Stocks for the Long Term

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  • Louetta
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2003
    • 2331

    Cramer's entire COVID-19 list. He's not saying to buy at this level but if there is a pull-back and one wants to put some money to work these would be good ideas.


    Beverages: PepsiCo Boston Beer

    Cloud software: Salesforce.com Adobe Zoom Video RingCentral Slack
    CrowdStrike Okta Zscaler Cloudflare Coupa Software DocuSign
    Everbridge Veeva Systems

    Consumer packaged goods: Clorox Colgate-Palmolive Kimberly-Clark Procter & Gamble

    E-commerce: Chewy EBay Shopify Prologis

    Financials: MarketAxess Tradeweb Square PayPal

    Video games: Activision Blizzard Electronic Arts Take-Two Interactive

    Home entertainment: Netflix Roku Snap Spotify Akamai Technologies The Trade Desk

    Health care: Abbott Laboratories AbbVie Centene UnitedHealth Group
    Gilead Sciences Regeneron Sanofi Danaher Masimo Thermo Fisher
    Eli Lilly Baxter Becton Dickinson DexCom GlaxoSmithKline
    Johnson & Johnson Perrigo Pfizer ResMed Zoetis

    Mega-cap technology: Alphabet Amazon Apple Microsoft

    Samll-cap tech: Citrix Systems Logitech

    Packaged food: Campbell Soup Conagra General Mills Hormel J M Smucker Kellogg
    McCormick Mondelez

    REITs: American Tower Crown Castle CoreSite Realty Digital Realty Equinix

    Restaurant survivors: Chipotle Domino’s Pizza Wingstop

    Retail survivors: Costco Walmart Dollar General Home Depot

    Semiconductors: Advanced Micro Devices Nvidia Marvell Technology

    Safety stocks: Dominion Energy NextEra Energy Verizon

    ‘Exotics’: BioNTech Inovio Moderna Livongo Teladoc Health Barrick Gold Beyond Meat
    Freshpet Inseego Owens & Minor Peloton

    Comment

    • BlueWolf
      Senior Member
      • Jun 2009
      • 1077

      Doing some repositioning and purging today.

      Comment

      • Louetta
        Senior Member
        • Oct 2003
        • 2331

        I have more cash now than I have had in many moons. Can't get it out of my head that the 2nd quarter will be an earnings disaster (but of course not for everybody, e.g. ZM, PTON, etc.) and the reopening will be long and difficult. Some studies see unemployment still up at 11% at Christmas and 7% at Christmas in 2021.

        Comment

        • BlueWolf
          Senior Member
          • Jun 2009
          • 1077

          Originally posted by Louetta View Post
          I have more cash now than I have had in many moons. Can't get it out of my head that the 2nd quarter will be an earnings disaster (but of course not for everybody, e.g. ZM, PTON, etc.) and the reopening will be long and difficult. Some studies see unemployment still up at 11% at Christmas and 7% at Christmas in 2021.
          I’m with you, Louetta. I did some more selling today and now I am about 71% cash. I’m not sure exactly when it will start happening, but it sure seems like, sooner or later, the market is going to experience a second way of COVID-19 selling. If it were a movie, it would be a sequel titled “COVID-19: The Aftermath.” Maybe I’m wrong about this. Maybe, by some miracle, the market will shrug off the bad economic numbers and earnings that are about to hit because it’s already priced in. I kind of doubt that, but if that’s true, I will simply have to start re-building my long term positions. If it’s not true, and another big correction is coming, I am going to try and keep my powder dry for the big buying opportunities that will manifest themselves. I’ll keep doing my day trading (I haven’t been day trading all that much), but for the time being, instead of buy and hold investing I will be doing a lot of short term swing trading. This stuff is down right nerve-racking.

