Spike's Scientific Stock Analysis

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  • mystiky
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2004
    • 333

    Hi Spike!

    Actually, I have started an "initial" position on MCX last Friday, and plan to add little at around 13 and then 12.50. However, if I see it blow by 12, I am out of it in a jiffy.

    I realize that this is a very jumpy stock, so I have my hands on the trigger. My target EXIT goal is $14.75. I still think it's quite realistic.

    Thanks SO MUCH again for the charts.

    And your words -- I wish I used them a few times in 2000-2001 myself!

    New traders: Copy and PASTE this message on your monitor. Spike knows EXACTLY what he is talking about.

    Originally posted by spikefader
    By that quote I was assuming you were holding a long position for it, and that if you were holding long, I was simply recommending you exit on the corrective 'b' wave up so you could step aside and stalk a lower entry. Did you stop out of that entry or are you still holding it? Sounds like you're flat now.

    Mystiky, not sure of your MCX exposure and risk tolerance, but if you're NOT using disciplined stops and adding on the way down, you really open the door to some serious pain on big moves down that don't retrace. You probably well know this, but I'm just saying be careful adding to losers. I don't recommend it unless you can have disciplined exits for the adds you make so that you can reposition the average in your favor. But sometimes the market can move so badly against you that stops are really the only thing that's going to save you. I will never forget the price action of ENE (enron) and how much pain that one caused folks as it died and dropped. The only way you can truly protect yourself against that kind of action is to use really good discipline and risk managment. I trust you have that under control, and I'm only bringing that up cuz it's on my mind. Disregard if it doesn't apply. But new traders take heed of this.

    Best to ya.

    Comment

    • dmk112
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2004
      • 1759

      VPHM had an inside day...should make a move tomorrow.
      http://twitter.com/DMK112

      Comment

      • spikefader
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2004
        • 7175

        Originally posted by dmk112
        VPHM had an inside day...should make a move tomorrow.
        Yep, and the logic stop now is under the inside day at 19.84, which reduces risk of yesterday's long position from the pivot to 1%. I see it's dropped under it now, but still within the 4% limit. I am back to neutral on VPHM and anyone long VPHM I would suggest taking the medicine and closing it out pending a better entry.

        Comment

        • dmk112
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2004
          • 1759

          Originally posted by dmk112
          VPHM had an inside day...should make a move tomorrow.
          darn, looks like it went the wrong way!
          http://twitter.com/DMK112

          Comment

          • dmk112
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2004
            • 1759

            It does look like it bounced off the support @ 19...stop under lod.
            http://twitter.com/DMK112

            Comment

            • spikefader
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2004
              • 7175

              YM swing short opened right here at 10905.

              Comment

              • spikefader
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2004
                • 7175

                Originally posted by spikefader
                YM swing short opened right here at 10905.
                Smiling bear here.


                Comment

                • spikefader
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 7175

                  Added to YM short here at 10858. (tight stop on this one).

                  Comment

                  • spikefader
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 7175

                    Originally posted by spikefader
                    Added to YM short here at 10858. (tight stop on this one).
                    Stopped out of this one tonight for -8 points. Stop to even on the original now. Vector closed bearish today, so bear for tomorrow. But I'd really prefer to be a bull.

                    Comment

                    • spikefader
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 7175

                      The quiet achiever! MCO.

                      Creme of the Crop Version 1.

                      Yep, it's still alive and kicking. 4% profit with stop to even. It's on it's 10th straight weekly green candle, booming on the weekly still! Now that's a superstock!

                      Still bullish psar on daily (and weekly). Bands target 66.00. Upper daily channel is 64.00. Weekly and daily money flow is outstanding. Channel turn up today's close. That green lights pivot intraday buy for anyone looking for aggressive entry on it. This is the quiet achiever! And that's OK by me.

                      Is anyone impressed or surprized? I am. I really am. The selection process gave me my doubts, but I can see the value in this system. And it's the type of system where you don't have to have a big stake. Just make it fit the risk you're comfortable with, and buy smaller number of shares for the candidates. Eventually your full position is with the strongest performer like MCO here. And downside is strictly controlled. Upside is loose and the strongest is given the opportunity to take you to booming heights. I'm expecting explosive upside in the next few weeks.


                      Comment

                      • spikefader
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 7175

                        Ya gotta love a market that'll pleasantly surprize you!

                        Wow is all I can say....least until I got get another coffee! Go the bull.

                        YM swing stopped for a push. If this keeps up daily Vector gonna be bullish for sure. Intraday is well there now. I'm back to bull and stalkin a swing long.

                        Gonna look for some cheap GOOG calls to play too. Channel turn up on the daily yesterday close, and I don't think that's done either.

                        Comment

                        • dmk112
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2004
                          • 1759

                          Originally posted by spikefader
                          Ya gotta love a market that'll pleasantly surprize you!

                          Wow is all I can say....least until I got get another coffee! Go the bull.

                          YM swing stopped for a push. If this keeps up daily Vector gonna be bullish for sure. Intraday is well there now. I'm back to bull and stalkin a swing long.

                          Gonna look for some cheap GOOG calls to play too. Channel turn up on the daily yesterday close, and I don't think that's done either.
                          Spike, market looks good, but 10890 is a resistance point on the DOW that I'm going to watch.
                          http://twitter.com/DMK112

                          Comment

                          • spikefader
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 7175

                            OK I'm long the +GOPAI GOOG calls average of 2.30 close enough to S2, and GOOG stock just under its intraday pivot. These calls a steal I think.


                            Comment

                            • spikefader
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 7175

                              Swing long YM 10930. 10 point stop.

                              Comment

                              • spikefader
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 7175

                                Originally posted by dmk112
                                Spike, market looks good, but 10890 is a resistance point on the DOW that I'm going to watch.
                                I think I may have gotten close to a c long entry on the 5 min YM chart. Here's the daily DOW I'm lookin' at. This could impulse up quite easily dudes.

                                Comment

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