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  • New-born baby
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2004
    • 6095

    #76
    Stockcharts

    Originally posted by DSteckler
    I'm not familiar with the Chankin Money Flow indicator. Are you referring to the Chaikin Oscillator? Or Chankin Volatility indicator?
    Dave,
    Stockcharts has the CMF on its indicator list. It also sports an explanation of the indicator and how to use it. Check it out . . . .
    pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

    Comment

    • scifos
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2004
      • 790

      #77
      Originally posted by New-born baby
      In summary, a nice screen. GNI, TEO, FTO,UST are my immediate favs, with GNI my favorite of them all. BUT NO option chain. UGH!
      Thanks for posting the scans. Please do it again.

      The thinking is that stocks with high ROI can plow their returns back into the biz and ramp up their growth. The low P/E is a signal that at the moment the biz is cheap for some reason (or no reason, sometimes wallstreet is crazy). And the % price change is just to try and get into stuff that's actually got a pulse.

      I could add a volume criteria as well, and I'm usually skeptical of ADRs cuz they might not have the same transparency as domestic stocks.
      Buy Low
      Sell High
      STAY FROSTY!

      Comment

      • scifos
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2004
        • 790

        #78
        Above list is doing well today, was up an average of .8% yesterday and about the same again so far today:
        Buy Low
        Sell High
        STAY FROSTY!

        Comment

        • scifos
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2004
          • 790

          #79
          Well the 14 i listed (15 minus the odd VTKHY) did pretty well so far.

          Symbol Paid Current % Change
          PNRG 64.9 69.68 7.365
          FDG 37.3 39.15 4.96
          PWEI 26.46 27.75 4.875
          JUPM 17.58 18.41 4.721
          FTO 53.92 56.38 4.562
          BHS 50.8 52.9 4.134
          RNWK 8.22 8.32 1.217
          TEO 13.61 13.73 0.882
          NRT 28.75 28.91 0.557
          GNI 134.36 135 0.476
          AKAM 29.04 28.89 -0.517
          UST 41.2 40.82 -0.922
          HWG 141 136.25 -3.369
          FMD 44.99 43.29 -3.779

          For an average gain of 1.80%.
          Buy Low
          Sell High
          STAY FROSTY!

          Comment

          • scifos
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2004
            • 790

            #80
            Here's the preliminary 15 for the PE/ROI/Pricechange screen described above:

            Buy Low
            Sell High
            STAY FROSTY!

            Comment

            • scifos
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2004
              • 790

              #81
              Originally posted by scifos
              Here's the preliminary 15 for the PE/ROI/Pricechange screen described above:

              http://nickcarda.googlepages.com/
              The list is off to a fast start today, up over 2.27%
              Last edited by scifos; 03-27-2006, 05:01 PM.
              Buy Low
              Sell High
              STAY FROSTY!

              Comment

              • scifos
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2004
                • 790

                #82
                Up again today 1.75%


                Week-to-date the list is up 3.10%
                Last edited by scifos; 03-29-2006, 07:41 PM. Reason: updated
                Buy Low
                Sell High
                STAY FROSTY!

                Comment

                • scifos
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2004
                  • 790

                  #83
                  Is anyone interested in those "Deep Discount" picks? I could post some more screen results if anyone wants. I haven't been tracking any of them since I last posted about them.
                  Buy Low
                  Sell High
                  STAY FROSTY!

                  Comment

                  • scifos
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2004
                    • 790

                    #84
                    Something I've been thinking about today: What if I build a list of stocks that have a high daily (or weekly) average % change. From that list, pick a few, say 2 to 4, that are in a strong uptrend. I'd buy those stocks, and sell after the group hits a predetermined SMALL % gain, like 1.5% or 2%.

                    If I do a good job picking strongly trending stocks with good average % changes, there should be a good chance that sometime during the week I'd be up 1.5%. I'm just pulling numbers out of my head, but if I can bank 1.5% per week 75% of the time, and tightly limit my downside I could make at least 40% a year or more.

                    Thoughts?
                    Buy Low
                    Sell High
                    STAY FROSTY!

                    Comment

                    • skiracer
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2004
                      • 6314

                      #85
                      Originally posted by scifos
                      Something I've been thinking about today: What if I build a list of stocks that have a high daily (or weekly) average % change. From that list, pick a few, say 2 to 4, that are in a strong uptrend. I'd buy those stocks, and sell after the group hits a predetermined SMALL % gain, like 1.5% or 2%.

