Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • Websman
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 5545

    Here's my two main picks for the week...DHB and LOJN

    Like DHB, LOJN is undervalued and has great potential.

    LOJN seems to be less volatile. An entry of around $12, looks good to me.

    Comment

    • New-born baby
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 6095

      TASR SPLITS--and so does the CEO

      Spike,

      TASR is splitting again, 2:1 on 11/30. Price is about $45 now (was $128 at the first split). Pre-split in February, CEO and board were dumping shares like mad. Now that the stock has recovered from its $25 lows, another split is coming up and guess what? Yup, the CEO & gang are dumping shares again. I know the bull is snorting pre-split, and perhaps a few bucks can be made riding it up. But what about after the split? Perhaps a ride down and then a long? Do you have a strategy for this stock/scenario?
      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by Thomrich
        I turn 40 next week,so Im gonna go out and party llike a rock star tonight,last weekend before I start "getting serious".
        lol Happy Birthday for this week! Hope you didn't have a rockstar headache the next morning!

        Originally posted by Websman
        Here's my two main picks for the week...DHB and LOJN
        An entry of around $12, looks good to me.
        12 would be good! It's due for an impulse up imo.
        Attached Files

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          LOJN intraday
          Attached Files

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Originally posted by New-born baby
            Spike,

            TASR is splitting again, 2:1 on 11/30. Price is about $45 now (was $128 at the first split). Pre-split in February, CEO and board were dumping shares like mad. Now that the stock has recovered from its $25 lows, another split is coming up and guess what? Yup, the CEO & gang are dumping shares again. I know the bull is snorting pre-split, and perhaps a few bucks can be made riding it up. But what about after the split? Perhaps a ride down and then a long? Do you have a strategy for this stock/scenario?
            LOL @ your heading.
            The CEO splits, but he didn't wait for a bearish chart.
            Might pay to watch for a while.
            Attached Files

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Originally posted by Thomrich
              http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=dhb,uu[m,a]waclyyay[dd][ph.02,.20!c15][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

              Greetings Spike,your opinions on this chart parameters?
              Seems to be a poor mans version of spotting trends.

              cordially Tom
              I do in fact like parabolic indicator there. My advise if you're going to use it, is to wait for the trend change, then enter on a pullback in a fast reacting momo indicator or even just a 10-day simple moving average.

              Also, take the entry based on an intraday S1 or S2. S2 will give you the best chance for a great entry! But this requires patience! But when you do snag an entry, you'll likely be on the right side of it from the get go.
              Last edited by spikefader; 11-08-2004, 10:21 AM.

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                LOJN
                This is how you'd play it Webs. Remember BASSAR, which is Buy at Support and Sell at Resistance.
                Attached Files

                Comment

                • Websman
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 5545

                  Wow, DHB went up again today...too bad I'm out, but I did get a good profit from it.
                  I may enter LOJN long in the morning.

                  I've got to quit my day job one day. It's getting in the way of my trading...lol

                  Comment

                  • Michaelk005

                    Im back from New york, And just in time for the markets to heat up. Are you still in CDE spike??
                    I have road the whole CSCO wave up and sold out today at an even $20, from my 18.15 purchase price..
                    Watch for a Short opportunity if it cant break its latest ressistance..
                    Are you in ELN yet..

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      Originally posted by Michaelk005
                      Im back from New york, And just in time for the markets to heat up. Are you still in CDE spike??
                      I have road the whole CSCO wave up and sold out today at an even $20, from my 18.15 purchase price..
                      Watch for a Short opportunity if it cant break its latest ressistance..
                      Are you in ELN yet..
                      Welcome back. Well done on CSCO!
                      I took a 25% profit on CDE after an exit signal raised its ugly head.

                      Was waiting to reenter at 4.73 and missed by two pennies! demsdabreaks!
                      EDIT: Oh, and ELN, got in and out for 6% and missed the pop this morning! I'm waiting for reentry.

                      Comment


                      • Greetings Spike,
                        Ive come across something I'd like your's and everyone else's input on.

                        DHB is approaching all time high,It has a very high short ratio,the exact % escapes me,but I think its near 35% of the float.That must mean virtually all shorts are invalid now.

                        Would a fantastic earnings report,new contract announce,or just continuation of current trend cause a short squeeze ?

                        I see NO volume above where we are now,if it can keep up wont short interest need to keep buying in on higher levels?

                        I am by no means an expert,if anything ignorant on a squeeze,but isnt that a plausible scenario?Everyone dreams of finding another TZOO,just curious if a blind man actually could have made it across a busy intersection?By no means am I trying to pump,if anything my mention usually is the Kiss of death.

                        any input would be appreciated,

                        cordially Tom

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Originally posted by Thomrich
                          Greetings Spike,
                          Ive come across something I'd like your's and everyone else's input on.
                          DHB is approaching all time high,It has a very high short ratio,the exact % escapes me,but I think its near 35% of the float.That must mean virtually all shorts are invalid now.
                          Would a fantastic earnings report,new contract announce,or just continuation of current trend cause a short squeeze ?
                          I see NO volume above where we are now,if it can keep up wont short interest need to keep buying in on higher levels?
                          I am by no means an expert,if anything ignorant on a squeeze,but isnt that a plausible scenario?Everyone dreams of finding another TZOO,just curious if a blind man actually could have made it across a busy intersection?By no means am I trying to pump,if anything my mention usually is the Kiss of death.
                          any input would be appreciated,
                          cordially Tom
                          Anything is possible! Short squeezes have a better chance of occurring when the 'days to cover' for a particular shortable stock is lengthy. Do you know what it is for DHB? It would also help to have watched intraday action for months to see just how much 'manipulation' there appears to be in the stock. If there are lots of games with intraday prices, then the chances for a squeeze increase, especially with a high percentage of short interest. But having said all that, the chances of actually catching a good ride on a squeeze is fairly remote, unless you are a very active and nimble intraday trader.

                          Comment


                          • Greetings,
                            Yeah i figured its a very rare event,3.18 days to cover as of 2 days ago.Not a very good number.

                            Alot on DHBs board are calling a screaming short candidate,I think the chart looks pretty good myself.

                            I'll watch it tomorrow and see how she trades,Ive been burned so many times holding through earnings,but I want to keep emotions out of it.

                            Thanks Spike,
                            cordially Tom

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              I agree - the chart is clearly bullish.

                              Ya, earnings are always a gamble. Price action defies logic more often than not.....
                              On good news, price with pop AH to resistence, then sell off.........unless the news is way way above expectations and then it'll likely pop and keep going for several days/weeks. But how to know!!!! Might pay to sit and watch.........

                              Comment


                              • Real quick Spike,
                                EVOL has been done a Jenny Craig down to 3.90,long touch or pattern breakdown?
                                Looks like it could break either way from here.

                                CRIO still simmering,got my bid in at 1.54 I think it might come to me,parabolic 1 year weekly shows a reversal,along with your comment about 2.50 inverted SHS target,Am I on course here?

                                BTW I love the way youv'e worked TMWD,if only I had your ability.Happy trading toall

                                cordially Tom

                                Comment

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