Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by New-born baby
    Spike,

    Would you care to forecast for me the bottom of the oil bust? We were $57; we are now $50. I would like to have your view of the bottom of the barrel.

    Thank you for all you do!
    Sorry Newborn, just discovered I forgot about this one! I did a chart on $OIX on Friday so here it is. Many weekly channel long failures on the oil indexes/stocks points to lower. I would suggest lower weekly channels.
    Last edited by spikefader; 04-18-2005, 03:19 PM. Reason: corrected brain-fart wording :D

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Shorted QQQQ 34.95, near today's high of day resistance and at small 5 wave completion; looking for a nice breakdown.

      Comment

      • New-born baby
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 6095

        Spike, you are wonderful!

        Thank you Spike for all you do. My gut tells me all you wrote. Don't like to see that USD/CD drop to .75 as you have targetted, but I believe you are correct.

        The same with oil. One terrorist could change it all, but a retrace is coming I think.

        Gotta love the Spike! Thank you!
        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

        Comment

        • dmk112
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2004
          • 1759

          Spike,

          Ford took another hit today, what are your thoughts on the chart?
          http://twitter.com/DMK112

          Comment

          • dmk112
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2004
            • 1759

            Hospitals topping? ($RXH)
            http://twitter.com/DMK112

            Comment

            • dmk112
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2004
              • 1759

              SNHY bounced nicely off the 50 dma today, worth watching tomorrow.
              http://twitter.com/DMK112

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by dmk112
                Spike,
                Ford took another hit today, what are your thoughts on the chart?
                Bearish. Looks like it wants 7.50. Hilarious that we were posting about it on the day before the drop, when I posted this short setup http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/attach...tachmentid=852. Silly stock; needs to be taken out back and belted. Didn't give a perfect entry (later in the day popped over that SHS), and then after the 50% retrace system entry got all the way to +13% (2% shy of its target) then drops faster than my shorts the day after eating beef vindaloo.

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Originally posted by dmk112
                  Hospitals topping? ($RXH)
                  still no upper channel tag; came close.

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    Originally posted by dmk112
                    SNHY bounced nicely off the 50 dma today, worth watching tomorrow.
                    yeah, worth watching for a short ; channel short today, after a bullish channel breakdown.

                    Comment

                    • dmk112
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2004
                      • 1759

                      Originally posted by spikefader
                      Bearish. Looks like it wants 7.50. Hilarious that we were posting about it on the day before the drop, when I posted this short setup http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/attach...tachmentid=852. Silly stock; needs to be taken out back and belted. Didn't give a perfect entry (later in the day popped over that SHS), and then after the 50% retrace system entry got all the way to +13% (2% shy of its target) then drops faster than my shorts the day after eating beef vindaloo.

                      Haha, I'll be watching it today, the futures are up like 8 pts so we'll see what happens today (maybe we bottomed??).

                      SNHY: Is that a channel short, what would invalidate it? A bust through it?
                      http://twitter.com/DMK112

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Originally posted by dmk112
                        SNHY: Is that a channel short, what would invalidate it? A bust through it?
                        You'll probably recall from reading this thread that today is an expanding short channel day; which is caution shorts.

                        There wasn't a good pattern yesterday, so it's worth one more look today for a good pattern short, tight stop, small risk, anticipating that the only reason today is expanding is because there wasn't a good pattern to sell into. Today still no pattern. Keep looking. Double top or SHS may present itself, and that is where to lay in ambush for it. We're talking risk reward setups right, and this one should be about 0.5% (if double top entry) risk for 20% target which are great numbers and what you should be striving for to duplicate the system I use.

                        Now, should the pattern fail and price remain strong then, as far as the system goes, one can consider that the channel short day has failed and you can now start looking for a long opportunity. It's about staying on the right side of the trade, and waiting in ambush for a 'discount' smart patient entry. Just because it breaks the channel short day doesn't mean you buy today. Ya gotta be patient

                        Comment

                        • dmk112
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2004
                          • 1759

                          Markets looking good - vector still bullish? Looking to short SNRR though...
                          http://twitter.com/DMK112

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            Originally posted by dmk112
                            Markets looking good - vector still bullish? Looking to short SNRR though...
                            Well it's not looking too good to me The market is actually forming a bear flag on the hourly chart. Watch for the breakdown to signal a continuation down. It's the calm before the storm I think.

                            Vector remains bearish - check my Avatar for current bias.

                            Comment

                            • dmk112
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2004
                              • 1759

                              BOOM and SNHY are on fire today... Do you see the intraday patter on BOOM? Is that some sort of wavecount?
                              http://twitter.com/DMK112

                              Comment

                              • dmk112
                                Senior Member
                                • Nov 2004
                                • 1759

                                RE BOOM, did it hit a channel short today?

                                http://twitter.com/DMK112

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