Cornhusker's Howlings

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  • Lyehopper
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2004
    • 3678

    Originally posted by MEA_1956 View Post
    CAMP === This morn. I took a small position in this stock for three reasons.

    1. The tech are in my favor.

    2. With the lastest action caused by the upper BB I feel its reaction this morn showed some strength.

    3. Is an after the fact but still worth mentioning. At the close today it found support at one of my fav. Techenals and that being the 5 EMA.

    Until next time MEA

    P S Haven't printed out my conformation yet But I think it was for 0.587. You Share Builders is slow on their automatic invester plan.
    I hope you guys make much money on this stock, but it's speculitive in my opinion. If any "ER pop" today gets sold then it's headed lower.... 30-50% lower.

    To buy stock in a company because "Techs are in my favor" is a bit dangerous. Look at the individual company's fundamental health....

    Below is an excerpt from CAMP's financial report filed last night.... It seems to me that the only reason they'll have any positive cash flow moving forward is due to the $9 million settlement from Rogers on 1/12/09, and that's all but spent.... What happens next quarter?.... Maybe there's a valid reason this stock is down 82% since April 2008.... and down 99%+ since it's peak in 2000?

    Listen to the CC (link below).... During the Q/A session the second analyst asking questions has them pegged (37:00 minute mark).... The math does not work out.... NO positive cash flow moving forward unlesss they can convert inventory into cash, which means increasing sales (which are forcasted lower) OR reducing prices to move inventory, which would decrease the value of their inventory (which is accounted for as a considerable asset on the balance sheet)....

    The president stated at the 41:23 minute mark that forcast revenues were "contengent on the economy NOT continuing to deteriorate" then he literally choked up as he swallowed...

    http://biz.yahoo.com/cc/7/99887.html


    At November 30, 2008, the Company had total cash of $5.7 million, with $25.2 million in total outstanding bank debt and a $4.5 million note payable to a key DBS customer. Net cash provided by operating activities was $2.5 million for the three months ended November 30, 2008. For the nine month period ended November 30, 2008, net cash generated by operating activities was approximately $3.3 million. During the latest quarter, the principal on the Company’s bank term loan was paid down by $750,000 and the principal on the note payable to the DBS customer was paid down by $528,000.

    The Company was not in compliance with one of its financial covenants at the end of December 2008 that requires a minimum level of wireless datacom revenues on a rolling three-month basis. The Company has requested a waiver of this covenant violation and is currently in discussions with the banks, but thus far the banks have not waived this noncompliance. Consequently, the Company has classified the entire term loan balance as a current liability in the consolidated balance sheet at November 30, 2008.
    On January 12, 2009, the Company received a cash payment of $9 million from Rogers Corporation in an out-of-court litigation settlement. Under the terms of the Company's bank credit agreement as amended, the Company is obligated to pay 50% of the net cash proceeds of this legal settlement, or $4.1 million, to the banks as a reduction of the term loan balance. After giving effect to this principal payment, the balance of the term loan is approximately $20.3 million. The Company is continuing to seek a waiver of the covenant violation referred to above, and expects that it will ultimately refinance the bank debt from the proceeds of an asset-based loan at or before the December 31, 2009 maturity date.
    Last edited by Lyehopper; 01-14-2009, 10:50 AM.
    BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

    Comment

    • MEA_1956
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2003
      • 655

      Thanks LYE

      Thanks for your concerns and the DD on the earnings report. Time will tell if stops are triggered. MEA
      GO BIG RED!!!!!

      Comment

      • MEA_1956
        Senior Member
        • Oct 2003
        • 655

        Up Date

        Stopped out of HIG @ $17.00
        Stopped out of NTWK @ 0.85
        Stopped out of SONS @ 1.55
        stopped out of CHTR @ 0.12

        Present Holdings

        COSI in @ 0.32 stop @ 0.15
        NCII in @ 0.35 stop @0.20
        CAMP in @ 0.59 stop @ 0.48
        BCON in @ 0.36 stop @ 0.32
        Xl in @ 3.07 stop @ 2.65

        in the middle of work project, not much spare time to post, trading on auto pilot.

        CHTR was my only loss out of all my stops.

        Looks like I'm starting to post like Doug, before long I shall be ishing also. MEA
        GO BIG RED!!!!!

        Comment

        • MEA_1956
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2003
          • 655

          Fyi

          CNO === This stock almost made it past my radar, It is building a head of steam and ready to bounce.

          We will be watching tomarrow @ open, just might have to take my first sample. I'm able to trade right on the jod sight. their office is just off the kitchen. MEA
          GO BIG RED!!!!!

          Comment

          • MEA_1956
            Senior Member
            • Oct 2003
            • 655

            CNO Let's Go

            CNO === After lunch today I placed an order that fill at $2.84. Set stops @ $2.50. MEA
            GO BIG RED!!!!!

