Stocks for the Long Term

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  • BlueWolf
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2009
    • 1077

    I did a little rebalancing today. I opened a 1/2 position in SIVB @ $182.50 and a full position in PANW @ $196.53. I also closed 1/2 of my positions in AAXN, INSP, and ISRG. Here are my current positions along with my high and moderate interest watchlists for long term (LT) plays:

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN(.5), AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), IIPR(.5), INSP(.5), ISRG(.5), KNSL, LVGO(.5), MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NTNX(.5), NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), RVLV, SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SIVB(.5), SMAR, SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC(2), TEAM, TLRA, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

    Current High Interest Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, DAVA, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, LITE, MASI, MNST, PYPL, ROKU, SQ, V, ZNGA

    Current Moderate Interest Watchlist:
    ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CSGP, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, LYV, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

    Comment

    • BlueWolf
      Senior Member
      • Jun 2009
      • 1077

      TLRA was bought out by RUBI and my shares converted at a rate of 1.08. I looked over RUBI, and while I do have some interest in RUBI, I decided to sell my converted shares today @$6.90 while it was up. I need to do a little more research on RUBI and see how the merger plays out before I decide whether or not I want to add it to my LT positions. Here are my current positions along with my high and moderate interest watchlists for possible long term (LT) additions:

      Current LT Positions:
      AAPL, AAXN(.5), AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), IIPR(.5), INSP(.5), ISRG(.5), KNSL, LVGO(.5), MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NTNX(.5), NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), RVLV, SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SIVB(.5), SMAR, SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC(2), TEAM, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

      Current High Interest Watchlist:
      ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, DAVA, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, LITE, MASI, MNST, PYPL, ROKU, SQ, V, ZNGA

      Current Moderate Interest Watchlist:
      ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CSGP, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, LYV, OLED, OLLI, RUBI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

      Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
      (.5)= 1/2 Position
      (2) = Double Position

      Comment

      • BlueWolf
        Senior Member
        • Jun 2009
        • 1077

        Fickle creature that I am, after reading in depth about RUBI and studying their financials, I decided to reopen a 1/2 position @$6.85. I don’t know why I closed the position without doing this research first, but I saw the position sitting in a nice profit and just decided to book it after the TLRA symbol disappeared as a result of the merger. Fortunately I was able to buy back in $.05 lower than I sold, so I am only out the extra $10 in commissions. Right now, I am looking at my poorer performing positions and may do some more rebalancing. I’ll post if I do.

        Here are my current positions along with my high and moderate interest watchlists for possible long term (LT) additions:

        Current LT Positions:
        AAPL, AAXN(.5), AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), IIPR(.5), INSP(.5), ISRG(.5), KNSL, LVGO(.5), MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NTNX(.5), NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), RUBI(.5), RVLV, SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SIVB(.5), SMAR, SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC(2), TEAM, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WD(.5), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

        Current High Interest Watchlist:
        ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, DAVA, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, LITE, MASI, MNST, PYPL, ROKU, SQ, V, ZNGA

        Current Moderate Interest Watchlist:
        ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CSGP, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, LYV, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

        Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
        (.5)= 1/2 Position
        (2) = Double Position

        Comment

        • BlueWolf
          Senior Member
          • Jun 2009
          • 1077

          Pruned some poor performers today including EEFT, IIPR, and WD. Each of these stocks still holds some interest for me, but for now, I have just moved them to a watchlist and out of my portfolio because of poor performance and an expectation that they won’t perform well over the near-to-mid term.

          Here are my current positions along with my high and moderate interest watchlists for possible long term (LT) additions:

          Current LT Positions:
          AAPL, AAXN(.5), AMT, ANET, APPN(2), AYX(2), CGNX(.5), CRM(.5), CRSP(.5), CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU, EDIT, EPAM(.5), ETSY, FICO(.5), FLGT(.5), FRPT(.5), FSLY, GH, HQY(.5), INSP(.5), ISRG(.5), KNSL, LVGO(.5), MA(.5), MDB, MDLA(.5), MELI(2), MSFT(.5), MTCH, NTNX(.5), NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC(.5), PING(.5), QTWO(.5), RDFN(.5), RGEN(.5), RUBI(.5), RVLV, SDGR(.5), SFIX, SHOP, SIVB(.5), SMAR, SPCE(.5), SPLK(.5), TDOC(2), TEAM, TREX, TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), WORK, ZEN(2), ZM, ZS(.5)