          Comment

          • billyjoe
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2003
            • 9014

            I used to hold 25 different stocks. Down to 5 now , 4 good dividend payers and MA that pays a small div. I've owned these off and on for many years and track their charts closely. The other 4 are CIVB, FAX, HQL, and OKE. I've set low ball entry points at which I add partial positions, when they rise I don't trade just waiting for another dip. My average cost per stockj remains rather low and I'm only looking at small losses even with a correction. Until this COVID crises settles I'm being very conservative and also mostly in cash.

            -----------------billy

            Comment

            • Louetta
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2003
              • 2331

              Cramer's Survival Of the Fittest list, presumably for customer facing businesses:

              Costco Walmart Target Amazon McDonalds Wendy's Wingstop Chipotle Starbucks Dominos Burger King

              Comment

              • BlueWolf
                Senior Member
                • Jun 2009
                • 1077

                Up to 80% cash now. I’ll post my holdings and watchlist after the close.

                Comment

                • BlueWolf
                  Senior Member
                  • Jun 2009
                  • 1077

                  Here’s an update on my current holdings, which are pretty thin, and my watchlists. I’ve been trading in and out a lot lately, mostly out this last week, and will probably continue to do so for a while. At this point I’m really not sure what to make of the market, but there will be more on that in my weekly market sentiment post. Regarding this update, I have included the individual gain/loss for each open position and a gain/loss summary for all of my closed positions. The reason I didn’t list each closed trade individually is simple because I have so many of them. If anyone is interested, however, I will be happy to post the detailed list of closed trades. Just ask. I am continuing to treat this as round three since I still have a few continuously open positions. One last note: I have found a few typos in my spreadsheet since my last post, which I have corrected.



                  Round 3
                  Stock
                  Date
                  Purchase Price
                  Position Size
                  Date Closed
                  Current or Closing Price
                  Effective Gain/Loss
                  Closed Position Totals Gain/Loss 660.45% Num Positions 73.0 Avg Gain/Loss 9.05%

                  Open Positions

                  DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5
                  $125.88 29.66%

                  05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5
                  $125.88 10.72%
                  MDLA 05/15/2020 $23.34 1
                  $24.67 5.70%
                  SFIX 05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5
                  $21.41 14.06%

                  05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5
                  $21.41 5.27%
                  TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2
                  $186.50 59.55%
                  TTD 05/04/2020 $274.50 2
                  $300.01 18.59%
                  TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1
                  $189.22 73.02%
                  WORK 05/07/2020 $28.19 1
                  $31.33 11.14%
                  ZM 05/04/2020 $141.20 2
                  $174.83 47.63%
                  Open Position Totals Gain/Loss 275.35% Num Positions 11.0 Avg Gain/Loss 25.03%
                  Grand Totals Gain/Loss 935.80% Num Positions 84.0 Overall Avg Gain/Loss 11.14%
                  S&P 02/26/2020 $3,062.54 S&P Current $2,863.70 S&P Gain/Loss -6.49%



                  High Interest Watch List:
                  AAPL, AAXN, ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, CRWD, CSGP, DDOG, EDIT, EEFT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, FVRR, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, HUB, ICPT, INSP, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDB, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NÉE, NET, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RDFN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI,RVLV, SDGR, SHOP, SIVB, SMAR, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, TREX, TTWO, V, VEEV, WD, WIX, ZEN, ZNGA, ZS, ZUO

                  Some Interest Watchlist:

                  BYFT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, DAVA, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, NOW, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG
                  Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-16-2020, 11:00 AM.

                  Comment

                  • BlueWolf
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2009
                    • 1077

                    Here’s a summary of my current positions along with my watchlists. NOTE: I can no longer ignore Paco’s REGN pick, and I have therefore added it to my watchlists. Granted, it has already booked substantial gains, but if the company does indeed end up being first to market with a COVID-19 vaccine, there will be a lot more upside. In any event, it’s worth watching, especially if there is a correction and there appears to be a good entry. I also added MRNA for similar reasons. I took a look at SRNE too, but after reading Hindenburg Research’s scathing analysis, I decided to steer clear of that one.