                      If I do a good job picking strongly trending stocks with good average % changes, there should be a good chance that sometime during the week I'd be up 1.5%. I'm just pulling numbers out of my head, but if I can bank 1.5% per week 75% of the time, and tightly limit my downside I could make at least 40% a year or more.

                      Thoughts?
                      Mathematically that would work but there have been quite a number of posters here who have spoken of doing the same thing. Apparently no one has done it yet for whatever reasons. 40% gain over the year is hard to do no matter how you approach it. The only thing to do is try it out systematically as you've posted for a decent period of time.
                      THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

                      Comment

                      • New-born baby
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 6095

                        #86
                        Originally posted by scifos
                        Something I've been thinking about today: What if I build a list of stocks that have a high daily (or weekly) average % change. From that list, pick a few, say 2 to 4, that are in a strong uptrend. I'd buy those stocks, and sell after the group hits a predetermined SMALL % gain, like 1.5% or 2%.

                        If I do a good job picking strongly trending stocks with good average % changes, there should be a good chance that sometime during the week I'd be up 1.5%. I'm just pulling numbers out of my head, but if I can bank 1.5% per week 75% of the time, and tightly limit my downside I could make at least 40% a year or more.

                        Thoughts?
                        Scifos,
                        I am all for it. Please do it and post it. I'd love it.
                        pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                        Comment

                        • scifos
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2004
                          • 790

                          #87
                          Originally posted by skiracer
                          Mathematically that would work but there have been quite a number of posters here who have spoken of doing the same thing. Apparently no one has done it yet for whatever reasons. 40% gain over the year is hard to do no matter how you approach it. The only thing to do is try it out systematically as you've posted for a decent period of time.
                          A problem with this kind of approach is that I'd really have to pick good stocks and I'll need very very tight stops. If I'm looking for a 3:1 r/r ratio then for a 1.5% reward I'd have to set my stop at 0.5% below the purchase price. Even getting 4 or 5 weeks where the pick dropped 5% would kill the portfolio.

                          I could try setting an initial stop at -2%, raise it to even when I reach 1.5%, raise it to 1.5% when I hit 2%, and then just let it ride for the rest of the week.
                          Buy Low
                          Sell High
                          STAY FROSTY!

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            << If I'm looking for a 3:1 r/r ratio then for a 1.5% reward I'd have to set my stop at 0.5% below the purchase price. >>

                            That's the killer right there. A 1/2 percent stop on a $20 stock is 10 cents. The spread on some stocks can be that much.

                            Comment

                            • scifos
                              Senior Member
                              • Jan 2004
                              • 790

                              #89
                              Yeah, it might be better to just focus on picking stocks that are strongly trending up with a good average % change. Take a look at BEAS for example, over the last 15 days its up days have averaged 1.27%, while its down days have only averaged -0.21%. On top of that, in the last 15 days 80% of the days it goes up. Perhaps with stats like that we don't need stops so tight? Seems like with a stock like BEAS I could hit a small 1.5% or 2% target pretty quick (subject to looking at the chart, i'd nix it if it looks like it's toped for now.)
                              ISRG and NIHD are also ones that look like they could fit this approach.
                              Buy Low
                              Sell High
                              STAY FROSTY!

                              Comment

                              • New-born baby
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 6095

                                #90
                                3 trades only

                                Originally posted by DSteckler
                                That's the killer right there. A 1/2 percent stop on a $20 stock is 10 cents. The spread on some stocks can be that much.
                                Which brings us to this:
                                you have only three types of possible trades to make on these strong trending stocks:
                                1. A retracement play, where the stock pulls back and you attempt to jump on a bargain.
                                2. Or you'll have to wait for a breakout, and join in the fun.
                                3. Or you'll have to wait for a "test" of a known support/resistance line and trade in the direction of the trend.

                                I still want to see those stocks. But then we will just have to carefully pick our entries. You cannot do the MM thing of "FA only and jump in" without being stopped out in a hurry.
                                pivot calculator *current oil price*My stock picking method*Charting Lesson of the Week:BEAR FLAG PATTERN

                                Comment

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