          Current High Interest Watchlist:
          ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BKNG, BRK/B, DAVA, EQIX, ESTC, EVBG, FB, HCAT, HUBS, LITE, MASI, MNST, PYPL, ROKU, SQ, V, ZNGA

          Current Moderate Interest Watchlist:
          ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CSGP, EEFT, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, IIPR, LYV, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, WD, ZG

          Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
          (.5)= 1/2 Position
          (2) = Double Position

          Comment

          • BlueWolf
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2009
            • 1077

            Well, I can’t put my finger on what triggered it. Maybe it was some of the economic news that came out today. The index charts are still technically in uptrend, but something spooked me today. Call it intuition. Whatever the case, I sold off a lot of stock to position myself primarily in cash. I closed the following positions: AAXN, AMT, ANET, APPN, AYX, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, 1/2 DOCU, EDIT, EPAM, ETSY, FICO, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, GH, HQY, INSP, ISRG, LVGO, MA, MDLA, MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PAYC, PING, QTWO, RDFN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI, RVLV, SFIX, SHOP, SIVB, SPCE, SPLK, SWAV, TREX, TTD, TTWO, WIX, WORK, ZM. I moved all of these to my high interest watch list while I re-assess. There are many stocks in this list that I still love, I just felt that I needed to do a reset. Fortunately, I booked a net profit on the sales and my remaining stocks are also in profit. I will post a summary on that shortly as soon as I bring my internal bookkeeping up to date.
            (*Correction: I kept 1/2 position in DOCU*)

            Here are my remaining open positions:
            Current LT Positions:
            AAPL, CRWD(.5), DDOG, DOCU(.5), KNSL, MDB, MELI(2), MSFT(.5), PANW, SDGR(.5), SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM, TWLO, VEEV(2), ZEN(2), ZS(.5)

            And here are my watchlists:
            Current High Interest Watchlist:
            AAXN, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, BKNG, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, DAVA, DOCU, EDIT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, GH, HCAT, HUBS, HQY, INSP, ISRG, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RDFN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI, RVLV, SFIX, SHOP, SIVB, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TREX, TTD, TTWO, V, WIX, WORK, ZM, ZNGA

            Current Moderate Interest Watchlist:
            ABMD, BABA, BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, CSGP, EEFT, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, FVRR, GLOB, IIPR, LYV, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, WD, ZG

            Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
            (.5)= 1/2 Position
            (2) = Double Position
            Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-01-2020, 06:00 PM.

            Comment

            • BlueWolf
              Senior Member
              • Jun 2009
              • 1077

              I just got done updating my spreadsheets, and have the results of my round 3 investments. I didn’t see the big gains I did in round 1, but I am pretty happy with the results, especially after sweating it out through the March swoon. I still have some open positions, but unfortunately, I will not be updating my lists any more after this. It’s a lot of work, and I expect that I will be trading in and out of positions a lot over the next several months. I am anticipating a lot of market volatility as the economic impact of the pandemic starts to manifest itself. We’re gonna see devastating unemployment, negative growth in our GDP, and some pretty awful earnings for a lot of companies. I just don’t think it will be the best time for buy and hold investments. Maybe I will be wrong. I certainly have been wrong before, but for now, I will stop posting updates here while I become a far more active trader. If things stabilize, I might resume posting my LT positions and trades. I hope my previous posts helped by providing some trading and investing ideas.

              Now for the Round 3 results:



              Stock
              Date
              Purchase Price
              Date Closed
              Current or Closing Price
              Position Size
              Effective Gain/Loss


