Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • Websman
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 5545

    Dumb question for the week... Are the markets closed for Thursday for Veterans day?

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Originally posted by Websman
      Dumb question for the week... Are the markets closed for Thursday for Veterans day?
      Not listed as closed here http://www.rightline.net/calendar/market-holidays.html
      or here http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/trader/n...mingevents.stm
      or here http://mutualfunds.about.com/cs/hist...03schedule.htm

      I think it's safe to assume it's open

      Comment


      • Spike how do you feel about doubling down,say it gaps down to 14.The reason I ask is a 500mil army contract is looming fairly soon.
        Dont want to be out while waiting for an entry,and h.ave it hit,valued roughly at $9 a share.
        BTW the earnings report was very good,even shorts couldnt come up with bad #s
        It appears to be a trend,sells off from earning last 2 quarters.
        I want a vulcan disciplined plan here,add at support,if it gets there?keep original position hedging against DOD contract.
        you thoughts
        cordially Tom

        Comment

        • spikefader
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 7175

          Originally posted by Thomrich
          Spike how do you feel about doubling down,say it gaps down to 14.The reason I ask is a 500mil army contract is looming fairly soon.
          Dont want to be out while waiting for an entry,and h.ave it hit,valued roughly at $9 a share.
          BTW the earnings report was very good,even shorts couldnt come up with bad #s
          It appears to be a trend,sells off from earning last 2 quarters.
          I want a vulcan disciplined plan here,add at support,if it gets there?keep original position hedging against DOD contract.
          you thoughts
          cordially Tom
          If it were to gap down to 14.25 (gap fill) doubling down there would have you entering at solid support. The logical support failure price stop loss is 12.99, so if you can handle that much risk, go with it. I'd be surprised if it gapped down that hard though. If it's headed that low, it would more likely slip over several days to 14.60 (start of gap) and will likely bounce healthily from there since that's the gap and also the 61.8% retrace of this month's bullish move. So I'd consider doubling down at the 14.60 support. That's also nice volume by price support (on the daily).
          Attached Files
          Last edited by spikefader; 11-10-2004, 03:25 AM.

          Comment


          • Thanks brother for the heads up.Im looking to aggressively buy htis if it dips close to 14,that way I can feel good if it drops.Its amazing how the market reacts to #s.


            I feel this is a knee jerk reaction selloff,and I dont want to be part of it.I chased the buy in ,I dont want to chase a sell off.

            Barring world peace,this co. is growing big time,and the supposed looming contract is just waiting to happen.I realise Im talking myself into this,but if I panic sell this morning Im going to lose.

            wish me luck,and discipline
            cordially Tom

            Comment

            • mimo_100
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2003
              • 1784

              Originally posted by spikefader
              The only thing affected is the settlement date.
              Last edited by mimo_100; 11-10-2004, 09:10 AM.
              Tim - Retired Problem Solver

              Comment

              • mimo_100
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2003
                • 1784

                Originally posted by spikefader
                Hey Tim.
                You're welcome
                AGEN - impressive push. Clearly bullish. Look for the waves and enter at gap support or at point 4, looking for the 5th up to resistance.
                Thanks Spike - This is going be something to look back on in March - hopefully a multi-bagger.

                Tim
                Tim - Retired Problem Solver

                Comment

                • Websman
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 5545

                  Good news for those of us wanting a lower entry point on DHB. DHB was downgraded today by Roth Capital from strong buy to buy. That should help drop the price down some.

                  Comment

                  • billyjoe
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 9014

                    Webs,
                    How do you figure this downgrade? DHB eps +157% Sales up 64% Earnings 13% above estimates. I'm beginning to think stocks are being penalized for doing too good , therefore they can't possibly continue the high rate of success. If that is the case I remember AH went down maybe 15% under similar circumstances then came back maybe 10% pretty quickly, so DHB does seem promising.
                    billyjoe

                    Comment

                    • Websman
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 5545

                      DHB is undervalued and can't go down too far. All the downgrade means to me is a chance to get back in. DHB, eventually will go up.

                      I think the best thing is for DHB to get listed on the NASDAQ, and that is a strong possibility in the near future.

                      Comment


                      • Greetings guys,
                        I agree that DHB is undervalued,that said,nobody wants it now.It started to climb to 15.58 and at the close it tanked all the way down to 15.26.

                        Not sure how to read this one either,.27 lower and it drops off the IBD after only 1 week.

                        It has a high short interest,and the vast bulk of it is below 15.Maybe its games being played?

                        The supposed BIG contract looming is worth 500mil.I believe when I see it.

                        The CEO is definitely a house ape,and the specialist on the AMEX is hated by everyone on the Yahoo board.

                        I was ready to abandon today,but figured ive absorbed earnings and a downgrade,why not see if something good could happen to mindboggling earn ings?Even shorts had a hard time finding anything wrong with it.

                        Chart wise I think its teetering on a gap fill?Id bail,except the DOD contract could come anytime,really dont know.

                        cordially Tom

                        Comment

                        • New-born baby
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 6095

                          Eln

                          Spike,

                          ELN up 8.87 after hours tonight. Wow! Am I glad I wasn't short on it. That after hours trading can be brutal without a stop!
                          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                          Comment

                          • tokyojoeskid
                            No Posting allowed; invalid email
                            • Oct 2003
                            • 222

                            eln`

                            check it out, the last trade someone bought like 10 shares at 38 bid and ask are both at 29 something, will be interesting to see what happens tomm. But i wouldnt get pumped up over the 38 mark, at least not yet

                            Comment

                            • kingofthehill
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 487

                              the $38.00 trade is wrong.. I have no idea how that posted

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Originally posted by billyjoe
                                Webs,
                                How do you figure this downgrade? DHB eps +157% Sales up 64% Earnings 13% above estimates. I'm beginning to think stocks are being penalized for doing too good , therefore they can't possibly continue the high rate of success. If that is the case I remember AH went down maybe 15% under similar circumstances then came back maybe 10% pretty quickly, so DHB does seem promising.
                                billyjoe
                                lol - normal games Downgraded so the price falls to a point they want to buy it

                                Comment

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