Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • spikefader
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 7175

    Originally posted by spikefader
    Scalp short YM 10923. 22 pt stop.
    Out fer a push.

    Comment

    • spikefader
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 7175

      Scalp long YM 10855. Pretty tight stop on this one.

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by spikefader
        Scalp long YM 10855. Pretty tight stop on this one.
        Tightening stop to a couple under lod now. Would be nice if GOOG gets bought big time from that massive blow down to $350.00. Stranger things have happened...

        Comment

        • Adam
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2005
          • 201

          I take it people didn't like GOOG earnings to much.

          Comment

          • spikefader
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 7175

            Originally posted by Adam
            I take it people didn't like GOOG earnings to much.
            No, they missed, it halted, got slammed for 20% where it's now deciding if it's an over-reaction of justified. I really wouldn't be surprised to see it get bot from these levels and maybe retrace back to 400 by morning. If 350.00 does fail tonight, not good for the next couple weeks. Took my small YM 10pt stop and I'm back to stalkin tomorrow.

            Comment

            • New-born baby
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 6095

              For Crying out loud

              Spike,
              Time to flip over to bear again, isn't it?
              What we really need now is a tax increase to put the frosting on the cake.
              Where's Ted Kennedy at, anyway?



              Savings Rate at Lowest Level Since 1933
              Monday January 30, 11:22 am ET
              By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

              Savings Rate Hits Lowest Level Since 1933 As Consumers Use Money to Finance
              Big-Ticket Purchases

              WASHINGTON (AP) -- Americans' personal savings rate dipped into negative
              territory in 2005, something that hasn't happened since the Great Depression.
              Consumers depleted their savings to finance the purchases of cars and other
              big-ticket items.

              The Commerce Department reported Monday that the savings rate fell into negative
              territory at minus 0.5 percent, meaning that Americans not only spent all of
              their after-tax income last year but had to dip into previous savings or
              increase borrowing.

              The savings rate has been negative for an entire year only twice before -- in
              1932 and 1933 -- two years when the country was struggling to cope with the
              Great Depression, a time of massive business failures and job layoffs.

              With employment growth strong now, analysts said that different factors are at
              play. Americans feel they can spend more, given that the value of their homes,
              the biggest asset for most families, has been rising sharply in recent years.

              But analysts cautioned that this behavior was risky at a time when 78 million
              Americans are on the verge of retirement.

              "Americans seem to have the feeling that it is wimpish to save," said
              David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York. "The idea is
              to put away money for old age and we are just not doing that."

              The Commerce report said that consumer spending for December rose by 0.9
              percent, more than double the 0.4 percent increase in incomes last month.

              A price gauge that excludes food and energy rose by a tiny 0.1 percent in
              December, down from a 0.2 percent rise in November. This inflation index linked
              to consumer spending is closely watched by officials at the Federal Reserve.

              The central bank meets on Tuesday, when it is expected it will boost interest
              rates for a 14th time. However, many economists believe those rate hikes are
              drawing to a close with perhaps another quarter-point hike at the March 28
              meeting as the central bank is starting to see the impact of the previous rate
              hikes in a slowing economy.

              The government reported on Friday that overall economic growth slowed to a 1.1
              percent rate in the final three months of the year, the most sluggish pace in
              three years.

              That slowdown was heavily influenced by a big drop for the quarter in spending
              on new cars, which had surged in the summer as automakers offered attractive
              sales incentives.

              A negative savings rate means that Americans spent all their disposable income,
              the amount left over after paying taxes, and dipped into their past savings to
              finance their purchases. For the month, the savings rate fell to 0.7 percent,
              the largest one-month decline since a 3.4 percent drop in August.

              The 0.5 percent negative savings rate for 2005 followed a 1.8 percent rate of
              savings in 2004. The last negative rates occurred in 1932, a drop of 0.9
              percent, and a record 1.5 percent decline in 1933. In those years Americans
              exhausted their savings to try to meet expenses in the wake of the worst
              economic crisis in U.S. history.

              One major reason that consumers felt confident in spending all of their
              disposable incomes and dipping into savings last year was that a booming housing
              market made them feel more wealthy. As their home prices surged at double-digit
              rates, that created what economists call a "wealth effect" that
              supported greater spending.

              The concern, however, is that the housing boom of the past five years is
              beginning to quiet down with the rise in mortgage rates. Analysts are closing
              watching to see whether consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of
              total economic activity, falters in 2006 as Americans, already carrying heavy
              debt loads, don't feel as wealthy as the price appreciation
              pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by New-born baby
                Spike,
                Time to flip over to bear again, isn't it?...
                Not yet. I'm still waiting fer the signal. Further weakness tomorrow should do it, but I'm not ready to be a bear just yet

                Comment

                • The Photon
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 189

                  Lufk

                  Spike what do you see in the chart LUFK TIA -
                  The Photon

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    Originally posted by The Photon
                    Spike what do you see in the chart LUFK TIA -
                    lol wow dude, what a monthly chart! (not shown)
                    LUFK is becoming monsterous. Looks like it's in the 5th up on the weekly now.

                    Bullish while over that latest channel long/c long area.



                    *previous discussion LUFK here http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpo...postcount=6098

                    Comment

                    • The Photon
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 189

                      thanks again Spike I'm back in for a double dip on this one -
                      The Photon

                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        YM swing long 10908. 30 pt stop.

                        Comment

                        • spikefader
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 7175

                          Shadow,
                          MRK update:

                          Last edited by spikefader; 02-01-2006, 12:36 PM.

                          Comment

                          • New-born baby
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 6095

                            CCJ Blow off top

                            I think CCJ just ran out of momentum....looks like a blow off top, don't you think?
                            pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              AMLN:

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Originally posted by New-born baby
                                I think CCJ just ran out of momentum....looks like a blow off top, don't you think?
                                Nah, CCJ is a boomer on the weekly....I think it's a buying opp myself. Intraday double bottom.... missed the bus though...

                                Comment

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