Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    YM thoughts:


    Comment

    • dmk112
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2004
      • 1759

      Spike, I hope you're right but why are you couting the waves twice??
      http://twitter.com/DMK112

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by dmk112
        Spike, I hope you're right but why are you couting the waves twice??
        I'm not. That's a separate set of 5 waves within the brown 3 of 5. Waves often have subwaves within individual bigger single waves.

        Comment

        • dmk112
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2004
          • 1759

          Originally posted by spikefader
          I'm not. That's a separate set of 5 waves within the brown 3 of 5. Waves often have subwaves within individual bigger single waves.
          I see, but how do you know which ones are sub waves? Anyhow, it seems to be working, DOW breaking resistance!
          http://twitter.com/DMK112

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Originally posted by dmk112
            I see, but how do you know which ones are sub waves? Anyhow, it seems to be working, DOW breaking resistance!
            Yup, working so far....
            As far as subwaves, you never REALLY KNOW lol. It's very much an anticipation thing; you can only speculate that your count is right. You've seen me modify counts many times. And every EWer will do the same. This is why simplicity and flexibility is best for me.

            EW ain't the Holy Grail, and is very much a hindsight thing as far as counts and waves, and it will very often surprise and modify the count on you. But that's OK. It's definately an edge if you know what to look for and use that knowledge and anticipation to help identify perhaps market bias and definately low r/r setups, like the 'c' long.

            I'll tell you this though, you could use the 'c' long setup as your one and only setup in the world, and patiently stalk those entries, and be disciplined, you'd be successful. And if you're struggling with the futures, then I recommend that you grab the 'c' long with both hands and not let go of it. Learn it, use it, be patient and perhaps even use it as a stop and reverse signal if it fails. I've not done that with futes, but I'm sure it would be very very successful.

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              Took a small -5 exit on that YM, and stalking again. Seriously considering swing short based on this action....

              Comment

              • dmk112
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2004
                • 1759

                Originally posted by spikefader
                Took a small -5 exit on that YM, and stalking again. Seriously considering swing short based on this action....
                Looks like the DOW peaked through the 10890 and came back in...boo hoo
                http://twitter.com/DMK112

                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Now dmk, see how that c failure setup has led to nice selloff. See how stop n reverse works on it. Volatile moves dude. 'c' pivot area is a good thing. Merry Christmas!

                  Comment

                  • dmk112
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2004
                    • 1759

                    Originally posted by spikefader
                    Now dmk, see how that c failure setup has led to nice selloff. See how stop n reverse works on it. Volatile moves dude. 'c' pivot area is a good thing. Merry Christmas!
                    It sucks it went the opposite way!
                    http://twitter.com/DMK112

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      I need an uppercut when I think about it. On a closing basis, Vector remains bearish, and here I am getting all psyched about the bull. Strictly speaking, I should have refrained from the long, waited for the c failure, the reason to enter in the direction of my market bias on a daily basis. Had I done that, I'd be holding short from the 10920 breakdown entry and I'd have the perfect entry! Doh!

                      OK, mental error that one. I'll get with the program and short into this strength 10915 would be nice....

                      Comment

                      • dmk112
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2004
                        • 1759

                        Here ya go Spike...
                        http://twitter.com/DMK112

                        Comment

                        • dmk112
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2004
                          • 1759

                          Taking short, 10 pt stop.
                          http://twitter.com/DMK112

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            Originally posted by spikefader
                            ...short into this strength 10915 would be nice....
                            To the tick I see! I go mess with the kids with orders in place and I come back and see that Santa came early! haha

                            This one is likely to move very nicely I think. Headfake long setup, and if the next hour remains this weak, then that'll be another bearish Vector close. Hold this one dmk!

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              Originally posted by dmk112
                              Here ya go Spike...

                              Ha! Thanks. It did the trick.

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Added YM short 10888 with 5 point stop.

                                Comment

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