                    Round 3


                    Closed Positions


                    Closed Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 660.45% Num Positions 73.0 Gain/Loss % Per Position 9.05%


                    Open Positions


                    Stock
                    Date
                    Purchase Price
                    Position Size
                    Date Closed
                    Current or Closing Price
                    Effective Gain/Loss
                    ABMD 05/22/2020 $197.36 1
                    $206.16 4.46%
                    DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5
                    $133.00 34.17%

                    05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5
                    $133.00 14.16%
                    EDIT 05/20/2020 $27.84 1
                    $30.10 8.12%
                    HQY 05/20/2020 $56.83 1
                    $56.79 -0.07%
                    MDLA 05/15/2020 $23.34 1
                    $26.79 14.78%
                    NTNX 05/18/2020 $21.35 1
                    $24.61 15.27%
                    NVTA 05/20/2020 $16.29 1
                    $17.51 7.49%
                    SFIX 05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5
                    $23.51 20.35%

                    05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5
                    $23.51 10.69%
                    SPCE 05/22/2020 $14.68 0.5
                    $15.74 3.61%
                    TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2
                    $182.60 54.12%
                    TTD 05/04/2020 $274.50 2
                    $307.60 24.12%
                    TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1
                    $208.62 90.76%
                    WD 05/20/2020 $39.54 0.5
                    $39.06 -0.61%
                    WORK 05/07/2020 $28.19 1
                    $31.71 12.49%
                    ZEN 05/22/2020 $80.12 1
                    $81.93 2.26%
                    ZM 05/04/2020 $141.20 2
                    $171.06 42.29%
                    ZUO 05/20/2020 $11.17 0.5
                    $12.06 3.98%
                    Open Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 362.44% Num Positions 18.5 Gain/Loss % Per Position 19.59%
                    Grand Totals Total Gain/Loss 1022.89% Num Positions 91.5 Gain/Loss % Per Position 11.18%

                    S&P Open (2/26/2020) $3,062.54 S&P Current $2,955.45 S&P Gain/Loss % -3.50%
                    High Interest Watchlist: AAPL, AAXN, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, CRWD, CSGP, DDOG, EEFT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, FVRR, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HUB, ICPT, INSP, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDB, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, NÉE, NET, NVCR, NVDA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QDEL, QTWO, RDFN, REGN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI, RVLV, SDGR, SHOP, SIVB, SMAR, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, TREX, TTWO, V, VEEV, WIX, ZEN, ZNGA, ZS

                    Some Interest Watchlist: BYFT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, DAVA, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NOW, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG
                    Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-23-2020, 11:37 AM.

                    Comment

                    • BlueWolf
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2009
                      • 1077

                      Went flat today, except for some day/swing trades. This ends round 3. I will post details on Friday.

                      Comment

                      • BlueWolf
                        Senior Member
                        • Jun 2009
                        • 1077

                        Round 3 Long Term Trading Results (Part 1)

                        I’m a day late, but here are the final results from Round 3 of my long term trades. I debated whether or not I should list all my trades because there were so many of them. In the end, I decided to go ahead in the event there might be some interest. Please Therefore forgive the long post(s). (PS. I had to break up the post into two parts)

                        Overall, Round 3 was a rough round, so I was more than happy to come out with the kind of gains I did. I made a terribLe blunder when I closed Round 2 just before the COVID-19 crash and then opened Round 3 too soon. Still, I’ll take the win. I know I went flat while the market is still up-trending, but I just had an uneasy feeling about things. For now I am going to short term trade while I see how things develop.

                        In case you’re wondering, here’s some insight into how I trade. Regarding short term trades, I break them down into two types: day trades and swing trades. A day trade is a round trip trade made within a single day. For a swing trade, I will typically hold the position anywhere from two to four days. I occasionally hold swing trades longer, and sometimes, if the trade is going well and I like the company prospects, I will roll a swing trade into a long term trade. This requires that I pare down the size of the position because when I short term trade, I trade much larger positions, sometimes 10x the size of a single long term position.