              Closed
              Positions


              AAXN 03/02/2020 $77.80 04/27/2020 $72.78 0.5 -3.23%
              AAXN 03/02/2020 $77.80 05/01/2020 $72.15 0.5 -3.63%
              AMT 03/02/2020 $229.30 05/01/2020 $234.50 1 2.27%
              ANET 02/28/2020 $190.04 05/01/2020 $215.53 1 13.41%
              APPN 03/02/2020 $43.80 05/01/2020 $44.72 1 2.10%
              AYX 02/28/2020 $130.22 05/01/2020 $110.13 1 -15.43%
              CGNX 02/28/2020 $43.11 05/01/2020 $53.50 0.5 12.05%
              CRM 03/02/2020 $170.09 05/01/2020 $159.14 0.5 -3.22%
              CRSP 03/25/2020 $42.66 05/01/2020 $49.39 0.5 7.89%
              DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 05/01/2020 $104.18 0.5 15.93%
              EDIT 02/28/2020 $21.07 05/01/2020 $22.50 1 6.79%
              EEFT 03/02/2020 $124.10 05/01/2020 $87.36 0.5 -14.80%
              EPAM 04/15/2020 $193.40 05/01/2020 $217.54 0.5 6.24%
              ETSY 02/27/2020 $55.54 05/01/2020 $62.93 1 13.31%
              FICO 02/28/2020 $364.02 05/01/2020 $345.67 0.5 -2.52%
              FLGT 03/02/2020 $15.43 05/01/2020 $16.25 0.5 2.66%
              FRPT 03/03/2020 $69.78 05/01/2020 $74.11 0.5 3.10%
              FSLY 02/28/2020 $18.98 05/01/2020 $21.46 1 13.07%
              GH 03/26/2020 $66.81 05/01/2020 $74.56 1 11.60%
              HQY 03/24/2020 $46.50 05/01/2020 $54.40 0.5 8.49%
              IIPR 03/02/2020 $92.28 05/01/2020 $76.40 0.5 -8.60%
              INSP 02/27/2020 $84.66 04/27/2020 $75.75 0.5 -5.26%
              INSP 02/27/2020 $84.66 05/01/2020 $70.53 0.5 -8.35%
              ISRG 03/02/2020 $534.89 05/01/2020 $502.90 0.5 -2.99%
              ISRG 03/02/2020 $534.89 04/27/2020 $518.20 0.5 -1.56%
              LVGO 03/02/2020 $25.45 05/01/2020 $38.99 0.5 26.60%
              LYV 02/28/2020 $57.87 04/17/2020 $40.10 1 -30.71%
              MA 03/02/2020 $290.80 05/01/2020 $270.88 0.5 -3.43%
              MDLA 03/03/2020 $25.33 05/01/2020 $21.15 0.5 -8.25%
              MTCH 03/02/2020 $64.05 05/01/2020 $76.13 1 18.86%
              NTNX 04/15/2020 $16.80 05/01/2020 $19.64 0.5 8.45%
              NVCR 03/02/2020 $71.32 05/01/2020 $62.11 1 -12.91%
              NVDA 02/28/2020 $247.50 05/01/2020 $287.75 1 16.26%
              NVTA 03/02/2020 $19.51 05/01/2020 $16.29 1 -16.50%
              OKTA 03/02/2020 $128.44 05/01/2020 $149.56 1 16.44%
              PAYC 03/26/2020 $210.68 05/01/2020 $252.68 0.5 9.97%
              PING 03/02/2020 $22.97 05/01/2020 $23.87 0.5 1.96%
              QTWO 03/26/2020 $57.96 05/01/2020 $78.43 0.5 17.66%
              RDFN 03/02/2020 $26.92 05/01/2020 $19.98 0.5 -12.89%
              RGEN 03/03/2020 $89.30 05/01/2020 $114.85 0.5 14.31%
              RUBI (TLRA) 03/24/2020 $6.07 04/28/2020 $6.70 0.5 5.19%
              RUBI 04/29/2020 $6.85 05/01/2020 $6.74 0.5 -0.80%
              RVLV 04/20/2020 $11.31 05/01/2020 $10.51 1 -7.07%
              SFIX 03/19/2020 $14.23 05/01/2020 $15.69 1 10.26%
              SHOP 02/28/2020 $439.12 05/01/2020 $623.45 1 41.98%
              SIVB 04/27/2020 $182.50 05/01/2020 $185.34 0.5 0.78%
              SFIX 03/19/2020 $14.23 05/01/2020 $15.68 1 10.19%
              SIVB 04/27/2020 $182.50 05/01/2020 $185.44 0.5 0.81%
              TREX 03/03/2020 $103.90 05/01/2020 $94.56 1 -8.99%
              TTD 02/28/2020 $266.20 05/01/2020 $284.78 1 6.98%

              03/03/2020 $286.35 05/01/2020 $284.78 1 -0.55%
              WD 03/02/2020 $65.30 05/01/2020 $37.39 0.5 -21.37%
              WIX 03/02/2020 $132.56 05/01/2020 $128.44 0.5 -1.55%
              WORK 03/04/2020 $27.10 05/01/2020 $26.35 1 -2.77%
              ZM 02/27/2020 $108.79 05/01/2020 $139.76 1 28.47%


