Hot Pick Of The Day

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • New-born baby
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 6095

    Su

    I have been hammering my readers to get on the SU wagon ASAP and ride with confidence. The stock has a rich, rich option chain, and there are 100 ways to make money off of this excellent company. Earnings announced Thursday, and I am looking for a pop higher. So why not read this:

    Canada's oil sands show big potential
    WORLD BRIEFINGS
    By Fred Langan
    LONDON TELEGRAPH
    May 2, 2006


    FORT McMURRAY, Alberta
    High in northern Canada, a company called Syncrude is mining oil
    from a black pit that measures 35,000 acres. Giant trucks, the
    largest in the world, take three loads of oil sands from a huge
    shovel then deliver the material to a crusher on its way to becoming
    oil.
    "Each truck carries about 400 tons of material and we get about
    200 barrels of oil from that," said Jim Carter, president and chief
    operating officer of Syncrude, the largest oil-sands operator in the
    world. The Fort McMurray company is a consortium owned by seven
    firms, including Canadian Oil Sands Trust, Imperial Oil, which is
    the Canadian arm of Exxon Mobil, and Petro Canada.
    Mr. Carter comes from a mining background, not an oil
    background. He pushed for the use of giant shovels and trucks, which
    are more flexible than giant moving scoops and draglines, the last
    of which were retired last month. He said the mine site is barely
    touched.
    "We will be mining here for another 45 years," Mr. Carter
    said. "Last year our production was 250,000 barrels a day. We will
    have that to 350,000 by the end of this year."
    That is on this one site. Alberta, about the size of Ireland,
    has 30,888 square miles of oil sands. Huge swaths of the boreal
    forest and a light layer of topsoil cover the oil sands. The
    deposits come in three locations: Peace River to the west of here,
    Cold Lake to the east on the Saskatchewan border, and by far the
    largest deposit in the Athabasca region surrounding Fort McMurray.
    About 6,500 people are working on the Syncrude site, in the open-
    pit mine and the plant that upgrades the heavy oil to light
    synthetic crude. Canadian Indians, a group with some of the highest
    rates of unemployment in the country, comprise more than 10 percent
    of the work force.
    Billions of barrels
    The Indians once used the gooey tar to waterproof the seams of
    their birch-bark canoes. The oil was pushed to the surface eons ago
    from deep underground by the same geological forces that formed the
    Rocky Mountains just to the west.
    The oil sands of Alberta contain 175 billion barrels of oil.
    Only Saudi Arabia has larger reserves at 259 billion barrels.
    Optimists such as the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers
    (CAPP) say the reserves could be 10 times that if technology
    succeeds in separating the oil from the sand in the underground
    deposits that are difficult to access.
    Using just conventional technology will vault Canada to one of
    the world's leading sources of petroleum, with all the oil safely
    connected by pipeline to refineries in the United States. Just this
    month an unused pipeline running south to north in the United States
    reversed direction to take Alberta oil south.
    "Right now, Canada is the eighth-largest producer in the world,
    just below Norway. By 2015, we will be No. 5, moving to just below
    Iran or maybe past it," said Greg Stringham, vice president of CAPP
    in Calgary.

    High in northern Canada, a company called Syncrude is mining oil from a black pit that measures 35,000 acres. Giant trucks, the largest in the world, take three loads of oil sands from a huge shovel then deliver the material to a crusher on its way to becoming oil.
    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

    Comment

    • New-born baby
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2004
      • 6095

      Peix

      Let me give you an example of how you can make some money on PEIX at very low risk to yourself. Let's say that you have told yourself that you will not lose more than $380 on any deal. Nobody likes to lose money, but unless you have the discipline to just say "I will cut my loses right then and there; I will lose no more," you could wake up one morning with a $7,000 loss or more on a trade. So how can I trade the momo PEIX safely and profitably?

