Rules for Pick of The Year (PoTY) 2022

[BlueWolf]

PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 30, 2022

Ugh. The market based at the low and then proceeded to close the week with yet another big leg down. The really bad news is that there is still downside before the indices hit the bottom of their regression channels, and both the weekly and monthly charts are in areas of little to no technical support. Simply put, there is probably a lot more downside to come. As for the contest. Our stalwart, BillyJoe’s UTHR, continues to be our leader as well as the one and only decently performing stock. It remains our only pick both in the green and beating all three indices. Antioch’s Dad’s APPL and Antioch’s GRBK continue to hold down second and third place. Oh well, stay the course and we’ll see what happens from here.

	PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 30, 2022
#	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Start	Open	Current	Penalty	Gain/Loss
Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
1	BillyJoe	UTHR	Long	2/1/2022	$201.87	$ 209.38		3.72%
2	Dow	DIA	Long	2/1/2022	$351.08	$ 287.30		-18.17%
3	Antioch’s Dad	AAPL	Long	5/25/2022	$140.81	$ 138.20	20.00%	-18.21%
4	Antioch	GRBK	Long	5/25/2022	$21.93	$ 21.38	20.00%	-18.76%
5	S&P	SPY	Long	2/1/2022	$449.91	$ 357.18		-20.61%
6	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	2/1/2022	$363.05	$ 267.26		-26.38%
7	Minni17	OGN	Long	2/1/2022	$31.91	$ 23.40		-26.67%
8	Jiesen	QDEL	Long	2/1/2022	$103.36	$ 71.48		-30.84%
9	Massimo	IPA	Long	2/1/2022	$6.18	$ 3.99		-35.44%
10	Blind Squirrel	HZO	Long	2/1/2022	$47.06	$ 29.79		-36.70%
11	BlueWolf	DOCN	Long	2/1/2022	$57.34	$ 36.17		-36.92%
12	Mr. Market	TLPPF	Long	2/1/2022	$4.90	$ 3.00		-38.78%
13	JohnHenry	RBLX	Long	2/1/2022	$65.86	$ 35.84		-45.58%
14	Louetta	GBTC	Long	2/1/2022	$26.24	$ 12.00		-54.27%
15	Tiedyed1	AUPH	Long	2/1/2022	$16.66	$ 7.52		-54.86%
16	Vixtt’s	SFT	Long	2/1/2022	$2.29	$ 0.70		-69.43%
17	Peanuts	OZON*	Long	2/1/2022	$20.67	$ 0.00		-100.00%

[Phoenix7]

Hopefully Mr Market is in good health, and all goes well for him. His Picks are missed by me and everyone else , Mr M Do take care!

[peanuts]

Ah, poor Peanuts... got roasted!

My only consolation is that I do not own it for real. Otherwise, I'm hugging myself in a rocking chair.

[BlueWolf]

PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Oct 7, 2022

The indices popped up early in the week, hit the top of their regression channels, and then as if on cue, rolled over hard. If they stay true to form, we’re in the middle of another nasty leg down. As for our picks, the leaderboard changed slightly with Antioch’s GRBK leapfrogging over Antioch’s Dad’s AAPL to take over second and push AAPL into third. BillyJoe’s UTHR remained in first and is still our only pick in the green, although the margin of “greenness” is rather precarious at this point. Will this be the year in which we end up with a PotY contest with no picks in the green? Will the bear market continue into next year? Will gasoline prices soon reach $10 a gallon in CA? Will extraterrestrials land on the White House lawn and ask for directions? Stay tuned.

	PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Oct 7, 2022
#	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Start	Open	Current	Penalty	Gain/Loss
Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
1	BillyJoe	UTHR	Long	2/1/2022	$201.87	$ 206.77		2.43%
2	Antioch	GRBK	Long	5/25/2022	$21.93	$ 22.49	20.00%	-14.54%
3	Dow	DIA	Long	2/1/2022	$351.08	$ 292.97		-16.55%
4	Antioch’s Dad	AAPL	Long	5/25/2022	$140.81	$ 140.09	20.00%	-17.09%
5	S&P	SPY	Long	2/1/2022	$449.91	$ 362.79		-19.36%
6	Massimo	IPA	Long	2/1/2022	$6.18	$ 4.72		-23.71%
7	Minni17	OGN	Long	2/1/2022	$31.91	$ 24.01		-24.76%
8	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	2/1/2022	$363.05	$ 269.10		-25.88%
9	Jiesen	QDEL	Long	2/1/2022	$103.36	$ 71.03		-31.28%
10	BlueWolf	DOCN	Long	2/1/2022	$57.34	$ 36.92		-35.61%
11	Mr. Market	TLPPF	Long	2/1/2022	$4.90	$ 3.14		-35.92%
12	Blind Squirrel	HZO	Long	2/1/2022	$47.06	$ 29.21		-37.93%
13	JohnHenry	RBLX	Long	2/1/2022	$65.86	$ 34.82		-47.13%
14	Tiedyed1	AUPH	Long	2/1/2022	$16.66	$ 7.35		-55.88%
15	Louetta	GBTC	Long	2/1/2022	$26.24	$ 11.35		-56.75%
16	Vixtt’s	SFT	Long	2/1/2022	$2.29	$ 0.64		-72.10%
17	Peanuts	OZON*	Long	2/1/2022	$20.67	$ 0.00		-100.00%
* - Delisted because of Russia sanctions

[jiesen]

Gas prices in CA

Gas has hit $7 for regular in San Diego already:

https://ibb.co/hfGKt7S

This is from downtown today.

