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Originally posted by jiesen
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QDEL is a good pick, and you’re right about it being possible for it to spike up. Right now, it’s basing at a near term high, having formed a bit of a bullish flag. The only thing that concerns me are the topping tails, but that’s the market as investors are still selling into rallies. -
PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 9, 2022
Well, another tepid week led to no change in our leader board. BillyJoe’s UTHR continues to maintain a sizable lead with Mr. Market’s TLPPF and Antioch’s GRBK holding down 2nd and 3rd respectively. TLPPF dipped back into the red but is still beating the three main indices. Where do we go from here? Well, I think you can expect light trading through the end of the year, so I’d be surprised to see any big moves in the market, but a pop here and there in an individual stock is not out of the question. Here’s hoping that one of those stocks is somebody’s pick. Stay the course and stand fast, and I’ll see you next week.
PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 9, 2022#ContestantStockL or SStartOpenCurrentPenaltyGain/LossRemembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔1BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $ 280.43
38.92% 2Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $ 4.75
-3.06% 3Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $ 335.37
-4.47% 4Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $ 23.81 20.00% -9.52% 5Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $ 92.30
-10.70% 6S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $ 393.28
-12.59% 7Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $ 5.38
-12.94% 8Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $ 27.05
-15.23% 9Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $ 142.16 20.00% -15.86% 10NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $ 282.04
-22.31% 11Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $ 32.47
-31.00% 12BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $ 29.38
-48.76% 13JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $ 31.65
-51.94% 14Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $ 8.03
-69.40% 15Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $ 4.68
-71.91% 16Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $ 0.26
-88.55% 17Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $ 0.00
-100.00% * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions
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I was trying to find who shorted TSLA in the contest in years past, but couldn't find it. Was it Jiesen? Anyway, they would probably have been the run away winner this year.
----------------billyComment
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Yeah, too bad I didn't have the guts to double down on that pick this year :PComment
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PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 16, 2022
We are in the last leg of the race now, fellow pickers, and the leaderboard remains the same. BillyJoe’s UTHR remains our runaway leader followed by Mr. Market’s TLPPF and Antioch’s GRBK. The good news is that all three leaders are beating the indices, although only UTHR is in the money. All there is to do now is enjoy your eggnog and hold tight. Who knows, maybe Santa will bring a rally before the end of the year. I wouldn’t hold my breath, though. The market has been very naughty.
PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 16, 2022#ContestantStockL or SStartOpenCurrentPenaltyGain/LossRemembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔1BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $ 278.96
38.19% 2Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $ 4.75
-3.06% 3Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $ 25.07 20.00% -4.73% 4Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $ 328.97
-6.30% 5Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $ 27.44
-14.01% 6S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $ 383.27
-14.81% 7Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $ 82.59
-20.09% 8Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $ 134.51 20.00% -20.39% 9Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $ 4.91
-20.55% 10NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $ 274.25
-24.46% 11Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $ 31.41
-33.26% 12BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $ 28.18
-50.85% 13JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $ 27.62
-58.06% 14Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $ 7.93
-69.78% 15Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $ 4.61
-72.33% 16Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $ 0.19
-91.65% 17Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $ 0.00
-100.00% * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions
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ugly Nazzy this year.=============================
I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.
- $$$MR. MARKET$$$Comment
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PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 23, 2022
Here we are heading into our last week with things looking dicey as usual. Our long time leader, BillyJoe’s UTHR, remains atop the leaderboard, in the green and beating all three major indices. Mr. Market’s TLPPF continues to hold down 2nd place, beating all three indices and hovering around the break even mark. In a little bit of a shakeup, Massimo’s IPA jumped into third place after a strong week. Not bad for our leaders given the year the market has had. As for the rest of us … ** sigh **.
Oh well, time to put your market worries behind you, and gear up for the big day. From the bottom of my heart I wish you all a very merry Christmas with family and friends.
PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 23, 2022#ContestantStockL or SStartOpenCurrentPenaltyGain/LossRemembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔1BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $ 278.82
38.12% 2Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $ 4.72
-3.67% 3Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $ 331.93
-5.45% 4Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $ 5.72
-7.44% 5Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $ 24.27 20.00% -7.77% 6Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $ 27.93
-12.47% 7S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $ 382.91
-14.89% 8Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $ 84.70
-18.05% 9Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $ 131.86 20.00% -21.96% 10NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $ 267.36
-26.36% 11Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $ 30.95
-34.23% 12BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $ 24.75
-56.84% 13JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $ 26.75
-59.38% 14Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $ 8.33
-68.25% 15Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $ 4.53
-72.81% 16Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $ 0.16
-92.91% 17Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $ 0.00
-100.00% * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions
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Yes, indeed BillyJoe looks like he will run away with this POTY victory now...Originally posted by BlueWolf View Post
Merry Christmas everybody, and have a great time celebrating with friends and family!Comment
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Hello everyone,
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!Comment
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PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 30, 2022
Weil, here it is: The unofficial (they need to be blessed by John Henry) final standings for the 2022 PotY contest. Congratulations to BillyJoe with a really strong pick, UTHR, in a down market. A 37.76% return during a market in which the Dow was down 5.63%, the S&P was down 15%, and the NASDAQ was down a massive 26.65% is pretty darn good in my book. Congrats also to second and third place finishers Mr. Market with TLPPF and Antioch with GRBK. As for the rest of us, better luck year and the year after that too because this bear market is going to be around for a while, I think. Have a great New Year everyone and thank you for participating in the 2022 PotY contest.
PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 30, 2022#ContestantStockL or SStartOpenCurrentPenaltyGain/LossRemembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔1BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $ 278.09
37.76% 2Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $ 4.72
-3.67% 3Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $ 331.33
-5.63% 4Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $ 24.23 20.00% -7.93% 5Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $ 27.93
-12.47% 6S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $ 382.43
-15.00% 7Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $ 5.21
-15.70% 8Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $ 85.67
-17.11% 9Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $ 129.93 20.00% -23.10% 10NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $ 266.28
-26.65% 11Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $ 31.22
-33.66% 12BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $ 25.47
-55.58% 13JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $ 28.46
-56.79% 14Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $ 8.29
-68.41% 15Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $ 4.32
-74.07% 16Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $ 0.15
-93.50% 17Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $ 0.00
-100.00% * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions
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Happy New Year and Congratulation to BillyJoe with a kick ass gain of 37.76 percent to take first place in the Pick of The Year 2022 Contest in a horrible market. That’s two first place titles in four years (2019 and 2022).Originally posted by BlueWolf View Post
Second place goes to Mr. Market with a minimal lost. Back to back second place titles (2021 and 2022). Top three since 2020.
Third place goes to Antioch. Even with a 20 percent penalty he was able to keep his lost to a single digit.
Happy New Year friends and thank you for taking part in our little 2022 Pick of The Year Contest.
Please show our appreciation and please give a round of applause to BlueWolf for the weekly write-ups for the Pick of The Year Contest for the past three years.
Many thanks BlueWolf.Comment
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2022 PotY Mock Portfolio As of 12/31/22 (~ $2000 positions)
I did a mock portfolio again this year in which I opened $2,000 (approximately) positions in each pick. The portfolio didn’t take into account any penalties, so we ended up with two positions in the green. Needless to say, but I’ll say it anyway, we didn’t fare too well this year. As a group, we ended up losing 35.02% of our mock investment. Just two short years ago, we showed a 68.49% gain. What happened? Oh that’s right, we had a global pandemic, we brought ourselves to the brink of a world war, and the government started printing money like a Monopoly factory to pay for it all. Anyway, here’s the mock portfolio if anyone is interested:
2022 PotY Mock Portfolio As of 12/31/22 (~ $2000 positions)StockOpenSharesShort/LongCostCloseValueGainGain %AAPL $140.81 14 Long $ 1971.34 $ 129.93 $ 1819.02 -$152.32 -7.73% AUPH $16.66 120 Long $ 1999.20 $ 4.32 $ 518.40 -$1480.80 -74.07% DOCN $57.34 35 Long $ 2006.90 $ 25.47 $ 891.45 -$1115.45 -55.58% GBTC $26.24 76 Long $ 1994.24 $ 8.29 $ 630.04 -$1364.20 -68.41% GRBK $21.93 91 Long $ 1995.63 $ 24.23 $ 2204.93 $209.30 10.49% HZO $47.06 42 Long $ 1976.52 $ 31.22 $ 1311.24 -$665.28 -33.66% IPA $6.18 324 Long $ 2002.32 $ 5.21 $ 1688.04 -$314.28 -15.70% OGN $31.91 63 Long $ 2010.33 $ 27.93 $ 1759.59 -$250.74 -12.47% OZON $20.67 97 Long $ 2004.99 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 -$2004.99 -100.00% QDEL $103.36 19 Long $ 1963.84 $ 85.67 $ 1627.73 -$336.11 -17.11% RBLX $65.86 30 Long $ 1975.80 $ 28.46 $ 853.80 -$1122.00 -56.79% SFT $2.29 873 Long $ 1999.17 $ 0.15 $ 129.99 -$1869.18 -93.50% TLPPF $4.90 408 Long $ 1999.20 $ 4.72 $ 1925.76 -$73.44 -3.67% UTHR $201.87 10 Long $ 2018.70 $ 278.09 $ 2780.90 $762.20 37.76% Totals
$ 27,918.18
$ 18,140.89 -$9,777.29 -35.02%
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Congrats Billyjoe for winning the POTY again! UTHR is indeed HUGE!!!
Thanks Bluewolf for all the hard work putting this contest out there for us to enjoy!
And Happy New Year everyone, may 2023 be a much more profitable year than last year was!Comment
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