              Open
              Positions


              AAPL 02/28/2020 $263.31
              $283.17 1 7.54%
              CRWD 03/02/2020 $59.49
              $73.60 0.5 11.86%
              DDOG 02/27/2020 $42.97
              $43.23 1 0.61%
              DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01
              $108.25 0.5 18.50%
              KNSL 04/17/2020 $112.16
              $108.90 0.5 -1.45%
              MDB 02/28/2020 $144.92
              $160.37 1 10.66%
              MELI 03/02/2020 $617.21
              $589.47 2 -8.99%
              MSFT 02/28/2020 $156.33
              $174.05 0.5 5.67%
              PANW 04/27/2020 $196.53
              $196.88 1 0.18%
              SDGR 02/28/2020 $43.45
              $49.68 0.5 7.17%
              SMAR 03/02/2020 $46.10
              $53.26 1 15.53%
              TDOC 03/02/2020 $122.76
              $194.89 1 58.76%

              04/09/2020 $141.63
              $194.89 1 37.61%
              TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71
              $151.87 1 5.68%
              TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36
              $109.42 1 0.05%
              VEEV 03/02/2020 $140.34
              $185.59 1 32.24%

              03/03/2020 $143.07
              $185.59 1 29.72%
              ZEN 03/02/2020 $77.44
              $73.74 1 -4.78%

              03/03/2020 $71.58
              $73.74 1 3.02%
              ZS 02/28/2020 $49.76
              $70.47 0.5 20.81%
              Closed Position Totals Gain/Loss 156.67% Num Positions 39.0 Avg Gain/Loss 4.02%
              Open Position Totals Gain/Loss 250.38% Num Positions 18.0 Avg Gain/Loss 13.91%
              Grand Totals Gain/Loss 407.06% Num Positions 57.0 Avg Gain/Loss 7.14%
              S&P 02/26/2020 $3,062.54 Closing $2,830.71 S&P Gain/Loss -7.57%

              Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-02-2020, 11:55 AM. Reason: Fixed errors in table

              Comment

              • Louetta
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2003
                • 2331

                I see your note about no longer updating. I've enjoyed reading them.

                Comment

                • BlueWolf
                  Senior Member
                  • Jun 2009
                  • 1077

                  Well, the market has headed back up and I’ve re-opened a number of positions although I’m still 60% in cash. I still anticipate trading in and out a lot, so it’s not worth it listing every trade like I had been doing because I would just be spamming the feed. What I can do is periodically post my portfolio, if anyone is interested in following it.

                  Comment

                  • BlueWolf
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2009
                    • 1077

                    Well, I have been trading quite a bit since my reset, and while it’s just too much work to post every trade in real-time like I was doing before, I decided that what I can do I with less effort is periodically post my holdings and watch lists.

                    Let’s start with my current holdings:
                    Stock
                    Date
                    Purchase Price
                    Position Size
                    Stock
                    Date
                    Purchase Price
                    Position Size
                    AAPL 02/28/2020 $263.31 1 NVCR 05/05/2020 $62.44 0.5
                    ABMD 05/07/2020 $188.73 0.5 NVTA 05/08/2020 $16.25 1
                    ANET 05/07/2020 $212.30 1 PANW 04/27/2020 $196.53 1
                    APPN 05/04/2020 $42.12 2 PING 05/11/2020 $25.47 0.5
                    AYX 05/05/2020 $112.85 1 RDFN 05/05/2020 $20.27 1
                    CRSP 05/05/2020 $51.23 1 RUBI 05/08/2020 $6.12 0.5
                    CRWD 03/02/2020 $59.49 0.5 RVLV 05/11/2020 $13.36 0.5
                    DDOG 02/27/2020 $42.97 1 SDGR 02/28/2020 $43.45 0.5
                    DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5 SFIX 05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5