[BlueWolf]

Gas has hit $7 for regular in San Diego already:

https://ibb.co/hfGKt7S

This is from downtown today.

Yup, it’s 6.99 for premium by me.

[mrmarket]

This market sucks

[billyjoe]

This market sucks

It's a miracle. Now it doesn't suck!

-----------billy

[antioch6]

This market sucks

[billyjoe]

It really does suck.

-----------billy

[BlueWolf]

PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Oct 21, 2022

Whoops, I think I missed last week’s update and didn’t even realize it. Sorry about that. Please forgive me, but at my age I’m lucky if I can remember where I live. Hmmm … I’m not even sure I am typing this in my home. Maybe that’s why the weird stranger next to me on the sofa is staring so intently. OK, back to the PotY contest. Over the last two weeks there, there was a little upward movement in the Dow, but the NASDAQ and S&P stayed in a sideways consolidation after a big dip. The result was a shakeup at the top of the PotY standing. BillyJoe’s UTHR remains our leader and the only pick in the green. In second place is Massimo’s IPA, which had a very strong performance last week. In third is Mr. Market’s TLPPF, which has been on a wild ride and whose chart looks like a sine wave. Congrats to our new leaders.

As for where we go from here, all three indices seems to be breaking out of their regression channels on the daily charts, but on the weekly charts the indices still look bearish. Personally, I am still skeptical about a sustained market move up because of the current economic situation. For example, while I was paying for my $7 per gallon gas and munching out of a $6 bad of Cheetos, I heard someone on radio saying that the annual deficit is going to be in excess of $1.4 trillion this year. That means the fed will be printing more money and lots of bonds will need to be sold. With interest rates rising, the cost of servicing those bonds is going to be a major drain on the federal budget in the future. This will further increase future deficits and on and on it goes. So excuse me for being skeptical, but I don’t think the bear is ready to go into hibernation just yet. We’ll see.

	PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Oct 21, 2022
#	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Start	Open	Current	Penalty	Gain/Loss
Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
1	BillyJoe	UTHR	Long	2/1/2022	$201.87	$ 219.30		8.63%
2	Massimo	IPA	Long	2/1/2022	$6.18	$ 5.63		-8.90%
3	Dow	DIA	Long	2/1/2022	$351.08	$ 310.88		-11.45%
4	Mr. Market	TLPPF	Long	2/1/2022	$4.90	$ 4.30		-12.24%
5	Antioch’s Dad	AAPL	Long	5/25/2022	$140.81	$ 147.27	20.00%	-12.84%
6	S&P	SPY	Long	2/1/2022	$449.91	$ 374.29		-16.81%
7	Antioch	GRBK	Long	5/25/2022	$21.93	$ 20.36	20.00%	-22.63%
8	Jiesen	QDEL	Long	2/1/2022	$103.36	$ 78.75		-23.81%
9	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	2/1/2022	$363.05	$ 275.42		-24.14%
10	Minni17	OGN	Long	2/1/2022	$31.91	$ 23.68		-25.79%
11	JohnHenry	RBLX	Long	2/1/2022	$65.86	$ 42.81		-35.00%
12	BlueWolf	DOCN	Long	2/1/2022	$57.34	$ 36.48		-36.38%
13	Blind Squirrel	HZO	Long	2/1/2022	$47.06	$ 28.13		-40.23%
14	Louetta	GBTC	Long	2/1/2022	$26.24	$ 11.42		-56.48%
15	Tiedyed1	AUPH	Long	2/1/2022	$16.66	$ 7.10		-57.38%
16	Vixtt’s	SFT	Long	2/1/2022	$2.29	$ 0.49		-78.82%
17	Peanuts	OZON*	Long	2/1/2022	$20.67	$ 0.00		-100.00%
* - Delisted because of Russia sanctions

[billyjoe]

I wonder how UTHR is doing, jejeje !

-------------billy

[jiesen]

Looks like you're running away with the victory, Billyjoe! Still, anything can happen in two months...

[billyjoe]

Looks like you're running away with the victory, Billyjoe! Still, anything can happen in two months...

It's payback for my bad years with SHLD.

-----------billy

[jiesen]

True, after that pick you're due a winner!