                        As for Round 4, I will open it when the opportunity for making some good entries presents itself. I am certainly expecting (hoping for?) some sort of correction that will create just such a buying opportunity, but the market has shown some surprising resilience. I just have to go with the flow. If the market strength continues, it just means there will be a lot of
                        long-side short term trading opportunities.

                        A final note: I know tracking performance by average gain per position is not ideal. I’m trying to come up with something more realistic to institute in Round 4. The real measure of gain is how much you grow your principal. Since you don’t always have all your principle invested at any one time, average gain per position doesn’t necessarily reflect how good or bad you’re actually doing over time. I was therefore thinking that next round I would use a fixed amount, C, to represent starting principal or capital and a fixed fraction, C/N, where N is the maximum number of positions, to represent a single position size. This way I can compute the actual gains on each trade and then add these gains up to produce an accurate measure of total gain against starting capital. I can use an arbitrary number for C or I can try and do the math relativistically. What can I say, I have time on my hands.

                        OK, without further ado, here are the Round 3 results.


                        Round 3
                        Stock
                        Date
                        Purchase Price
                        Position Size
                        Date Closed
                        Current or Closing Price
                        Effective Gain/Loss


                        Closed Positions


                        AAPL 02/28/2020 $263.31 1 05/14/2020 $306.27 16.32%
                        AAXN 03/02/2020 $77.80 0.5 04/27/2020 $72.78 -3.23%

                        03/02/2020 $77.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $72.15 -3.63%
                        ABMD 05/07/2020 $188.73 0.5 05/13/2020 $191.26 0.67%

                        05/22/2020 $197.36 1 05/27/2020 $209.43 6.12%
                        AMT 03/02/2020 $229.30 1 05/01/2020 $234.50 2.27%
                        ANET 02/28/2020 $190.04 1 05/01/2020 $215.53 13.41%

                        05/07/2020 $212.30 1 05/13/2020 $219.76 3.51%
                        APPN 03/02/2020 $43.80 1 05/01/2020 $44.72 2.10%

                        05/04/2020 $42.12 2 05/13/2020 $48.14 28.58%
                        AYX 02/28/2020 $130.22 1 05/01/2020 $110.13 -15.43%

                        05/05/2020 $112.85 1 05/13/2020 $126.44 12.04%
                        CGNX 02/28/2020 $43.11 0.5 05/01/2020 $53.50 12.05%
                        CRM 03/02/2020 $170.09 0.5 05/01/2020 $159.14 -3.22%
                        CRSP 03/25/2020 $42.66 0.5 05/01/2020 $49.39 7.89%

                        05/05/2020 $51.23 1 05/13/2020 $59.33 15.81%
                        CRWD 03/02/2020 $59.49 0.5 05/14/2020 $76.25 14.09%
                        DDOG 02/27/2020 $42.97 1 05/14/2020 $65.79 53.11%
                        DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5 05/01/2020 $104.18 15.93%

                        02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5 05/27/2020 $126.25 29.89%

                        05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5 05/27/2020 $126.25 10.90%
                        EDIT 02/28/2020 $21.07 1 05/01/2020 $22.50 6.79%

                        05/05/2020 $25.31 1 05/13/2020 $25.71 1.58%

                        05/20/2020 $27.84 1 05/27/2020 $27.92 0.29%
                        EEFT 03/02/2020 $124.10 0.5 05/01/2020 $87.36 -14.80%

                        05/08/2020 $90.64 0.5 05/13/2020 $83.67 -3.84%
                        EPAM 04/15/2020 $193.40 0.5 05/01/2020 $217.54 6.24%
                        ETSY 02/27/2020 $55.54 1 05/01/2020 $62.93 13.31%
                        FICO 02/28/2020 $364.02 0.5 05/01/2020 $345.67 -2.52%
                        FLGT 03/02/2020 $15.43 0.5 05/01/2020 $16.25 2.66%