      Answer: by a bullish call spread. BUY PEIX JAN 07 $35 call at $930 for one contract. (Lots of dough, right? WRONG!). SELL one JAN 07 $45 call for $550. That means that you can lose $380 on this trade MAXIMUM. It also means that you have the time between Thursday, MAY 4, and the third Friday in JAN 07 for PEIX to go up in price. You cannot lose more than $380 on this deal. But you could make more than $1000-$380=$620+ on this deal. I say "more than" because the delta (how the price of the option moves in relation to the price of the stock) goes up with each increase in price. The price of PEIX would probably have to get to $55-$58 to max out your profits, which would be in excess of $620.

      So let's say that next August PEIX is trading at $50 (has a price target of $64.50) and you want to take profits. Simple. Just cash out of both postions and take your dough. Or ride it longer with the intent of seeing PEIX become a $75 stock. Whatever trips your trigger.

      What if PEIX only makes it to $40? You still have a profit. PEIX only need trade at $38.80 for you to break even, and it was almost there today.

      Are there any cheapskates out there thinking, "Hey, why don't I buy Sept calls instead, and save on the spread?" I like cheapskate thinking, but in this case, the spread is still $380, so why not go for more time?
      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

      Comment

      • noshadyldy
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 539

        Thanks NB. Yes, I see how different a tweezer bottom is now. Totally different animal. Thanks. As for it not being a double bottom, my chart on scottrader showed the bottom of both weeks at the exact same price. (?)

        As for options, I'm just not comfortable with them. At most I may sell some covered calls. But thanks for all the info on the stocks target. That looks great!
        "Whatever you can do or dream you can , begin it. Boldness has genius,power and magic in it." Goethe

        Comment

        • New-born baby
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2004
          • 6095

          Originally posted by noshadyldy
          Thanks NB. Yes, I see how different a tweezer bottom is now. Totally different animal. Thanks. As for it not being a double bottom, my chart on scottrader showed the bottom of both weeks at the exact same price. (?)

          As for options, I'm just not comfortable with them. At most I may sell some covered calls. But thanks for all the info on the stocks target. That looks great!
          NO--Shady,
          I understand about your comfort zone. If you sell covered calls for awhile, your comfort zone will increase, and you will make a few plays like the one described in PEIX.

          I am sorry, but I see no double bottom on CDE. Can you post a chart and show me what you see? I would be glad to help if possible . . . .
          Here's what a double bottom looks like:
          pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

          Comment

          • New-born baby
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2004
            • 6095

            SU profits and production

            SU announced earnings and production this morning.

            UPDATE 1-Strong production boosts Suncor's profit
            Thu May 4, 2006 6:44 AM ET
            (Adds details)

            TORONTO, May 4 (Reuters) - Suncor Energy Inc. (SU.TO: Quote, Profile, Research) on Thursday reported higher first-quarter profit from a year earlier, when production at its Northern Alberta oil sands mine project was hobbled by a fire.

            FACT BOX

            SU.TO (Suncor Energy Inc)
            Last: $97.22
            Change: -1.61
            Up/Down: -1.63%


            MayAugNovFeb
            Quote
            Full Chart
            Company Profile
            Analyst Research
            News for SU.TO
            UPDATE 1-Strong production boosts Suncor's profit
            Suncor first-quarter profit rises
            Toronto stocks fall on profit-taking, oil prices
            Canada's No. 1 oil production and refining firm said net income was C$713 million, or C$1.56 a share, for the period ended March 31, compared with C$67 million, or 15 Canadian cents a share, for the same period of last year.

            The company, based in Calgary, Alberta, said the increase in net earnings was due to higher oil sands production, higher commodity prices and receipt of fire insurance proceeds, which were partially offset by higher oil sands operating costs as a result of increased production volumes, as well as higher royalties expense and higher stock-based compensation expense.

            Cash flow, used by investors to gauge the firm's ability to pay for new projects, was C$1.31 billion during the quarter, up from C$294 million for the same time last year.

