easy without a pullback. We’ll just have to wait and see.

[BlueWolf]

I had a very busy week as I wound down almost all of my positions and booked profit. Here is where I stand currently:

Current Ownership:
AAPL, APPN, FRPT(.5), SHOP

Tier 1 Interest: CRSP, CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, ESTC, ETSY, FLGT, FVRR, KNSL, LMND, MDB, MELI, MGNI, NET, OKTA, OPEN, PINS, RDFN, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, TWLO, U, UPWK, VCYT, WD, ZEN, ZM, ZS

Tier 2 Interest: AAXN, ADSK, ALRM, AMT, AMZN, ANET, BL, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, EQIX, EXPI, FB, FIVN, FSLY, FTCH, FUBO, GLOB, HCAT, HUBS, INSP, IPOC, LITE, LOB, MA, MASI, MDLA, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NOW, NTNX, NVCR, NVTA, NVDA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PTON, PYPL, QRVO, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SMAR, SNOW, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, VEEV, WIX, ZUO

Tier 3 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, APPF, ASML, ATVI, AVGO, AYX, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CGNX, CLDR, COUP, CSGP, DAVA, DIS, EEFT, EPAM, EVBG, FICO, FLIR, FTNT, GH, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, ISRG, LAZR, LYV, MNST, NEE, NICE, NNOX, OLED, OLLI, PI, PLTR, QDEL, QS, QTWO, RGEN, RH, SDGR, SE, SGEN, SIVB, SPOT, SSTK, STAA, TREX, TTWO, V, WDAY, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

I closed a couple more positions this week, and I’m now sitting in 95% cash. I have been more active swing and day trading, particularly during this week’s late surge, and I will probably continue trading this way while I wait to see how things play out. Here are my current LT positions and watchlists:

Current Ownership:
AAPL, FRPT(.5)

Tier 1 Interest: CHWY, CRSP, CRWD, DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, ESTC, ETSY, FLGT, FVRR, KNSL, LMND, MDB, MELI, MGNI, NET, OKTA, OPEN, PINS, RDFN, SE, SHOP, SNOW, TEAM, TSLA, TTD, TWLO, U, UPWK, VCYT, WD, ZEN, ZM, ZS

Tier 2 Interest: AAXN, ADSK, ALRM, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPN, BL, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, EQIX, EXPI, FB, FIVN, FSLY, FTCH, FUBO, GLOB, HCAT, HUBS, INSP, IPOC, LITE, LOB, MA, MASI, MDLA, MSFT, MTCH, NCNO, NOW, NTNX, NVCR, NVTA, NVDA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PTON, PYPL, QRVO, ROKU, RVLV, SFIX, SMAR, SNOW, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, VEEV, WIX, ZUO

Tier 3 Interest: ABMD, ADBE, APPF, ASML, ATVI, AVGO, AYX, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BYND, BZUN, CGNX, CLDR, COUP, CSGP, DAVA, DIS, EEFT, EPAM, EVBG, FICO, FLIR, FTNT, GH, GOOG, HQY, IDXX, IIPR, INS, IPHI, ISRG, LAZR, LYV, MNST, NEE, NICE, NNOX, OLED, OLLI, PI, PLTR, QDEL, QS, QTWO, RGEN, RH, SDGRj, SGEN, SIVB, SPOT, SSTK, STAA, TREX, TTWO, V, WDAY, XLNX, ZBRA, ZG, ZNGA

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[BlueWolf]

Guys, I am going to discontinue my “Stocks for the long term” weekly updates. I may start it up again at some point, but right now I am almost exclusively day & swing trading so there’s just no need for it.

Good luck with your trading and investing.

[jiesen]

There probably isn't much out there that I'd want to buy for the long term right now as well. The market just has to take a 20% or 30% dump, and soon! After we're down 25% then I might consider stocks for the long term.... I'm sure if we're patient, we'll see that happen sometime within the next 6-18 months. Meantime, I will be holding cash, and lots of it.

[antioch6]

So now I want to end this thread by saying I don't want stocks for the long term, I want something long term. Who is still gunna be around in twenty years? I can't think of anything besides food and housing. Maybe gold. Maybe I need a job or something. Money has to come from somewhere. Maybe it's time to feed the homeless. Build places for people and arrange clothes for them.

[jiesen]

So now I want to end this thread by saying I don't want stocks for the long term, I want something long term. Who is still gunna be around in twenty years? I can't think of anything besides food and housing. Maybe gold. Maybe I need a job or something. Money has to come from somewhere. Maybe it's time to feed the homeless. Build places for people and arrange clothes for them.

Stocks are always a good investment to consider, I'd say now more than ever. When I said the market had to take a 20% tumble at some point, I didn't know it would take until this year, but you can never say exactly when these things will happen, just that they do happen, and will happen again, and again. So now that we have dropped from 4800 back down to 3900, is it a good time to buy stocks? Everyone is saying the economy is terrible, and stocks will fall more... that's the exact time you SHOULD be thinking about loading up more into stocks. You never know when it's the BEST time to buy, but at 3900, it's a heckuva lot better now to buy than it was 3-6 months ago at 4300 or 4600 S&P prices... sure, we could see another 500 point drop and be at 3400 by winter, but at SOME point in the next year or three I bet we'll be right back at 4400, and kicking ourselves for not buying stocks below 4000. (Hence, I've added some to my S&P index VTI from 4200 down through 3900.) Also, I've decided to buy into URA, just because it's uranium!