                        05/07/2020 $15.12 1 05/13/2020 $15.67 3.64%
                        FRPT 03/03/2020 $69.78 0.5 05/01/2020 $74.11 3.10%
                        FSLY 02/28/2020 $18.98 1 05/01/2020 $21.46 13.07%

                        05/05/2020 $22.27 0.5 05/13/2020 $36.33 31.57%
                        GH 03/26/2020 $66.81 1 05/01/2020 $74.56 11.60%

                        05/07/2020 $82.25 0.5 05/13/2020 $96.12 8.43%
                        HCAT 05/11/2020 $28.35 0.5 05/13/2020 $27.44 -1.60%
                        HQY 03/24/2020 $46.50 0.5 05/01/2020 $54.40 8.49%

                        05/11/2020 $56.83 0.5 05/13/2020 $50.76 -5.34%

                        05/20/2020 $56.83 1 05/27/2020 $62.11 9.29%
                        ICPT 05/12/2020 $89.15 0.5 05/13/2020 $88.10 -0.59%
                        IIPR 03/02/2020 $92.28 0.5 05/01/2020 $76.40 -8.60%
                        INSP 02/27/2020 $84.66 0.5 04/27/2020 $75.75 -5.26%

                        02/27/2020 $84.66 0.5 05/01/2020 $70.53 -8.35%

                        05/12/2020 $68.70 0.5 05/13/2020 $67.47 -0.90%
                        ISRG 03/02/2020 $534.89 0.5 05/01/2020 $502.90 -2.99%

                        03/02/2020 $534.89 0.5 04/27/2020 $518.20 -1.56%
                        KNSL 04/17/2020 $112.16 0.5 05/13/2020 $130.44 8.15%
                        LVGO 03/02/2020 $25.45 0.5 05/01/2020 $38.99 26.60%

                        05/05/2020 $39.95 0.5 05/13/2020 $59.68 24.69%
                        LYV 02/28/2020 $57.87 1 04/17/2020 $40.10 -30.71%

                        Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-31-2020, 07:43 PM.

                        Comment

                        • BlueWolf
                          Senior Member
                          • Jun 2009
                          • 1077

                          Default Round 3 Long Term Trading Results (Part 2)



                          Round 3
                          Stock
                          Date
                          Purchase Price
                          Position Size
                          Date Closed
                          Current or Closing Price
                          Effective Gain/Loss


                          Closed Positions (Cont’d)


                          MA 03/02/2020 $290.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $270.88 -3.43%

                          05/07/2020 $278.44 0.5 05/13/2020 $264.32 -2.54%
                          MDB 02/28/2020 $144.92 1 05/14/2020 $193.47 33.50%
                          MDLA 03/03/2020 $25.33 0.5 05/01/2020 $21.15 -8.25%

                          05/07/2020 $22.03 0.5 05/14/2020 $23.21 2.68%

                          05/11/2020 $23.60 0.5 05/14/2020 $23.21 -0.83%

                          05/15/2020 $23.34 1 05/27/2020 $27.09 16.07%
                          MELI 03/02/2020 $617.21 2 05/14/2020 $760.95 46.58%
                          MSFT 02/28/2020 $156.33 0.5 05/13/2020 $182.16 8.26%
                          MTCH 03/02/2020 $64.05 1 05/01/2020 $76.13 18.86%
                          NTNX 04/15/2020 $16.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $19.64 8.45%

                          05/07/2020 $21.27 0.5 05/13/2020 $20.57 -1.65%

                          05/11/2020 $22.08 0.5 05/13/2020 $20.57 -3.42%

                          05/18/2020 $21.35 1 05/27/2020 $24.34 14.00%
                          NVCR 03/02/2020 $71.32 1 05/01/2020 $62.11 -12.91%

                          05/05/2020 $62.44 0.5 05/13/2020 $61.48 -0.77%
                          NVDA 02/28/2020 $247.50 1 05/01/2020 $287.75 16.26%
                          NVTA 03/02/2020 $19.51 1 05/01/2020 $16.29 -16.50%

