Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by jiesen
    Spike, what do you think about CYD's move today?

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CYD&t=5d
    Hey. Nice learning charts!!!

    Check them out one at a time.... first the weekly.
    Attached Files

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      CYD daily.......
      Attached Files

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        CYD intraday
        Good shorting opp at 10.75 C failure.
        See the SHS at the top. Classic.
        Attached Files

        Comment

        • jiesen
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2003
          • 5319

          Originally posted by spikefader
          CYD intraday
          Good shorting opp at 10.75 C failure.
          See the SHS at the top. Classic.
          cool, thanks, Spike! I just may try that.

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            CYD: The only problem with the short at 10.75 is the 5.5% stop risk if you place the stop over hod.

            So, since C was at 10.70, and price resistance is at 10.76, I think a wiser move is the short 10.70 with a 10.80 stop. That's only at 0.9% risk.
            Attached Files
            Last edited by spikefader; 04-07-2005, 01:27 PM. Reason: add chart

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Originally posted by jiesen
              cool, thanks, Spike! I just may try that.
              Good luck. Added chart to previous post.

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                CYD options
                Attached Files

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  OK, CYD breaking up, but the volume is less than impressive.
                  Attached Files
                  Last edited by spikefader; 04-07-2005, 01:46 PM. Reason: chart

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    CYD more thoughts.
                    Attached Files

                    Comment

                    • jiesen
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 5319

                      Originally posted by spikefader
                      OK, CYD breaking up, but the volume is less than impressive.
                      ok, thanks for the warning, I decided not to trade this.

                      --- and a good thing too! I'd have been stopped out in a minute! ---
                      Last edited by jiesen; 04-07-2005, 02:01 PM.

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by jiesen
                        ok, thanks for the warning, I decided not to trade this.
                        I'm glad. It's whispering higher to me right now. And there goes 10.80 as I type.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          This is why you must trade what you see, not what you feel. The ascending triangle broke up, and despite the low volume it produced a good move.

                          Next setup is hod short.
                          Attached Files

                          Comment


                          • Greetings Spike,

                            Would a bounce off 31.03 on SNHY be a smart double bottom indicator for a long,or would the failed inverted SHS take precedent?

                            cordially Tom

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              CYD two mixed signals on the way to HOD
                              Attached Files

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Originally posted by Thomrich
                                Greetings Spike,

                                Would a bounce off 31.03 on SNHY be a smart double bottom indicator for a long,or would the failed inverted SHS take precedent?

                                cordially Tom
                                Hey Tom. I think it's a smart move to bid the lod (or close to it) and exit if it fails. LOD bid gives you the lowest stop risk obviously.

                                The inverted SHS earlier today is only invalid in my book when lod fails.

                                By the look of it now there is a chance that S2 at 31.22 has held for the possible double bottom. It's always nice to get double bottom at same price - that's perfect, but often the 2nd half of it never actually gets to the lod. And if that's true for SNHY today, then you've got to decide whether to take the current discount to the neckline entry or wait for an exact double bottom. But frankly, the way the pattern looks, the DB is in for today. 31.60 is a discount to the neckline break long signal if that's any consolation

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