            Suncor's total upstream production averaged 300,300 barrels of oil equivalent per day during the first quarter, compared with 175,600 barrels in the first quarter of 2005. Oil sands production during the quarter averaged 264,400 barrels per day of synthetic crude oil, up from 139,900 barrels in 2005.

            Output from the company's massive oil sands mine and upgrading refinery was halved for much of 2005 after a fire in early 2005. It completed repairs in the third quarter of last year and increased capacity at the Northern Alberta site by adding new processing equipment.

            The company sees 2006 full-year oil sands production at about 260,000 barrels per day.
            pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

            Comment

            • New-born baby
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 6095

              Oil Forecast

              Oil prices are going to continue to rise.
              ----------------------------------------------------

              Every single money manager I spoke with provided me with a price range of $81 to $83 a barrel. This may seem like a no-brainer, but these same managers said there is no doubt we will see $100/bbl by summer. When I asked which equity investment will reap the most benefit from $100/bbl, one notable hedge fund manager from Palm Beach told me ‘two words: Exxon Mobil.’

              “He said ExxonMobil is currently trading as if a barrel was only $40 and the market will eventually take note of how expensive oil is trading now.
              pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

              Comment

              • Peter Hansen
                Banned
                • Jul 2005
                • 3968

                ITG Looks Just about Right?

                NB How does ITG look to you? Thanx

                Comment


                • Originally posted by New-born baby
                  Oil prices are going to continue to rise.
                  ----------------------------------------------------

                  Every single money manager I spoke with provided me with a price range of $81 to $83 a barrel. This may seem like a no-brainer, but these same managers said there is no doubt we will see $100/bbl by summer. When I asked which equity investment will reap the most benefit from $100/bbl, one notable hedge fund manager from Palm Beach told me ‘two words: Exxon Mobil.’

                  “He said ExxonMobil is currently trading as if a barrel was only $40 and the market will eventually take note of how expensive oil is trading now.
                  Short term Bear task for oil is a P/B to April lows. I think 66.00 area is possible.

                  Comment

                  • New-born baby
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 6095

                    Itg

                    Originally posted by Peter Hansen
                    NB How does ITG look to you? Thanx
                    ITG looks overbought and headed for a pullback. It has pulled back to support on the daily . . . but hard for me to say that she's headed to new highs. Weekly is a very bullish chart, but again, I fear this may be a top for awhile.
                    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                    Comment

                    • New-born baby
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 6095

                      Runner

                      Originally posted by Runner
                      Short term Bear task for oil is a P/B to April lows. I think 66.00 area is possible.
                      That could very well be . . . we have support at $70, so it will have to make its way through that first. IF oil does pullback, it will provide a nice entry for one to enter the oil stocks.

                      We are going to get a retest of the breakout on PEIX this morning. Should $35 hold, then that makes a good entry for this one.
                      pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                      Comment

                      • New-born baby
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 6095

                        short covering

                        PARL up a $1--shorts must be covering right here.
                        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                        Comment

                        • rickflyboy
                          Member
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 98

                          Ngps

                          NB

                          What do you think of NGPS? Macd crossed

                          Comment

                          • New-born baby
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 6095

                            Ngps

                            Originally posted by rickflyboy
                            NB

                            What do you think of NGPS? Macd crossed
                            I like it right here at this price for an entry with a $50 target. How's that?
                            Today's pullback offers an entry right at support.
                            pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                            Comment

                            • rickflyboy
                              Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 98

                              Originally posted by New-born baby
                              I like it right here at this price for an entry with a $50 target. How's that?
                              Today's pullback offers an entry right at support.
                              As always THANKS NB

                              Comment

                              • Peter Hansen
                                Banned
                                • Jul 2005
                                • 3968

                                Nb Stxn

                                NB STXN has good fundamentals.....and the chart looks good here .....may buy.....any opinion ? Thanx Pete! Have a great day .

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X