                          05/08/2020 $16.25 1 05/14/2020 $15.72 -3.26%

                          05/20/2020 $16.29 1 05/27/2020 $16.65 2.21%
                          OKTA 03/02/2020 $128.44 1 05/01/2020 $149.56 16.44%
                          PANW 04/27/2020 $196.53 1 05/13/2020 $219.39 11.63%
                          PAYC 03/26/2020 $210.68 0.5 05/01/2020 $252.68 9.97%
                          PING 03/02/2020 $22.97 0.5 05/01/2020 $23.87 1.96%

                          05/11/2020 $25.47 0.5 05/13/2020 $25.62 0.29%
                          QTWO 03/26/2020 $57.96 0.5 05/01/2020 $78.43 17.66%
                          RDFN 03/02/2020 $26.92 0.5 05/01/2020 $19.98 -12.89%

                          05/05/2020 $20.27 1 05/13/2020 $23.64 16.63%
                          RGEN 03/03/2020 $89.30 0.5 05/01/2020 $114.85 14.31%
                          ROKU 05/12/2020 $131.48 0.5 05/13/2020 $127.50 -1.51%
                          RUBI (TLRA) 03/24/2020 $6.07 0.5 04/28/2020 $6.70 5.19%

                          04/29/2020 $6.85 0.5 05/01/2020 $6.74 -0.80%

                          05/08/2020 $6.12 0.5 05/13/2020 $5.83 -2.37%
                          RVLV 04/20/2020 $11.31 1 05/01/2020 $10.51 -7.07%

                          05/11/2020 $13.36 0.5 05/13/2020 $13.98 2.32%

                          05/26/2020 $15.26 1 05/27/2020 $14.59 -4.39%
                          SDGR 02/28/2020 $43.45 0.5 05/13/2020 $57.66 16.35%
                          SFIX 03/19/2020 $14.23 1 05/01/2020 $15.69 10.26%

                          05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5 05/27/2020 $24.27 22.62%

                          05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5 05/27/2020 $24.27 12.65%
                          SHOP 02/28/2020 $439.12 1 05/01/2020 $623.45 41.98%
                          SIVB 04/27/2020 $182.50 0.5 05/01/2020 $185.34 0.78%
                          SMAR 03/02/2020 $46.10 1 05/14/2020 $51.15 10.95%
                          SPCE 05/07/2020 $19.09 0.5 05/13/2020 $17.35 -4.56%

                          05/22/2020 $14.68 0.5 05/27/2020 $16.89 7.53%
                          TDOC 03/02/2020 $122.76 1 05/13/2020 $192.26 56.61%

                          04/09/2020 $141.63 1 05/13/2020 $192.26 35.75%
                          TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2 05/27/2020 $169.82 36.34%
                          TREX 03/03/2020 $103.90 1 05/01/2020 $94.56 -8.99%
                          TTD 02/28/2020 $266.20 1 05/01/2020 $284.78 6.98%

                          03/03/2020 $286.35 1 05/01/2020 $284.78 -0.55%

                          05/04/2020 $274.50 2 05/27/2020 $290.11 11.37%
                          TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1 05/27/2020 $189.12 72.93%
                          VEEV 03/02/2020 $140.34 1 05/14/2020 $193.67 38.00%

                          03/03/2020 $143.07 1 05/14/2020 $193.67 35.37%
                          WD 03/02/2020 $65.30 0.5 05/01/2020 $37.39 -21.37%

                          05/07/2020 $39.25 0.5 05/13/2020 $34.33 -6.27%

                          05/20/2020 $39.54 0.5 05/27/2020 $40.46 1.16%
                          WIX 03/02/2020 $132.56 0.5 05/01/2020 $128.44 -1.55%
                          WORK 03/04/2020 $27.10 1 05/01/2020 $26.35 -2.77%