                    05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5 SMAR 03/02/2020 $46.10 1
                    EDIT 05/05/2020 $25.31 1 SPCE 05/07/2020 $19.09 0.5
                    EEFT 05/08/2020 $90.64 0.5 TDOC 03/02/2020 $122.76 1
                    FLGT 05/07/2020 $15.12 1
                    04/09/2020 $141.63 1
                    FSLY 05/05/2020 $22.27 0.5 TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2
                    GH 05/07/2020 $82.25 0.5 TTD 05/04/2020 $274.50 2
                    HCAT 05/11/2020 $28.35 0.5 TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1
                    HQY 05/11/2020 $56.83 0.5 VEEV 03/02/2020 $140.34 1
                    KNSL 04/17/2020 $112.16 0.5
                    03/03/2020 $143.07 1
                    LVGO 05/05/2020 $39.95 0.5 WD 05/07/2020 $39.25 0.5
                    MA 05/07/2020 $278.44 0.5 WORK 05/07/2020 $28.19 1
                    MDB 02/28/2020 $144.92 1 ZEN 03/02/2020 $77.44 1
                    MDLA 05/07/2020 $22.03 0.5
                    03/03/2020 $71.58 1

                    05/11/2020 $23.60 0.5 ZM 05/04/2020 $141.20 2
                    MELI 03/02/2020 $617.21 2 ZS 02/28/2020 $49.76 0.5
                    MSFT 02/28/2020 $156.33 0.5



                    NTNX 05/07/2020 $21.27 0.5




                    05/11/2020 $22.08 0.5




                    Italics
                    = New Stock or Altered Position

                    .5= 1/2 Position
                    1 = Full Position
                    2 = Double Position

                    As you can I see, I added back a number of positions that I had previously held to compliment those that I held through the reset. I am currently sitting on about 30% cash. There are several positions (ETSY, NVDA, OKTA, SHOP) that I wish I hadn’t sold. They are among my favorite stocks to own and they are now too extended to the upside to buy back. I’ll have to wait for better chart patterns to buy back in or my next reset should the market correct. As far as performance tracking, since I held a number of positions open during this last reset, I still consider this to be Round 3. I will continue to occasionally post Round 3 portfolio performance.

                    Here are my current watchlists:
                    High Interest Watchlist:
                    AAXN ADBE, AMT, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CSGP, DAVA, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FVRR, GLOB, HUBS, ICPT, INSP, ISRG, LITE, MASI, MTCH, NÉE, NVDA, OKTA, PAYC, PYPL, QWTO, RGEN, ROKU, SHOP, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TREX, TTWO, V, WIX, ZNGA

                    Moderate Interest Watchlist:
                    BFYT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUM, COUP, CRNC, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

                    Bold
                    = New Stock

                    I will try and update this at least once every 1-2 weeks provided there is still some interest. I just don’t want to spam the thread or make too much work for myself by posting my trades in real-time during a really busy trading time like this.

                    Comment

                    • Louetta
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2003
                      • 2331

                      You are not spamming the thread, methinks. I can, however, see where it might be a lot of work providing all this info.

                      Comment

                      • BlueWolf
                        Senior Member
                        • Jun 2009
                        • 1077

                        Thanks, Louetta. It’s actually easier to provide the information in the tabular form since I naturally keep it that way.

                        Comment

                        • Louetta
                          Senior Member
                          • Oct 2003
                          • 2331

                          I realize not everyone is enamoured of Jim Cramer but his top ten performers on his COVID-19 index are Peloton, Moderna, Livongo, Everbridge, Coupa Software, Dexrom, Cloudface, Square, Masimo, Beyond Meat.

                          Comment

                          • BlueWolf
                            Senior Member
                            • Jun 2009
                            • 1077

                            Originally posted by Louetta View Post
                            I realize not everyone is enamoured of Jim Cramer but his top ten performers on his COVID-19 index are Peloton, Moderna, Livongo, Everbridge, Coupa Software, Dexrom, Cloudface, Square, Masimo, Beyond Meat.
                            Some interesting stocks on that list. I’ve seen other touts of Peleton (PTON), but I remain skeptical. Moderna (MRNA) is an interesting pick, but the ideal time to get in that one would have been while it was in that base between $45 and $50. You’re also betting on the fact that they will actually produce a COVID-19 vaccine. Assuming they do, it won’t really affect the bottom line for quite some time. I really like Livongo (LVGO) and I wish I was sitting on a full position right now instead of half. I re-bought around $40, and it’s jinked up quite a bit from that. If not for that, I would go ahead and add another 1/2 position. I still might. Coupa (COUP) is a good solid pick, and I probably should add that to one of my watch lists. Everbridge (EVBG) has been on my watch lists (and still is) for a long time, but I have never pulled the trigger. Square (SQ) is a solid pick as is Masimo (MASI). Both of those have been on my watch lists for a while. Beyond Meat (BYND) is intriguing, and could be a homerun stock, but there is big risk there as they have a couple of major competitors jockeying with them for the dominant position in the world of meatlessness. By Dexrom, I assume you meant Dexcom (DXCM). They are another solid pick operating in the diabetes medical space in which a few other stocks I watch compete. I also assume you meant Cloudfare (NET) when you wrote Cloudface. That is one was that was off my radar, but that is very interesting to me now that you mentioned it. I’m going to look into it more. Thanks for posting this.
                            Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-11-2020, 10:43 PM.

