Stocks for the Long Term

[jiesen]

Agreed. I also think all stocks are at a 10% or better discount right now. In six months, I'd bet the S&P is back over 3000, as COVID will be all over and done with, and everybody will be back to work. Doesn't mean you can't buy everything 20% cheaper next month, however.

[billyjoe]

Bought some MA today. It's a $300 stock for sure.

--------------billy

[BlueWolf]

I added some TDOC today to bring me up to a double position. I know it’s aggressive to be buying anything right now, but I have been pleasantly surprised by the bounce this week and there was finally a little bit of a pullback in TDOC. Hope this bounce continues as many of my positions are (back) in the green, but we’ll just have to wait and see. Any bad news is going to rock the boat.

Here are my current holdings and candidates:

Current LT Positions:
AAPL, AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), IIPR(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SMAR, SPCE(.5), TDOC(2), TEAM, TLRA, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

Current High Interest Watchlist:
ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, CRNC, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MNST, NTNX, PANW, PYPL, ROKU, RVLV, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, V, ZNGA

Current Some Interest Watchlist:
ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CSGP, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, OLED, OLLI, SE, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
(.5)= 1/2 Position
(2) = Double Position

[Louetta]

I doubt it

Bot some at 18 just now. We'll see what happens.

[mrmarket]

I doubt it

[billyjoe]

According to the stimulus bill those corporations receiving federal funds must suspend dividend payments until funds are paid back to govt. I wonder if MIC or KMI are getting any $$$.

-----------------billy

[mrmarket]

I bought a lot already...they are worth more than when the market first crashed, since their revenue streams will be better

[billyjoe]

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/b...l-storage.html


Illustrates how stocks in companies such as MIC and KMI are really going to crush it.

Mr. Market, Would you wait until the current crises settles down and gradually build up positions or go all out as soon as possible? The dividends really caught my eye.

--------------billy

[BlueWolf]

I did some more big block day trading today as I am finding that these bounces are providing a good environment for short term trading. Again I am using these day trades to leg into LT holdings, and today I am adding three stocks: GH, PAYC, and QTWO. I also have an oops. I legged into HQY 2 days ago and forgot to include it. I also did some shuffling of my watch lists after doing some reading and further research while waiting for my trades to pan out.

Here are my current holdings and candidates:

Current LT Positions:
AAPL, AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), IIPR(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SMAR, SPCE(.5), TDOC, TEAM, TLRA, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

Current High Interest Watchlist:
ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, CRNC, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, KNSL, LITE, LK, MASI, MNST, NEE, NTNX, PANW, PYPL, ROKU, RVLV, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, V

Current Some Interest Watchlist:
ABMD, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CSGP, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, OLLI, SE, TSLA

Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
(.5)= 1/2 Position
(2) = Double Position

[mrmarket]

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/business/energy-environment/oil-storage.html

Illustrates how stocks in companies such as MIC and KMI are really going to crush it.

[BlueWolf]

I am again day trading a position, this time in CRSP, with the hopes of legging into a LT hold. I am also restructuring my watchlist into two lists, High Interest and Some Interest. I am interested in all of these stocks based on their products/services, business models, and growth stories. I decided to segregate them into two lists, however, to accommodate the fact that my level of interest may change based on charting patterns, hiccups in earnings and other factors.

Here are my current holdings and candidates:

Current LT Positions:
AAPL, AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, IIPR(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PING(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SMAR, SPCE(.5), TDOC, TEAM, TLRA, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

Current High Interest Watchlist:
ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, CRNC, CRSP, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, GH, HQY, HUBS, KNSL, LITE, LK, MASI, MNST, NEE, NTNX, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QTWO, ROKU, RVLV, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, V

Current Some Interest Watchlist:
ABMD, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, EXPI, FTCH, FVRR, GLOB, HCAT, OLLI, TSLA

Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
(.5)= 1/2 Position
(2) = Double Position
I hope everyone is safe and healthy.

[BlueWolf]

Marriot said their revenues are down 90%. This is just an indication of the overall market earnings reports for the next 2 quarters. I don't see any stocks rallying on these reports. Short term I agree there will be swings that can be profitable as long as one is on the right end of the swing. There will be enormous opportunities eventually, but the entry points will be difficult to determine. A gradual easing in might be the way to go.
------------------billy

You’re right about earnings. That’s going to be the lasting aftereffect of all this. Even when the virus crisis starts receding, bad earnings will continue to plague the market. Some stocks are doing OK in the midst of all this (ZM, ZS, TDOC, AMZN) because their business models aren’t as dependent on brick-and-mortar stores, but a lot companies are paying a steep price.

[billyjoe]

Marriot said their revenues are down 90%. This is just an indication of the overall market earnings reports for the next 2 quarters. I don't see any stocks rallying on these reports. Short term I agree there will be swings that can be profitable as long as one is on the right end of the swing. There will be enormous opportunities eventually, but the entry points will be difficult to determine. A gradual easing in might be the way to go.

------------------billy

[BlueWolf]

I day traded a large block of TLRA today, and after booking profit, I kept 1/2 position for a LT hold. Still being cautious about adding anything, but day/swing trading into a LT position seems to be a good way to leg back into the market. Still, I am not going to go crazy with my cash as I don’t think we have seen the worst of the Coronavirus crisis yet. Here are my up-to-date holdings and watchlist:

Current LT Positions:
AAPL, AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, IIPR(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PING(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SMAR, SPCE(.5), TDOC, TEAM, TLRA, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

Current LT Watchlist:
ABMD, ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BRK/B, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CRSP, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, EXPI, FB, FTCH, FVRR, GH, HCAT, HQY, HUBS, KNSL, LITE, LK, MASI, MNST, NEE, NTNX, OLLI, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QTWO, ROKU, RVLV, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TSLA, V

Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
(.5)= 1/2 Position
(2) = Double Position
I hope everyone is safe and healthy.

[BlueWolf]

Took a full position in SFIX today, my first addition in a while. I’m going to treat this like a swing trade with potential to transition into a hold. I like what the company is doing, although they just recently had a disappointing quarter and guided poorly. The thing is, their model is going to be far more resilient during this crisis because they do not operate in the brick and mortar space. I think the shutdowns could benefit them by pushing more customers their way, so I am taking a shot. I also still like their long term prospects and believe in their CEO, who was just recently on Shark Tank.

Current LT Positions:
AAPL, AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, IIPR(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PING(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SMAR, SPCE(.5), TDOC, TEAM, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

Current LT Watchlist:
ABMD, ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BRK/B, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CRSP, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, EXPI, FB, FTCH, FVRR, GH, HCAT, HQY, HUBS, KNSL, LITE, LK, MASI, MNST, NEE, NTNX, OLLI, PANW, PAYC, PYPL, QTWO, ROKU, RVLV, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, V

Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
(.5)= 1/2 Position
(2) = Double Position