                          05/07/2020 $28.19 1 05/27/2020 $31.71 12.49%
                          ZEN 03/02/2020 $77.44 1 05/14/2020 $72.28 -6.66%

                          03/03/2020 $71.58 1 05/14/2020 $72.28 0.98%

                          05/22/2020 $80.12 1 05/27/2020 $80.45 0.41%
                          ZM 02/27/2020 $108.79 1 05/01/2020 $139.76 28.47%

                          05/04/2020 $141.20 2 05/27/2020 $157.75 23.44%
                          ZS 02/28/2020 $49.76 0.5 05/14/2020 $74.57 24.93%
                          ZUO 05/12/2020 $11.83 0.5 05/13/2020 $11.32 -2.16%

                          05/20/2020 $11.17 0.5 05/27/2020 $11.37 0.90%
                          Closed Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 946.67% Num Positions 92.5 Gain/Loss Per Position % 10.23%
                          S&P @Start (2/26/2020) $3,062.54 S&P @End (5/27/2020) $3,036.13 S&P Gain/Loss % -0.86%

                          Comment

                          • BlueWolf
                            Senior Member
                            • Jun 2009
                            • 1077

                            OK, get ready to roll your eyes. 🙄 I kicked off Round 4 this week after a fairly heavy round of swing trading. I had a number of very successful swing trades, three of which (EEFT, RUBI, WD) I rolled into Long Term (LT) trades to start thing off. I also added a few more LT trades just so I would have some skin in the game, since this market seems relentlessly bullish right now. As you can see I got off to pretty good start. This doesn’t take into account the swing trades for which I stopped out (MDLA, TDOC), but I also had other winning swing trades (ATKR, ESNT) that I didn’t roll into LT trades, so it all evens out.

                            Some notes regarding the performance tracking summary. I am doing things a little differently this time. I am still computing percentage gain/loss per trade and average gain/loss for all trades, but I have added a way to track overall returns on principal. I did this by allocating a maximum number of positions, which you can see in the summary In this case, I opted for a maximum of 100 positions. Now this is NOT a cash total. In fact, it can be applied to any amount. For a $50,000 principal, for example, each position would be $500. For a $200,000 principal, each position would be $2,000. And so on. Using this maximum number of positions, I am able to calculate the overall return on principal and I can also annualize the returns by extrapolating them to 365 days. You will see all this in the table.

                            Regarding this summary. Since I am actively using this table to track my performance, I can easily just copy and paste it on a regular basis if there is interest. I don’t want to spam this thread, however, so you tell me how frequently you would like for me to post the summary: weekly, bi-weekly, monthly, not all all? I will also continue to post my watchlists so you can see the stocks I am tracking for possible addition fo my LT holdings. I hope you find all of this helpful in some way.

                            Round 4
                            Round Start Date
                            6/1/2020 6/5/2020 Round End Date

                            Max Num Open Positions
                            100



                            Stock
                            Date
                            Purchase Price
                            Position Size
                            Date Closed
                            Current or Closing Price
                            % Gain/Loss on Trade
                            % Gain/Loss on Principal


                            Closed Positions








                            0.00% 0.0000%






                            0.00% 0.0000%
                            # Closed Positions
                            0
                            Gain/Loss Per Position
                            0.00%
                            Return on Principal
                            0.00%


                            Open Positions








                            0.00% 0.0000%
                            BRK/B 06/03/2020 $189.12 1
                            $200.66 6.10% 0.0610%
                            EEFT 06/01/2020 $95.24 1
                            $118.25 24.16% 0.2416%
                            NTNX 06/01/2020 $23.97 1
                            $23.68 -1.21% -0.0121%
                            NVTA 06/01/2020 $16.89 1
                            $17.34 2.66% 0.0266%
                            RUBI 06/01/2020 $6.34 1
                            $8.28 30.60% 0.3060%
                            WD 06/03/2020 $42.88 1
                            $50.73 18.31% 0.1831%
                            ZUO 06/01/2020 $12.03 0.5
                            $12.75 5.99% 0.0299%






