Louetta's Lore

[Tatnic]

Our deer would be crazy to leave the Winthrop's land will all that free food.

that's a good example of "do-gooders" doing harm. You won't find one wildlife biologist anywhere worth their salt that thinks feeding wild animals is helping them. Its harming them.

[IIC]

that's a good example of "do-gooders" doing harm. You won't find one wildlife biologist anywhere worth their salt that thinks feeding wild animals is helping them. Its harming them.

I've been feeding my pet squirrel, Chuck, for 2 years...He seems to be doing OK...IIC

[Tatnic]

The guy is an idiot IMO. He says he won't apologize...I know he was making a jab at Bush...I have no problem with that...But he says that people don't understand his joke...Well, he is an idiot if he thinks the IRAQ War is a joke. I'm a Republican who thinks Bush is handling it poorly...But I hardly think IRAQ is a joke...Maybe we should send Kerry on a ride w/ Kennedy in Chappaquiddick...See if he thinks that's a joke too

NO arguement here Doug. Add kerry to the list of dumocrats like howard dean. I don't think there was enough damage done to affect the elections but the republicans must be estatic to have someone like kerry to deflect attention away from the mess they're in.

[IIC]

NO arguement here Doug. Add kerry to the list of dumocrats like howard dean. I don't think there was enough damage done to affect the elections but the republicans must be estatic to have someone like kerry to deflect attention away from the mess they're in.

Yes...both sides look stupid on this one ...to me anyway.

I would look for the admin to change strategies in IRAQ after the election...I think they wanted to wait to avoid more criticism before the election...Doug

[Websman]

I've been feeding my pet squirrel, Chuck, for 2 years...He seems to be doing OK...IIC

My daughters gerbil, Fizz, bit me last night. I bled all over the place...but I still love the little critter.

[IIC]

My daughters gerbil, Fizz, bit me last night. I bled all over the place...but I still love the little critter.

Chuck is actually wild...but he comes by everyday for peanuts

[Websman]

Chuck is actually wild...but he comes by everyday for peanuts

I had a wild squirrel that would run up on my shoulder for peanuts. I really loved that squirrel, but my ******* neighbor had to shoot him. I haven't liked my neighbor since.

[peanuts]

I had a wild squirrel that would run up on my shoulder for peanuts. I really loved that squirrel, but my ------- neighbor had to shoot him. I haven't liked my neighbor since.

I haven't liked him much either, Webs. Especially after he shot me.

[peanuts]

Chuck is actually wild...but he comes by everyday for peanuts

sort-of like this forum, huh?

[Tatnic]

next-to-the last update

since I started the topic here, this is the latest update on the Swenson model.

I went back 10 years and ran it and it sucked (too colorful?). The annual gain is only 7%, including dividends. I compared this to a simple buy and hold which had a gain of around 10.5% including dividends. The strongest performer of the bunch was the reit, up over 14% annually over that period of ten years...the global equity fund was next with a 12.3% annual gain.

The last thing I'll do is try timing a simple buy and hold to say, the bullish % numbers. I'm guessing that will boost the overall return.

Lastly, I am not sure why my return numbers are so different from the advertised numbers from vanguard's, I assumed that the quotes include re-investing of dividends but that may not be correct. The spliced fund has an advertised rate of return of over 11% over the past 10 years....based on the quotes I used from stock charts that return is just under 8%, so something's screwed up. But for comparison's sake, as long as I use the same quote service the comparison's are valid.

[IIC]

sort-of like this forum, huh?

LOL..................

[Louetta]

Chickened a little. Sold DVY in my trading account to lighten a little to about 33% long and 1/4 of the stuff in my conservative account to take that down to about 75% long.

[IIC]

Louetta...I know you've said that you missed this run since early August...To be honest, I made some on my dt's...But I mostly missed it too...As I look back and reflect...I really don't see why I missed it...Looks so obvious in reflection...But it happens.

Anyway...What is your current take on the markets from now thru year end? I think we are in a pause faze and then we run thru mid January...I personally don't think the election results will have much affect...maybe a day or two???...But I am concerned that Bush will announce a "NEW" strategy in IRAQ after the elections(Actually, I hope he does...But what will be the effect?)...Anyway...Any thoughts???...thx...Doug

[Louetta]

Louetta...I know you've said that you missed this run since early August...To be honest, I made some on my dt's...But I mostly missed it too...As I look back and reflect...I really don't see why I missed it...Looks so obvious in reflection...But it happens.

Anyway...What is your current take on the markets from now thru year end? I think we are in a pause faze and then we run thru mid January...I personally don't think the election results will have much affect...maybe a day or two???...But I am concerned that Bush will announce a "NEW" strategy in IRAQ after the elections(Actually, I hope he does...But what will be the effect?)...Anyway...Any thoughts???...thx...Doug

I'm confused at this point. There are some indications the economy is weaker than people thought and historically the Fed tightens just a little too much and we slip towards recession so maybe this time too. Interest rates have fallen some and so have oil prices so that might help stocks. Seasonally its a good time for a run up. But if oil prices have been artificially lowered to help Republicans in the election they may go sprinting back up later in the year and that might hurt. So I don't know, I'm about 50% invested mostly in conservative vehicles that won't do much more than the S&P. I usually piggyback on Poormans about this time of year but he's been having a rough go, still underwater for the year. I believe his methodology has changed, maybe not consciously. Per Stock Traders Almanac we should watch MACD on the market averages to look for the beginning of the 6-7 month seasonal strong period so I guess I'll do that for a smidge. I took a little off the table earlier this weak.

[IIC]

Louetta...Do you ever go to the Harvard Biz School Library??? I live near UCLA and IBD donates the BIG weekly Datagraphs book to the Biz library( Costs over $100 grand for a sub)...Only 1x a month though...I used to go there all the time...it has double the data at Dailygraphs...But since Dailygraphs went online I don't go so often...But Mr M said you were the "Queen of IBD" when you first joined us...After getting to know you...Internet-wise...I rather doubt that is an appropriate moniker for you...But anyway...Have you ever checked that out???...They are interesting IMO...Best, Doug(IIC)