            Comment

            • Lyehopper
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2004
              • 3678

              CNO up 21% today

              you know?... I kinda like this one MEA. Thanks for posting.

              BTW.... nice entry on CNO today.
              BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

              Comment

              • wooish
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2008
                • 499

                Wow nice pick MEA. Congrats.

                Comment

                • MEA_1956
                  Senior Member
                  • Oct 2003
                  • 655

                  Hold the applause

                  Lets wait and see if it holds, I'm thinking markets are going lower. MEA
                  GO BIG RED!!!!!

                  Comment

                  • MEA_1956
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2003
                    • 655

                    Play it again

                    HIG === I was stopped out of this stock @ $17.00 and now it trades @ $12.18. Last entry was $10.07, insuch the signals were sent, and the plan unfolded.

                    Now HIG is in a steady down trend here of late, has no more hyp. of the TRAP left to support it. This time around I shall just use half of my winning, when timing is right. Later MEA
                    GO BIG RED!!!!!

                    Comment

                    • MEA_1956
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2003
                      • 655

                      O Happy Day

                      BCON === BCON is on an up trend, OK just two days, It's still on the bottom, BUT there is still room @ the inn. so jump in and test the water. MEA
                      GO BIG RED!!!!!

                      Comment

                      • MEA_1956
                        Senior Member
                        • Oct 2003
                        • 655

                        Originally posted by Lyehopper View Post
                        you know?... I kinda like this one MEA. Thanks for posting.

                        BTW.... nice entry on CNO today.
                        Hay LYE, is that a good thing, when three candles close so close for three days. Sure am glad this was a small entry, may just drop down around $1.30 . That is where I set my stop. Seam to doing a little better since I opened up my stops. Some of theses swing can kill you. MEA
                        GO BIG RED!!!!!

                        Comment

                        • Lyehopper
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2004
                          • 3678

                          Originally posted by MEA_1956 View Post
                          Hay LYE, is that a good thing, when three candles close so close for three days. Sure am glad this was a small entry, may just drop down around $1.30 . That is where I set my stop. Seam to doing a little better since I opened up my stops. Some of theses swing can kill you. MEA
                          Mornin' MEA.... It's all about R/R Risk vs Reward.... I think that with this volitility, In addition to sell stops (Risk).... you need to set reasonable sell orders too (Reward). If you can get 10%-15% on a trade just take the money off the table.... and live to trade another day.

                          I reckon that to have the mindset that every trade might produce a 100%+ return is a gamblers mentality and not realistic.

                          Also you might want to seriously look into trading some short ETF's. If this market is to seriously decline from recent lows then the smart money might be short. There has been much discussion at the technical trades chatroom on these ETF's.... Your buddy "Art the tire builder" visits there regularly.
                          BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                          Comment

                          • MEA_1956
                            Senior Member
                            • Oct 2003
                            • 655

                            Old Fav.

                            WRES === is trading at a price that will reward all new enrties. (JMHO) this is unreal to see it trade this low, and if you were to take some time and do a little DD you will see what I'm refering to.

                            #1 Revenues increased 99% in the third 1/4 over 2007.

                            who can post reasons #2#3#4,

                            If you were to put a $100 down now you just might be up over 100% before they post Earnings on March 3, 2009.

                            If I were an option player I sure would be looking in this direction.

                            These are just my opinions, Look at it, traded it, or trash it.
                            GO BIG RED!!!!!

                            Comment

                            • MEA_1956
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2003
                              • 655

                              Point counter Point

                              Originally posted by Lyehopper View Post
                              Mornin' MEA.... It's all about R/R Risk vs Reward.... I think that with this volitility, In addition to sell stops (Risk).... you need to set reasonable sell orders too (Reward). If you can get 10%-15% on a trade just take the money off the table.... and live to trade another day.

                              I reckon that to have the mindset that every trade might produce a 100%+ return is a gamblers mentality and not realistic.

                              Also you might want to seriously look into trading some short ETF's. If this market is to seriously decline from recent lows then the smart money might be short. There has been much discussion at the technical trades chatroom on these ETF's.... Your buddy "Art the tire builder" visits there regularly.

                              your point is well taken if you are a high dollar stock trader. when you are invested in a low dollar stock you can achive these goals in a shorter period, so in such your fees come into play. so if you sell a 20% winner that monies can profit your broker for the profit margen turns lower.
                              GO BIG RED!!!!!

                              Comment

                              • MEA_1956
                                Senior Member
                                • Oct 2003
                                • 655

                                Caei

                                CAEI === This morn. I placed an enrty position in CAEI in hopes another winner. Only time will tell just how far this trade will go,but with their selloff here of late, their should start building a base here in this area. MEA
                                GO BIG RED!!!!!

                                Comment

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