                            0.00% 0.0000%
                            # Open Positions
                            6.5
                            Gain/Loss Per Position
                            13.32%
                            Return on Principal
                            0.84%
                            Totals
                            Gain/Loss Per Position
                            13.32%
                            Total Return on Principal
                            0.84%
                            Total Annualized Return
                            76.30%
                            High Interest Watchlist: AAPL, AAXN, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, CGNX, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, CRWD, CSGP, DDOG, DOCU, EBS, EDIT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, FVRR, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, HUB, INSP, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDB, MDLA, MELI, MRNA, MSFT, MTCH, NÉE, NET, NVCR, NVDA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QDEL, QTWO, RDFN, REGN, RGEN, RH, ROKU, RVLV, SDGR, SFIX, SHOP, SIVB, SMAR, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, TEAM, TREX, TTD, TTWO, TWLO, V, VEEV, WIX, WORK, ZEN, ZM, ZNGA, ZS

                            Some Interest Watchlist: BYFT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BZUN, COUP, DAVA, EXPI, FLIR, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, ICPT, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, NOW, NVAX, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG

                            Comment

                            • Louetta
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2003
                              • 2331

                              Good call on RUBI. Also, Berkshire. Buffett was taking some heat for supposedly getting out of the airlines at just the wrong time (tho no one knows exactly what he sold at) and Charlie Munger implying they had not found anything else to go to.

                              Comment

                              • BlueWolf
                                Senior Member
                                • Jun 2009
                                • 1077

                                Got a little spooked by yesterday’s economic news and early market reaction, so I pared down my LT positions from seven to two based on charting patterns. Despite the recent bullish disposition of the market, I’m still being very cautious about holding on to anything. I could be wrong about there being another correction coming as the market has seemed to shrug off the effects of the shutdown, but I’m not taking any chances. I can still make money short term trading on the long side for now while I see how things shake out. My big fear is that we are headed into a recession and a prolonged bear market. I’m not great at making money in a bear market. I’m certainly not afraid of playing the short side, but you just don’t get the kinds of gains you can when the market is in a bull run. I could try a some option plays, but I’ve never been a big option trader. I’m getting ahead of myself, though. We had a bit of a rebound day today, so maybe the market will just keep chugging to the upside. We’ll see.

                                So here’s a summary of my open and closed positions:

                                Round 4

                                Start Date 6/1/2020 End Date 6/12/2020
                                Max Open Positions
                                100
                                Stock
                                Date
                                Purchase Price
                                Position Size
                                Date Closed
                                Current or Closing Price
                                % Gain/Loss on Trade
                                % Gain/Loss on Principal


                                Closed Positions








                                0.00% 0.0000%
                                BRK/B 06/03/2020 $189.12 1 06/11/2020 $184.22 -2.59% -0.0259%
                                EEFT 06/01/2020 $95.24 1 06/11/2020 $104.46 9.68% 0.0968%
                                NTNX 06/01/2020 $23.97 1 06/11/2020 $22.38 -6.63% -0.0663%
                                NVTA 06/01/2020 $16.89 1 06/11/2020 $16.44 -2.66% -0.0266%
                                ZUO 06/01/2020 $12.03 0.5 06/11/2020 $12.27 2.00% 0.0100%






                                0.00% 0.0000%
                                # Closed Positions
                                4.5
                                Gain/Loss Per Position
                                -0.05%
                                Return on Principal
                                -0.01%


                                Open Positions








                                0.00% 0.0000%
                                RUBI 06/01/2020 $6.34 1
                                $6.73 6.15% 0.0615%
                                WD 06/03/2020 $42.88 1
                                $45.77 6.74% 0.0674%






                                0.00% 0.0000%
                                # Open Positions
                                2
                                Gain/Loss Per Position
                                6.45%
                                Return on Principal
                                0.13%
                                Totals
                                Gain/Loss Per Position
                                1.95%
                                Total Return on Principal
                                0.12%
                                Total Annualized Return On Principal
                                3.88%



                                Last edited by BlueWolf; 06-14-2020, 09:12 AM.

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