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                            • Louetta
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2003
                              • 2331

                              Sorry about the typos.

                              I have a bad attitude about SQ. It was my pick in last year's stock picking contest and did nothing in all of 2019. Of course this is this year and the world has changed.

                              As a confirmed gym rat I have never had confidence in PTON. I do not spin but I can't get it out of my head that a big part of the spinning experience is going to the gym, setting up your favorite bike, talking to other spinners and screaming thru the workout. Of course the world has changed and it's an ideal way to avoid germ filled gyms and has done very well.

                              Speaking of germ-filled gyms, look at the chart of CLUB, Town Sports International which owns the gym I go to (when I could). They are facing bankruptcy in November and the chart is breath taking. Planet Fitness (PLNT) is at least hanging in.

                              I have relatives who are now taking their yoga classes on Zoom, good for ZM and, I suppose, any company that offers home exercise classes. I do not know how to invest (except via ZM) but this is very attractive for many who fear the gym germs (when you lift all you do is go about touching stuff other people have just touched), who have mobility issues, don't want to go out in winter or who are embarrassed to go to the facility (why they have women's only rooms). Got to be a way to make money off this.

                              Running outside is still relatively germ free and popular. I just bought a Garmin watch (GRMN), the cheapest ($100) they sell, and a pair of Brooks shoes ($125). Brooks is owned by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A or B) which is a good company though running shoes are not their primary focus. But they do support Desi Linden who won Boston in 2018 so they must be good shoes.

                              Also, I do not think the recovery will be a V or W or L or Q but rather a swoosh, best exampled by the Nike (NKE) emblem. NKE is another stock Cramer is touting. This is a serious suggestion. Even after people go back to work they will have to use their money to pay bills, not to go out and shop. Could be a long haul.
                              Last edited by Louetta; 05-12-2020, 08:58 AM.

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                              • BlueWolf
                                Senior Member
                                • Jun 2009
                                • 1077

                                Originally posted by Louetta View Post
                                I have a bad attitude about SQ. It was my pick in last year's stock picking contest and did nothing in all of 2019. Of course this is this year and the world has changed.
                                Yeah, I held SQ for a while last year and it disappointed me too. Still, I look at their business and the market they are serving and I am convinced there is still a lot of upside there. It’ll stay on my watchlists for now.

                                Originally posted by Louetta View Post
                                Speaking of germ-filled gyms, look at the chart of CLUB, Town Sports International which owns the gym I go to (when I could). They are facing bankruptcy in November and the chart is breath taking. Planet Fitness (PLNT) is at least hanging in.
                                OMG, CLUB. I would say that they took the COVID-19 lockdown hard, but I think that was just the final straw. They started tanking in 2018 and never stopped. Something is wrong with management at that company.

                                Overall, I feel like the health and fitness industry is on the verge of some major changes due to technology. New technologies like Mirror are going to send out shockwaves. I think one thing that Peloton has right is their effort to virtually socialize fitness training with their online live courses. You are spot on when you point out that use of home equipment takes away the social experience of going to the gym. I think the equipment makers can address this a little with the right technology. They need to build Zoom like capabilities into their equipment. One thing I think home equipment manufacturers are missing, however, is the personalization angle. I think everybody would love a personal trainer. The Mirror starts to bring that into the equation, but that’s a direction I think can really grow the industry. Imagine having a AI-based personal trainer or physical therapist built right into your equipment.

                                And yes, we’re in it for the long haul now. There is going to be a shock factor when the economic numbers start coming out, although I was surprised that the market rallied last week after some pretty dismal unemployment numbers were released. I believe that it’s inevitable that we are heading into a recession soon. All we can do is hold on and watch our investments closely. I don’t want to get caught in another round of panic selling, so I will start closing positions to lock in profits as soon as I see signs of trouble.
                                Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-12-2020, 09:50 PM.

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