Lyehopper's Roundup....

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  • EMphase
    Member
    • Apr 2006
    • 60

    Hey
    I just wanted to warn you about CVGI because it seems very risky in my opinion. If I had your position @ 19.00$ I would take the small profit now and wait to see whats going to happen. CVGI is currently inside a huge triangle, that seems to be a bearish symmetrical triangle unfortunately because we can count 5 descending waves before the triangle. Of course, there is still a little possibility that the triangle is a bullish one but it's not worth the risk in my opinion. If the price breaks 21.00 then it was bullish and buy but if it breaks 18.00 sell short that thing asap according to the chart below.

    Last edited by EMphase; 05-08-2006, 01:05 PM.

    Comment

    • Lyehopper
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 3678

      Originally posted by EMphase
      Hey
      I just wanted to warn you about CVGI because it seems very risky in my opinion. If I had your position @ 19.00$ I would take the small profit now and wait to see whats going to happen. CVGI is currently inside a huge triangle, that seems to be a bearish symmetrical triangle unfortunately because we can count 5 descending waves before the triangle. Of course, there is still a little possibility that the triangle is a bullish one but it's not worth the risk in my opinion. If the price breaks 21.00 then it was bullish and buy but if it breaks 18.00 sell short that thing asap according to the chart below.
      Thanks for the TA dude.... Have you looked at this company's fundamentals? I bought it because I like their growth and I think they are well managed and I beleive the stock is a good value.

      What do you think of PARL's chart?.... Would you buy or sell?
      BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

      Comment

      • Rob
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2003
        • 3194

        Parl

        Lye, I was just looking at
        PARL's chart, since it's
        currently at the head of
        the class in the POTW.

        Do you have a target, at
        which you will unload?
        —Rob

        Comment

        • Lyehopper
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2004
          • 3678

          Originally posted by Rob
          Lye, I was just looking at
          PARL's chart, since it's
          currently at the head of
          the class in the POTW.

          Do you have a target, at
          which you will unload?
          If it goes the way I want.... I see $50+
          BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

          Comment

          • EMphase
            Member
            • Apr 2006
            • 60

            Originally posted by Lyehopper
            Thanks for the TA dude.... Have you looked at this company's fundamentals? I bought it because I like their growth and I think they are well managed and I beleive the stock is a good value.

            What do you think of PARL's chart?.... Would you buy or sell?
            Lye, checking again I'm not sure if it's that triangle bearish anymore because there is an alternate count that could make it bullish but there is one thing that holds: waiting 21.00$ will confirm it's bullish. Until then I will just wait and see. The lack of historical data on that stock makes it hard to learn more about that triangle.

            Comment

            • Lyehopper
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2004
              • 3678

              Parl?....

              Originally posted by EMphase
              Lye, checking again I'm not sure if it's that triangle bearish anymore because there is an alternate count that could make it bullish but there is one thing that holds: waiting 21.00$ will confirm it's bullish. Until then I will just wait and see. The lack of historical data on that stock makes it hard to learn more about that triangle.
              You didn't answer part "B".... What do you think of PARL's chart? and.... Would you buy or sell it?
              BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

              Comment

              • Lyehopper
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2004
                • 3678

                Update....

                I have decided not to post the annualized returns right now.... Maybe later.




                BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                Comment

                • Websman
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 5545

                  Nice job on PARL Dude! Too bad I missed it.

                  Comment

                  • IIC
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2003
                    • 14938

                    Originally posted by Lyehopper
                    I have decided not to post the annualized returns right now.... Maybe later.










                    You could post them at the end of the year. Although now I'm going to give Rob another project.

                    Now these are purely fictional numbers used for illustration purposes only.

                    At the beginning of the year Mr. Investor starts with $10,000 in his account.

                    he buys this and sells that over the course of the year. However, in June he adds $5,000 to his account and in October he adds another $4,000....He buys and sells more stocks with that money.

                    On December 31st he sells everything and his account balance sits at $25,000.

                    Now...what was his annualized percentage gain that year?

                    Thanks, Doug(IIC)
                    "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                    Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                    Follow Me On Twitter

                    Comment

                    • billyjoe
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 9014

                      Doug,
                      Here's my thinking on this problem. Had all the money been invested for 12 months the annualized return would be simply 25,000/19,000 = 31.57%.
                      Since only 10,000 was invested for the entire year and 5,000 for 7 months (June 1st) 4,000 for 3 months (Oct.1st), you actually are invested for 22 months resulting in 12/22 X 31.57 = 17.22%. It's probably not correct but an attempt.

                      billyjoe

                      Comment

                      • Rob
                        Senior Member
                        • Sep 2003
                        • 3194

                        I don't know. What am I? A freaking accountant or something?
                        —Rob

                        Comment

                        • Rob
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 3194

                          How Come?

                          Originally posted by Lyehopper
                          I have decided not to post the annualized returns right now.... Maybe later.
                          Lye, how come? Is it not working right?

                          I meant to ask you anyway because when I got done with it, I saved it and then sent it to you--at least I'm pretty sure I did. But later, when I closed it, I got the prompt asking me if I wanted to save it before closing it, and that only happens when you've made changes since the last save. So I thought there was a chance that last one I sent you had some inconsistencies in it.
                          —Rob

                          Comment

                          • IIC
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2003
                            • 14938

                            Originally posted by billyjoe
                            Doug,
                            Here's my thinking on this problem. Had all the money been invested for 12 months the annualized return would be simply 25,000/19,000 = 31.57%.
                            Since only 10,000 was invested for the entire year and 5,000 for 7 months (June 1st) 4,000 for 3 months (Oct.1st), you actually are invested for 22 months resulting in 12/22 X 31.57 = 17.22%. It's probably not correct but an attempt.

                            billyjoe
                            That's not bad to estimate...But there is a formula...I used to know how to do it...If I could find the Instruction Book for my financial calculator I could do it.
                            "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                            Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                            Follow Me On Twitter

                            Comment

                            • IIC
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2003
                              • 14938

                              Originally posted by Rob
                              I don't know. What am I? A freaking accountant or something?
                              Lye said you were...IIC
                              "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

                              Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

                              Follow Me On Twitter

                              Comment

                              • Lyehopper
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2004
                                • 3678

                                Originally posted by Rob
                                Lye, how come? Is it not working right?

                                I meant to ask you anyway because when I got done with it, I saved it and then sent it to you--at least I'm pretty sure I did. But later, when I closed it, I got the prompt asking me if I wanted to save it before closing it, and that only happens when you've made changes since the last save. So I thought there was a chance that last one I sent you had some inconsistencies in it.
                                No, I got it Rob.... Thanks!.... I was just looking at the annualized returns and I think that even though it's impossible to lose more than 100% on a long trade the annualized return should show long losses in excess of 100% to make it average out more realistically. Does that make any sense?lol
                                BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

                                Comment

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