Jiesen tries to take over the world

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  • Websman
    replied
    Originally posted by dmk112
    Good reminder, I forgot about that little perk with dividends when shorting.. ouch!
    After I take my dividend and collect my profits I may go short myself, if the price action looks weak. For now, my long position is looking good.

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  • dmk112
    replied
    Originally posted by New-born baby
    Wait until the record date is past, or else you have to pay the divy!

    Good reminder, I forgot about that little perk with dividends when shorting.. ouch!

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  • New-born baby
    replied
    Patience . . . .

    Originally posted by dmk112
    OFG may go to 15 and that is when I will short it
    Wait until the record date is past, or else you have to pay the divy!

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  • dmk112
    replied
    OFG may go to 15 and that is when I will short it

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  • Websman
    replied
    OFG goes up again.

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  • jiesen
    replied
    OFG chart

    I'm glad to see that the TA aligns with the FA on this one!

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  • New-born baby
    replied
    Percentages

    Originally posted by dmk112
    Why in the world would you guys consider OFG? jeez what a loser..
    DMK:
    Well, OFG was selling for $13.30 earlier this week. It is now a $14 stock.
    If you had picked up 1000 shares, you are looking at $700 in one week. And it'll probably see $15 before Sept 28. And the stock is cheap.

    Need more reasons? Here's the chart: don't short this one.
    Last edited by New-born baby; 09-02-2005, 03:24 PM.

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  • jiesen
    replied
    Hmm, maybe I should have held on to MRK after all...

    MRK seems to be shrugging off that $253M verdict like it's nothing. Check it out:


    I guess the market expects them to come out of this all right after all. Go figure.... Well, that verdict, while likely to be overturned and/or reduced still makes it just too risky a bet for me to take. Oh well, at least I managed to get out of it with some profit intact.

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  • Websman
    replied
    Originally posted by dmk112
    Why in the world would you guys consider OFG? jeez what a loser..
    Watch and learn.

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  • dmk112
    replied
    Why in the world would you guys consider OFG? jeez what a loser..

    Leave a comment:


  • Websman
    replied
    Originally posted by jiesen
    I just doubled up my position in OFG (to about 3% of port now) at 13.2. I may be overweighting myself in bank stocks (OFG, FRGB and CIB now are over 6% total portfolio) but I justify it with the slew of insider purchases of OFG over the past few months, the nice dividend, and a $2/shr EPS. If it drops any further, though, I'll admit I'm wrong and cut my loss at 12 or so, but I think OFG is finally showing a little life here, and probably has found bottom at 13. Besides, my other options (I was thinking about picking up more CMTL or AMLN) have already run away from me, and I don't want OFG to get away, too.
    I just joined you in OFG. I couldn't resist the bargain price and the upcoming dividend!

    I had to take my profit on NGPS to buy OFG, but it's looking like it may pay off.

    Leave a comment:


  • jiesen
    replied
    Originally posted by Websman
    It might not be a bad plan to short DHB to that level.
    Careful, though. Just because it could go that low, doesn't mean it will. There are a lot of better short opportunities out there, imo. But I do have to agree, if you must play DHB right now, short is the way to go- but do it with a tight stop, and if you make a quick buck off of it, take it quick and run. I think there's still some value to this company, and it could come roaring back anytime.

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  • Websman
    replied
    Originally posted by jiesen
    Hmm, looks like that "thing you don't know about" just came to the surface there, Webs.

    At Yahoo Finance, you get free stock quotes, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, international market data, social interaction and mortgage rates that help you manage your financial life.


    $4 may be here sooner than we expected. Not that I'd think about buying it in light of the latest development... (Maybe at $2-2.5 though)
    It might not be a bad plan to short DHB to that level.

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  • jiesen
    replied
    DHB follow-up

    Originally posted by jiesen
    Well, just looking at book value and earnings, I'd say $3-4 would be a pretty safe entry for this one, since you have $2 in book and $0.7 EPS and growing. I'm sure it's really worth quite a bit more, though, as long as those earnings materialize as they're supposed to- but look what happened to BEL- there may be things you don't know about coming down the pike. I'd say if you don't like the CEO, then find a company whose CEO you do trust before putting up your money- or at least wait for a price damn near BV before you buy. Just remember that even the book value is potentially at risk- just look at ABRXQ today. $100M in BV as of the last statement, and a $5M market cap now- perfectly justified, too!
    Hmm, looks like that "thing you don't know about" just came to the surface there, Webs.

    At Yahoo Finance, you get free stock quotes, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, international market data, social interaction and mortgage rates that help you manage your financial life.


    $4 may be here sooner than we expected. Not that I'd think about buying it in light of the latest development... (Maybe at $2-2.5 though)

    Leave a comment:


  • New-born baby
    replied
    Aci

    DUH! Another bone head move. . . .
    I sold the calls on ACI at $4. Should have waited until today even. Now selling for $4.70

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